Marco Island, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Marco Island, FL

June 15, 2024 12:03 AM EDT (04:03 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM
Moonrise 1:43 PM   Moonset 1:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

Rest of tonight - SW winds 5 kt near shore - .except sw 5 to 10 kt well offshore. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Wave detail: S sw 2 ft at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sat - NEar shore, W sw winds 5 kt becoming N around 5 kt in the afternoon. Well offshore, S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Wave detail: sw 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sat night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds and sw 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sun - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds and sw 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of tstms. Showers likely in the afternoon.

Sun night - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt near shore - . Except E ne 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Mon - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers with a chance of tstms.

Mon night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Tstms likely in the evening. Showers through the night. A chance of tstms after midnight.

Tue and Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers with a chance of tstms.

Wed and Wed night - E ne winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers with tstms likely.

GMZ600 914 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate diurnal flow prevails through Saturday, with an offshore flow at night into the morning hours and a mostly onshore flow in the afternoon and early evening hours. A light to moderate southeasterly flow is established by Sunday and strengthens on Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marco Island, FL
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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 142319 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 719 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 705 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Conditions have quieted down this evening with some lingering showers around Biscayne Bay and far southeast Florida. This band should weaken and push offshore as it pushes northeast. A quiet night is then expected beyond that, though it will be possible for a few showers to pop up overnight. Plenty of moisture will still be around for Saturday, although coverage of showers and storms is not expected to be like the previous few days. That said, a Flood Watch remains in effect at this point through tomorrow but for only coastal and metro portions of Miami-Dade and Broward counties. These areas were hit hardest in the last few days and thus are most susceptible to sudden onsets of flooding issues given saturdated grounds and lingering ponding of water in some locations with poor drainage. Any heavier isolated showers or storms that occur over those vulnerable locations could turn problematic quickly.

Temperatures tomorrow across south Florida will stay in the 80s, mainly in the mid 80s for most areas.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 136 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A frontal boundary remains draped across central Florida, while a mid-level trough sits across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. The plume of enhanced moisture which sat over South FL for the past couple of days has shifted southward this morning, with the main bulk of it now sitting over the FL Keys. This has allowed for drier mid-level air to filter in over the area as shown by the ACARS and 12Z MFL soundings. As a result, much of the convection early this morning has been confined to the FL Keys/Straits and southern portions of the CWA

This will be the prevailing pattern of behavior for the rest of the day as scattered showers and thunderstorms develop across South FL.
Coverage will not be as widespread as previous days, but increased daytime heating as a result of decreased cloud coverage will help destabilize the atmosphere enough to support thunderstorm development and some heavy downpours. Guidance suggests some areas could see between 1-2" of rain, with localized higher amounts possible through the day which could trigger concerns for flash flooding, especially for vulnerable areas that received several inches of rain over the past several days.

Heading into Saturday, the mid level trough axis will remain near the region. At the surface, while Invest AL90 will move further away to the northeast in the western Atlantic, South Florida will still be close enough to the moisture tail to support higher end chances of showers and thunderstorms. The latest guidance still shows PWAT values ranging between 2.0 and 2.3 inches throughout the day on Saturday. This is more than enough moisture to support shower and thunderstorm development as the day progresses. The highest chances will remain in the afternoon hours and heavy downpours will still be possible with the strongest thunderstorms. This would create the potential for additional flooding concerns depending on where the stronger storms set up. This will continue to be monitored as the day progresses.

High temperatures today and tomorrow could reach the upper 80s areas across the northern CWA where cloud coverage will be most limited, with temperatures further south where the rain chances are maximized reaching the mid 80s.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 233 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Models depict a synoptic pattern dominated by upper level troughiness over the area, while a mid level trough/low complex deepens across the E CONUS. Globals/ensembles show fair agreement in pushing the trough/low into the west Atlantic during the weekend, which will result in a gradual shift of winds over SoFlo to a more easterly flow by Sunday. This weather pattern shift should bring the onset of closer-to-normal conditions for this time of the year and provide a break from the rain event of previous days.

Sunday should still see scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, then drier air finally begins to filter across the area during the first half of next week. With the aforementioned trough/low migrating further away from the region, the overall shower/storm activity should decrease across SoFlo, but with enough PWAT/lapse rate profiles remaining in place for scattered coverage to return each afternoon.

Monday through mid week, models show a sfc high pressure building across the peninsula and into the E GOMEX, bringing back the aforementioned more typical summertime weather regime of afternoon seabreeze activity. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will favor interior areas as the east coast seabreezes develop early in the afternoon and quickly push inland. But can't rule out a few strong storms affecting any of the Atlantic metro areas at times.

Highs temperatures will climb back into the upper 80s to low 90s, with heat indices in the upper 90s or even triple digits towards the middle of the work week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 705 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Variable winds will return overnight tonight with few showers lingering in the area. Keeping VCSH in for the first few hours of this 00Z TAF package given those showers. Winds will generally become westerly or west-southwest Saturday morning with some scattered showers and storms expected to re-develop as the day progresses.

MARINE
Issued at 136 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A moderate to fresh southwesterly wind flow will remain in place across the local waters today. These winds will become gentle to moderate for the upcoming weekend and they will gradually shift and become east northeasterly on Sunday. Seas across the Atlantic and Gulf waters will generally remain at 2 feet or less through the upcoming weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will still be possible today and into the upcoming weekend. Winds and waves may be locally higher in and around showers and thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 77 86 78 88 / 40 60 20 40 West Kendall 74 88 75 90 / 30 60 20 40 Opa-Locka 76 88 77 90 / 40 60 20 40 Homestead 75 87 77 88 / 30 50 20 30 Fort Lauderdale 77 84 79 87 / 40 60 20 40 N Ft Lauderdale 77 85 78 87 / 40 60 20 40 Pembroke Pines 77 89 78 90 / 40 60 10 40 West Palm Beach 74 85 76 87 / 40 60 20 40 Boca Raton 75 87 77 88 / 40 60 20 40 Naples 77 86 77 91 / 60 60 20 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Flood Watch through Saturday evening for FLZ072-074-172>174.

AM...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 6 mi139 minSSE 1 77°F 29.9575°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 48 mi46 minW 1.9G2.9 81°F 84°F29.94


Wind History for Fort Myers, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KAPF NAPLES MUNI,FL 13 sm70 mincalm10 smClear81°F79°F94%29.92
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KAPF
   
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Wind History graph: APF
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Tide / Current for Marco, Big Marco River, Florida
   
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Marco
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:50 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:26 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:13 PM EDT     1.56 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Marco, Big Marco River, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.9
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.5
7
am
1.7
8
am
1.8
9
am
1.8
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.5
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
1
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
1
5
pm
1.2
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
1.5
8
pm
1.6
9
pm
1.5
10
pm
1.5
11
pm
1.3


Tide / Current for Coon Key, Florida
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Coon Key
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:36 AM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:21 AM EDT     2.84 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:37 PM EDT     1.37 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:05 PM EDT     2.50 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Coon Key, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.2
1
am
1
2
am
1
3
am
1.1
4
am
1.5
5
am
1.9
6
am
2.3
7
am
2.7
8
am
2.8
9
am
2.8
10
am
2.6
11
am
2.3
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1.4
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
1.8
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
2.4
8
pm
2.5
9
pm
2.4
10
pm
2.2
11
pm
2


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Miami, FL,




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