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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Rest of tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thu..Winds E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 0 to 1 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore...except E 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri..E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri night..E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sat and Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sun..S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sun night..S se winds around 5 kt near shore... Except S se 5 to 10 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Mon..S se winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W sw in the afternoon, then becoming nw in the evening. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

GMZ600 924 Pm Cst Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis..A light to occasionally moderate northeasterly flow gradually shifts to the east overnight as a high pressure ridge drifts east across the marine area. Southeasterly to southerly flow returns on Thursday and will increase late this week as high pressure shifts eastward and the next cold front approaches from the west.

FXUS62 KMFL 300722 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 222 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

The surface high centered off the GA/SC coast will advect eastward into the Atlantic early today, causing winds to shift out of an easterly direction. Simultaneously, we will start to see a gradual increase in moisture as a mid-to-upper level ridge amplifies in the Caribbean and starts to push northward from the Caribbean. PWATs are expected to rise back above 1.0" on today and over 1.5" on Friday. With the region still being dominated by high pressure, both Thursday and Friday will remain predominantly dry but will see increasing cloud cover beginning today and the chance for a couple of isolated showers mainly along the east coast. Temperatures will begin to rise today as warm air advection occurs with the ridge and will hit the low 80s today before rising further into the mid 80s on Friday.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

A mid level ridge centered over the Carribean Sea will gradually push northward into the upcoming weekend. At the surface, high pressure will continue to push further into the western Atlantic as a cold front pushes through the Southeastern portion of the country as well as Northern and Central Florida. Many areas will remain dry across South Florida on Friday and Saturday, however, winds will gradually shift and become more southeasterly through the first half of the weekend, before becoming south southwesterly on Sunday. This will allow for moisture advection to take place during this time frame along with a moderating trend in temperatures. With just enough lower level moisture in place, an isolated shower cannot be ruled out over the east coast on Saturday. High temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80s along the east coast through the weekend to the upper 80s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

The latest global and ensemble guidance is starting to show signs of agreement for the second half of the weekend and into early next week with bringing a weakening cold front through South Florida later on Monday or Monday night. This front will not have a lot of moisture to work with, however, it could spark off some isolated shower activity later on Sunday and during the day on Monday out ahead of it. As it passes through, winds will shift to the west northwest filtering in a cooler and drier air mass towards the middle of the week. Uncertainty in timing and exact details still remain high as this is towards the end of the forecast period. If the movement of this frontal boundary trends towards the slower side of things, the warmer temperatures will hang on longer into the week. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.



AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

VFR will continue at all terminals during the next 24 hours. Dry conditions are expected to continue, although a quick sprinkle is possible after 15Z. Light winds will gradually veer to a more NNE direction through Thursday morning, and to the ENE after 18Z in the 10-12kt range.

MARINE
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Winds will shift to an easterly direction on Thursday and southeasterly by Friday and the weekend. Seas of 2-4ft are expected in the Atlantic and 1-2ft in the Gulf to end the week and enter the weekend. A few isolated showers will be possible as well as moisture increases, but no consistent rain showers are expected.

BEACHES
Issued at 125 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

A moderate risk of rip currents will continue into the end of this week for the Atlantic beaches, with a high risk possible on Friday and over the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 79 71 83 74 / 10 10 10 0 West Kendall 79 68 84 72 / 0 0 10 0 Opa-Locka 80 70 84 74 / 0 10 10 0 Homestead 79 71 83 74 / 0 0 10 0 Fort Lauderdale 79 71 83 74 / 0 10 10 0 N Ft Lauderdale 79 71 83 74 / 10 10 10 0 Pembroke Pines 80 69 84 73 / 0 10 10 0 West Palm Beach 78 69 83 73 / 10 10 10 10 Boca Raton 79 71 84 74 / 10 10 10 10 Naples 81 64 84 70 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Marco
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Thu -- 01:21 AM EST     2.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:00 AM EST     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:05 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:12 PM EST     1.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:36 PM EST     1.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Marco, Big Marco River, Florida, Tide feet

Coon Key
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Thu -- 01:40 AM EST     3.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:25 AM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:04 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:52 PM EST     2.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:46 PM EST     1.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Coon Key, Florida, Tide feet

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