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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lely, FL

June 25, 2024 3:45 PM EDT (19:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:35 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM
Moonrise 10:47 PM   Moonset 9:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

Rest of today - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: W 1 foot at 2 seconds and W sw 1 foot at 8 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Tonight - W winds 5 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Wave detail: W 1 foot at 2 seconds and W sw 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms.

Wed - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Wave detail: W sw 1 foot at 2 seconds and W sw 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely in the morning. A chance of tstms

a chance of showers

Wed night - W sw winds 5 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Wave detail: W nw 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Thu - W sw winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: nw 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Thu night and Fri - S se winds 5 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: nw 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms.

Fri night - E se winds 5 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sat - E winds around 5 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.

GMZ600 926 Am Cdt Tue Jun 25 2024

Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow is expected through the week except locally higher near showers and Thunderstorms that develop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lely, FL
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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
554 FXUS62 KMFL 251842 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 242 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Models depict a rather typical summertime weather pattern continuing across SoFlo through the rest of today and tomorrow, with afternoon convection being mainly driven by sea breeze and outflow boundaries.
Expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day, driven by advection of moisture from the caribbean and E GOMEX.
Latest model PWATs remain slightly over 2 inches over SoFlo, which combined with daytime heating and weak lifting aloft will result in some strong storms in the afternoon hours. Sea breeze boundaries will again become focal points for initial convection as the generally westerly flow collides with the east coast sea breeze.

With the low-level winds remaining weak to moderate out of the SW, expect a convective regime of showers and thunderstorms first developing along sea breeze boundaries late this morning/early this afternoon, then moving interior/East Coast metro areas. The strongest cells will be capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds.

Afternoon max temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s today and tomorrow, with heat index values around 100-105. Overnight lows be warm, dropping to the mid 70s over the inland areas and upper 70s to low 80s closer to the coast.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 239 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

The forecast period begins with extended mid-level troughing and maintains weak southwesterly flow through the low levels. Mesoscale dynamics will be the primary driver of convective initiation. With ample boundary layer moisture present, both sea breeze boundaries will be areas of ascent to watch for daily shower and thunderstorm development. Localized flooding will be the main hazard to monitor given the weak flow pattern. Outflow boundaries may also become focal points for localized convection.

Heading into the weekend, the troughing over South Florida will be pushed out by more extensive mid-level ridging. At 500 mb, a closed high should offer weak large-scale subsidence and maintain light deep-layer flow across the CWA along with adequate boundary layer moisture and near-normal PWATs. Additionally, our first notable Saharan Air Layer (SAL) plume should advect into South Florida and provide some level of convective inhibition with drier air aloft.
Depending on the evolution of the SAL, associated steep mid-level lapse rates could linger across portions of South Florida and keep the risk for thunderstorms elevated. With the lack of any appreciable synoptic forcing for ascent, convective coverage should be less widespread, with coverage favoring inland and SW parts of our CWA given a transition to an easterly flow. Temperatures will remain near our seasonal averages, with heat indices reaching the triple digits routinely.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Periods of MVFR/IFR are likely this afternoon and through around 21-22Z as showers and thunderstorms continue to develop across the area. Light and variable winds will be SSE to SW at 8-10kt through the rest of the afternoon hours, with the east coast sea breeze making flow erratic at times over the Atlantic terminals. Winds will again become light and variable after 26/00Z.

MARINE
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Weak southwesterly winds will become moderate this afternoon and remain in place through the rest of the work week. Boating conditions will remain benign in general with seas 1-2 feet, except in the vicinity of thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 77 91 77 92 / 30 70 20 60 West Kendall 75 91 74 92 / 30 60 20 50 Opa-Locka 77 92 77 93 / 40 70 20 60 Homestead 76 90 77 90 / 30 60 20 40 Fort Lauderdale 77 89 77 90 / 40 70 30 60 N Ft Lauderdale 77 90 77 91 / 40 70 30 60 Pembroke Pines 78 92 78 93 / 40 70 20 60 West Palm Beach 75 91 76 92 / 40 70 20 60 Boca Raton 76 91 77 92 / 50 70 30 60 Naples 78 89 79 90 / 30 60 20 40

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 6 mi60 minNW 7 87°F 30.0177°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 39 mi45 minWSW 6G8.9 87°F 87°F29.97
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 39 mi105 min 86°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 42 mi105 min 86°F


Wind History for Fort Myers, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KAPF NAPLES MUNI,FL 4 sm25 minW 1010 smPartly Cloudy88°F79°F75%29.97
KMKY MARCO ISLAND EXECUTIVE,FL 9 sm--no data--
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KAPF
   
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Wind History graph: APF
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Naples (outer coast), Florida
   
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Naples (outer coast)
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Tue -- 04:31 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:09 AM EDT     1.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:31 PM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:13 PM EDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Naples (outer coast), Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
1.3
2
am
1.8
3
am
2.2
4
am
2.4
5
am
2.4
6
am
2.2
7
am
1.9
8
am
1.7
9
am
1.6
10
am
1.6
11
am
2
12
pm
2.5
1
pm
3
2
pm
3.2
3
pm
3.2
4
pm
3
5
pm
2.7
6
pm
2
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
-0.4
11
pm
-0.3


Tide / Current for Marco, Big Marco River, Florida
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Marco
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Tue -- 05:03 AM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:55 AM EDT     1.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:28 PM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Marco, Big Marco River, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
-0.2
1
am
0.4
2
am
1
3
am
1.4
4
am
1.7
5
am
1.8
6
am
1.8
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.2
10
am
1.1
11
am
1.2
12
pm
1.5
1
pm
1.9
2
pm
2.3
3
pm
2.5
4
pm
2.5
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
1.9
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
-0.2
11
pm
-0.4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Miami, FL,




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