Friday, July19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naples Park, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 8:22PM Friday July 19, 2019 6:44 PM EDT (22:44 UTC) Moonrise 9:30PMMoonset 8:03AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 332 Pm Edt Fri Jul 19 2019
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..South southwest winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South southwest winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 349 Pm Cdt Fri Jul 19 2019
Synopsis..A broad ridge of high pressure over the northeastern gulf will begin to breakdown this weekend as a weak trough of low pressure drifts west over the central gulf. Winds will remain light out of the southwest as rain chances increase with the building trough through the weekend. By early next week, surface high pressure will weaken as a weak cold front moves in and stalls late Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples Park, FL
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location: 26.28, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 191932
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
332 pm edt Fri jul 19 2019

Discussion
For the remainder of today, broad mid-level ridging will continue
to slouch across the region with the surface high across the
atlantic pushing north of the area. Relatively weak SE flow will
be in place and steering flow will also be on the weaker side
which will ultimately aid in the possibility for periods of heavy
rain and slow moving storms. A stronger storm or two can not be
ruled out entirely due to warmer 500 mb temps, but most
models guidance point to sps type of cells. Similar to the past
several days, convection should diminish towards the evening
hours, though a slight chance for lingering storms showers will
be possible across the west coast along with overnight
storms showers across the gulf stream waters. Near daybreak,
activity over the gulf stream waters initiates as in previous days
which will support the chance for showers to brush up against the
east coast. By late morning, the development of the sea breeze
pushes inland, allowing for isolated to scattered thunderstorms to
develop along the outflows boundaries.

For the weekend, the pattern of diurnal sea breeze convection is
forecast to continue, especially for the afternoon hours along the
interior and west coast. As Saturday afternoon progresses into
Saturday evening, a trough will approach from the bahamas.

Intermittent pockets of higher moisture (pw's exceeding 2.00
inches) and vorticity maxima look to traverse the region. With
that in mind, convection looks to flare up over the atlantic
waters Saturday night and slowly creep eastward into Sunday
morning. As previously mentioned, this convection will need to be
monitored Sunday morning due to the risk for heavy rainfall,
particularly along the east coast metro.

Sunday's pattern looks to depart from the pure diurnally driven
sea breeze focus as the aforementioned trough moves into the far
southern portions of florida. Due to this, shower thunderstorm
coverage looks to be more widespread Sunday as opposed to previous
days, leading to heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and lightning.

By early next week, that same pestering trough will finally push
wnw across the state and into the gulf of mexico.

Simultaneously,a mid-level trough will dig into the SE CONUS with
an attendant surface low approaching the northern bahamas. The
interaction between the mid-level trough, the trough across the
gulf of mexico, and the surface low over the bahamas could serve
to increase rain chances in the area beginning as early as Monday.

Eventually by mid week, the mid-level trough across the eastern
seaboard should wash out over northern florida as a surface ridge
shifts slightly southeast of the region. This will ultimately lead
to more southerly southwesterly flow into weeks end.

Daily high temperatures are forecast to remain near normal
throughout the forecast period - in the upper 80s to low 90s.

Marine
A ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate the
weather pattern through the weekend allowing for a southeasterly
flow to continue and keeping scattered showers and thunderstorms
in the forecast. However, an easterly wave could push into the
atlantic waters late Saturday into early next week which will
increase chances for showers thunderstorms.

Aviation
A few showers lingering along the east coast early this afternoon
however convection will be mainly over the interior and gulf
coast. Storms will be mostly west of east coast terms but will
monitor for any outflow backbuilding. Southeasterly flow persist
throughout the period. Vcts included for kapf with the gulf sea
breeze developing. MVFR ifr is possible with any storms that move
over kapf but that will be handled with amendments. Convection
will diminish after sunset. Light southeast flow overnight.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 78 90 77 89 20 30 30 30
fort lauderdale 79 88 79 88 20 30 40 40
miami 79 89 79 89 30 30 40 30
naples 75 90 75 89 20 50 30 50

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 03 fell
marine... 03 fell
aviation... 33 kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 10 mi110 min E 9.9 G 25 85°F 1018.7 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 10 mi56 min 83°F 89°F1017.4 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 17 mi119 min N 6 82°F 1019 hPa77°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 26 mi56 min W 7 G 8 76°F 88°F1017 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 49 mi104 min 88°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL18 mi51 minN 010.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity Light Rain75°F69°F82%1017.3 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL21 mi51 minSSW 410.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain73°F69°F87%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5NE3NE3--NE3SE12----------------NE3CalmCalm----SE8SE8SE8SW8W10
1 day agoSW9SW10SW9SE7CalmNE6E4CalmE4N3NE5NE4NE5E6E4NE4NE5E7E10E86SE7SW114
2 days agoW7W6W11SW7W5CalmCalmCalmE4E4NE6E4E4NE6NE4NE3NE4E6E9E8E8SE9E7W10
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Cocohatchee River, U.S. 41 bridge, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
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Fri -- 01:31 AM EDT     1.02 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:12 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:16 AM EDT     -0.13 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:13 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 12:29 PM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:17 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:04 PM EDT     -1.46 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:22 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.7110.90.70.50.30-0.1-0.10.30.71.11.10.70.2-0.4-0.8-1.1-1.3-1.5-1.3-0.9-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.