Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bonita Springs, FL

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 905 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Morning thunderstorms are drifting along the coast, in the vicinity of mainly TPA and PIE now. Over the next couple hours, this should diminish as drier air lifts over the area from the south. While there will be a short window for thunderstorms this evening, the overall setup is not particularly favorable. The better chance will probably again be near the coast after sunset and into the early morning hours. Overall, though, more limited impacts for terminals are expected through the middle of the week. With an ESE flow remaining and moisture again increasing later this week, impacts become more likely by mid-week.


DISCUSSION
Issued at 352 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Ridging to our north will continue through our work week. This will allow for our southeasterly winds to continue keeping us in a regime 6. This regime normally favors storms on the west coast of Florida in the late afternoon and evening hours. The main difference during the week will be some drier air filter into the area. This will bring PWs down closer to 1.5. This will result in some lower PoPs compared to what we saw late last week with the southeasterly winds.

As we head into next weekend the ridge looks to shift a little closer to use and shift our winds more northeasterly. This regime typically gives us lower rain shower chances with the best chance being in southwest Florida.

MARINE
Issued at 352 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025 South to southeasterly winds around 5 to 10 knots will prevail for much of our work week as ridging stays to our north.
Best chance of showers and storms over the Gulf will be in the evening and overnight hours as storms start to move off the land.
Winds will shift more northeasterly on Friday as the ridge shift a little closer to Florida.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 352 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Summertime convection and humidity will keep fire dangers at a minimum.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 78 93 79 / 60 40 30 30 FMY 93 75 94 76 / 50 40 50 30 GIF 94 76 95 76 / 50 40 40 20 SRQ 91 76 92 77 / 50 30 30 40 BKV 92 72 94 72 / 60 30 30 30 SPG 90 79 90 79 / 60 30 30 40

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.