Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Montura, FL

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 419 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Thunderstorms are ongoing across portions of south central and southwestern Florida. The storms today have been higher in intensity than previous daytime convection, with storms reaching to just beneath severe criteria of winds. The 12z balloon showed nearly 4000 J/kg of surface based CAPE, with current SPC Mesoanalysis indicating precipitable water values of greater than 2 inches as well as widespread DCAPE of 800 J/kg. Outflow boundaries and their interactions with the sea breeze will need to be monitors through the day for additional development, in particular closer to the Atlantic coast.

Aside from the ongoing storms, latest data indicates no major changes to the forecast, with overall ridging throughout the region maintain the current routine of diurnal thunderstorms. With the ample moisture availability through the region (PW values ~1.8 inches), precipitation will be primarily driven by small perturbations aloft and sea breeze interactions. Storm motions will remain slow, with no major guiding flow aloft until you get to the upper levels, which will shift storms to the southwest.

Heat will also continue to be a concern through the region. High temperatures in the region will be in the 90s and heat indexes climbing into the low to mid 100s across inland Florida, with mid 100s along the coasts. These temperatures will need to be monitored through the next few days in case headlines/advisories are needed.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 419 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

An upper-level ridge is still anticipated to expand through the southeastern CONUS, resulting in a continuation of a similar weather pattern of hot conditions, diurnal thunderstorms, and a focus on sea breeze forcing being the focal of storms through the region. One major variation will be the influence of Saharan Dust in the mid- levels advected through the region late Sunday through Monday.
These will help limit precipitation chances, as well as result in warmer surface temperatures as the dust will also limit cloud cover through the region. With this slight nudge upwards in temperatures, heat indexes will likely be a concern early in the week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 138 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue across the region today and into Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop and move through the area Saturday afternoon, and any sites impacted will possibly see a reduction to MVFR criteria ceilings and visibilities. Surface winds will shift between variable and light southeasterly winds, mainly driven by the sea breeze.

MARINE
Issued at 419 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

High pressure remains in control of the region through early next week. Light to moderate SSE winds will also continue over the Atlantic waters, becoming SSW over the Gulf waters with afternoon sea breezes. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over coastal areas and move over land at times during the late afternoon and early evening hours. Any thunderstorm that forms may produce locally strong winds and rough seas. Seas are generally expected to remain in the 2-3 feet range or less outside of any thunderstorm activity.

BEACHES
Issued at 406 AM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026

There is a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents for all Atlantic beaches today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 80 92 80 93 / 20 30 0 10 West Kendall 77 92 78 94 / 20 30 0 10 Opa-Locka 80 93 80 94 / 20 30 0 10 Homestead 80 92 80 93 / 30 20 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 81 91 81 92 / 20 30 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 80 91 80 92 / 20 30 0 10 Pembroke Pines 81 94 81 96 / 20 30 0 10 West Palm Beach 80 91 79 92 / 10 30 0 10 Boca Raton 81 90 81 91 / 10 30 0 10 Naples 77 93 77 94 / 50 50 10 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.