Thursday, February20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Punta Rassa, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 6:24PM Thursday February 20, 2020 6:48 PM EST (23:48 UTC) Moonrise 5:07AMMoonset 3:53PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 317 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from Friday morning through late Friday night...
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming northwest around 15 knots toward morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the late evening and overnight.
Friday..North winds around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Friday night..North winds around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Sunday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..Southeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..South winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 317 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
Synopsis.. Boating conditions will deteriorate tonight as a cold front reaches the waters tonight and early Friday bringing increasing winds and seas. Robust northeast winds are expected to produce exercise caution to advisory conditions late tonight night into Saturday, then winds and seas will subside for Sunday. Early next week southeast to south flow increases once again as high pressure moves out into the western atlantic ocean and the next storm system moves into the eastern states.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Punta Rassa, FL
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location: 26.5, -82.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 202045 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL Issued by National Weather Service Melbourne FL 345 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

DISCUSSION. A trough extending from the northwest Atlantic towards northern FL and into the Gulf states this afternoon will see the development of a low pressure area off the coast of southeast U.S. this afternoon and continue to do so as it lifts to the northeast tonight. It will then push south in the form of a cold front tonight, increasing the chances of rain showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm across the northern portions of the forecast area of the Nature Coast this evening. As the front crosses the gulf side waters, patchy fog might develop for a few hours and it was added to the forecast. The front is expected to move quickly, veering winds from the west this evening to north after midnight and by sunrise most of the forecast area will be under northerly winds. Thanks to this passage, cold air advection will reach the area with drier air and low temperatures will be able to drop to the mid 40s late tonight over Levy county, mid 50s for the Tampa Bay area and inland and 60s south of the Bay and inland areas. For Friday, winds will pick up over land and 15 to 20 mph along the coastal areas.

As northerly winds continue into Saturday morning, it will be the coldest morning, with temperatures ranging from the lower 30s around Levy county to upper 40s towards Lee county. A gradual warmup will begin to take place thereafter, and 80s are back in the forecast to kick off the work week as high pressure shifts east and winds turn ESE. Another front is expected to arrive next Thursday, and this will cool temps down once more.

AVIATION. A cold front will pass over the area tonight and winds will veer from S to SW tonight and after its passage after midnight, winds will be from the NW. Patchy fog possible to reduce visibilities for a few hours after midnight. After sunrise, winds will turn from the north and increase to 12-18 kt and higher gusts after 21/14z, especially for terminals near the coast. Ceilings will also reach IFR tonight and expected to become MVFR after mid- morning.

MARINE. A cold front will approach the gulf waters tonight and northwest to north winds and seas will increase after its passage late tonight. The Small Craft Advisory was extended to cover all the waters except the bays starting tonight through late Friday night. But as winds linger above advisory criteria, it will probably be needed to be extended for some of the waters into Saturday morning. Winds and seas will then improve during the day on Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER. A few showers will be possible across the area overnight as a cold front approaches from the north and patchy fog for a few hours is possible. Poor to fair dispersions are expected tonight. By Friday morning, winds will be from the north and increase over land, and possible range 15 to 20 mph along the coast during the day.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 55 63 43 69 / 20 10 0 0 FMY 65 71 49 72 / 0 10 0 0 GIF 55 61 44 69 / 20 10 0 0 SRQ 60 68 46 72 / 10 10 0 0 BKV 51 61 38 69 / 30 10 0 0 SPG 57 65 45 70 / 10 10 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM- Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM.



KN/CL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 13 mi48 min W 8.9 G 11 80°F 81°F1016.9 hPa (-0.3)
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 28 mi48 min SSW 1.9 G 2.9 80°F 77°F1017.3 hPa (-0.4)
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 35 mi63 min WNW 4.1 80°F 1017 hPa71°F
VENF1 - Venice, FL 46 mi48 min W 8 G 8.9 72°F 75°F1017.2 hPa (+0.4)72°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL10 mi55 minW 910.00 miFair80°F66°F64%1016.4 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL14 mi55 minWSW 910.00 miFair78°F68°F71%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFMY

Wind History from FMY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8NW4NW5NW3NW3E3S4SW3CalmSE3SE4E3CalmE3SE5S5SW7S8SW9SW12SW10W11W10W9
1 day agoSW9S6SE3E3E4E5SE5E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE43W4NW5SW8W10W7W7W7NW7
2 days agoW5W5N3Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3SE3SE6SE8
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Tide / Current Tables for Punta Rassa, San Carlos Bay, Florida
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Punta Rassa
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:43 AM EST     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:43 PM EST     1.25 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:53 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:01 PM EST     1.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:23 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:32 PM EST     2.10 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.20.70.1-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.5-0.20.20.60.91.11.21.21.21.11.21.31.51.71.92.12.1

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:18 AM EST     -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:02 AM EST     1.27 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 02:58 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:53 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:01 PM EST     -0.16 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:06 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:23 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:17 PM EST     0.74 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:36 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.5-0.9-1.3-1.5-1.5-1.1-0.6-00.50.91.21.31.20.80.4-0-0.2-00.30.60.70.70.50.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.