Saturday, March28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 7:36PM Saturday March 28, 2020 7:33 PM EDT (23:33 UTC) Moonrise 8:53AMMoonset 10:25PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 335 Pm Edt Sat Mar 28 2020
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Period 10 seconds becoming 4 seconds after midnight. North northeast swell 3 feet in the evening. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..South southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Sunday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to south southeast 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds increasing to 9 seconds in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday night..South southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to south 10 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to west southwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..West northwest winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to west 10 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds around 10 knots along the coast to north 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet along the coast and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet along the coast and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 335 Pm Edt Sat Mar 28 2020
Synopsis..Northeasterly atlantic swell is causing seas of around 4 to 6 feet in the gulfstream today, but this swell should diminish over the next day or so. Easterly wind surges could bring bouts of cautionary conditions to the atlantic and lake okeechobee waters at times.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeasterly swell could produce 4 to 6 foot seas over the gulfstream through the weekend. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of mar 28, 2020 at 1200 utc... 16 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 23 nautical miles east of port everglades. 19 nautical miles east of lake worth. 18 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Ridge, FL
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location: 26.54, -80.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 281943 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 343 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

. HIGH RIP CURRENT POTENTIAL THIS WEEKEND . . A PATTERN CHANGE POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK .

Short Term (Tonight through Sunday Night).

Hot and dry conditions are expected to continue through tomorrow as mid to upper ridging remains entrenched over the area. Surface winds will remain southeasterly with surface high pressure centered over the eastern Atlantic. A cold front pushing across the southeast CONUS on Sunday will stall out across North Florida Sunday night, with pretty much no change expected for our weather down here in South Florida. High temperatures will soar into the mid 80s along the East Coast to the mid 90s across the interior both this afternoon and Sunday afternoon, which is well above average for this time of year. Some patchy fog may be possible across the interior overnight tonight into Sunday morning before dissipating after sunrise.

Long Term (Monday through Saturday).

The start of the new workweek will feature more of the same with above average temperatures and mostly dry conditions as the persistent high pressure remains in control across the forecast area. That said, there will be a change in the overall synoptic pattern beginning as early as late Monday night as the upper level ridge begins to flatten and migrate southwest across the Gulf and eventually into central Mexico.

As the aforementioned high begins to spread westward, this will allow for a fairly impressive upper level impulse to build southward across the southeast U.S. A surface cold front will slide through the region by late in the day on Wednesday. Along the front, can't rule out a scattered shower or two, however, most of the forcing will remain north of the area. As of now, don't see much more than a tenth of an inch of rainfall . and even that may be a bit generous.

After the first front on Wednesday (yes, first front) all eyes will swing to the west as another, stronger frontal boundary begins to take shape and push into the Southeast/Gulf of Mexico. With this front, there seems to be more moisture and a decent amount of lift. Models are in somewhat good agreement through the medium range. Confidence is a bit above average for this timeframe, but still cautiously optimistic with only chance of POPs mentioned at this time. With what appears to be some slightly stronger dynamics than the prior front . went ahead and added some thunder as well, but there is still a lot of time and a prior front to watch before we can really begin to hone in on exact details of next weekend. Bottom line, the stagnant pattern of above average and dry conditions looks to end around midweek next week for a cooler and perhaps wetter period.

Marine.

Northeasterly Atlantic swell is causing seas of around 4 to 6 feet in the Gulfstream today, but this swell should diminish over the next day or so. Easterly wind surges could bring bouts of cautionary conditions to the Atlantic and Lake Okeechobee waters at times.

. Aviation (18Z TAFs) .

Generally VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Some patchy fog will once again be possible across the interior overnight tonight into tomorrow morning, but confidence of any fog reaching the taf sites is low.

Beach Forecast.

A high risk of rip currents continues along the Atlantic Coast today. The rip current risk will likely remain elevated for the Atlantic Coast Sunday into early next week.

Fire Weather.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected today and tomorrow with relative humidities bottoming out in the 30-40% range across portions of the interior during the afternoon. Conditions gradually improve heading into the work week as humidity begins to increase again.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 70 86 69 85 / 0 0 10 0 Fort Lauderdale 73 85 72 84 / 0 0 10 0 Miami 72 87 72 85 / 0 0 10 0 Naples 67 88 68 87 / 0 0 10 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

AM . None. GM . None.

Short Term . MM Long Term . Frye Aviation . MM Beach Forecast . MM Marine . MM Fire Weather . MM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 5 mi45 min SSE 12 G 13 79°F1017 hPa
PEGF1 32 mi51 min ESE 7 G 12 78°F 1017.4 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 56 mi45 min E 8 G 11 78°F 82°F1017.9 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL10 mi40 minSSE 13 G 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F64°F62%1018 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL11 mi46 minESE 8 G 1810.00 miA Few Clouds79°F66°F65%1017.9 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL20 mi40 minSE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F66°F58%1017.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL24 mi40 minESE 1110.00 miA Few Clouds78°F64°F64%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPBI

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E4SE5SE5SE6SE8SE6SE5SE6SE6SE5SE4SE4SE10SE11S10SE14
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1 day agoE8E5E5E5S4SW4S3W4NW3E10E8SE6SE4SE8SE9E9E9SE11SE11SE11E9
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2 days agoW9W9W10W11W8W8W8W8W7W6NW8NW8NW5NW8NW12N10N8NE12E13NE13NE10E7E8E6

Tide / Current Tables for Boynton Beach, Lake Worth, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for South Delray Beach, ICWW, Florida
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South Delray Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:04 AM EDT     2.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:28 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:06 PM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:40 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.52.421.510.60.30.30.61.11.72.12.32.21.91.40.80.3000.30.81.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.