Thursday, July18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Ridge, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 8:16PM Thursday July 18, 2019 11:48 PM EDT (03:48 UTC) Moonrise 8:45PMMoonset 7:02AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1116 Pm Edt Thu Jul 18 2019
Rest of tonight..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday and Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Winds east southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Winds south southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Winds south southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1116 Pm Edt Thu Jul 18 2019
Synopsis.. There is a chance of showers and Thunderstorms over the atlantic and gulf waters during the overnight hours as well. A ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern through the weekend allowing for a southeasterly flow to continue. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms are possible each day. An easterly wave could push into the atlantic waters early next week. This could increase the chances of showers and Thunderstorms during this time frame.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 18, 2019 at 1200 utc... 10 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 13 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 8 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 10 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Ridge, FL
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location: 26.54, -80.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 182358
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
758 pm edt Thu jul 18 2019

Update
Updated the previous forecast based on current radar trends. Most
of the showers and thunderstorms are currently over the atlantic
waters. These showers will slowly push westward, however, they
should diminish as the evening progresses. There could be more
development of showers and thunderstorms over the atlantic and
gulf waters during the overnight hours. Low temperatures tonight
will drop into the lower 70s across the northwestern interior
sections to the lower 80s across the east coast metro areas. A
southeasterly flow will continue across south florida on Friday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop once again along
the east and west coast sea breezes as they move inland. The
greatest coverage of showers and thunderstorms will be located
across the interior and west coast sections. A strong thunderstorm
or two cannot be ruled out in the afternoon especially across the
interior sections. The strongest thunderstorms could contain
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

Prev discussion issued 741 pm edt Thu jul 18 2019
aviation...

most convection has diminished across south florida with generally
dry conditions to prevail overnight. Vcsh enters forecast for east
coast terminals around 12z Friday morning before transitioning to
vcts around 15z. Chances will then shift into the interior west
coast towards the afternoon hours with most activity diminishing
during the evening hours. Predominantly light SE winds overnight
before picking up to 8-10 kt Friday, except kapf where gulf
breeze takes effect by the afternoon.

Prev discussion... Issued 356 pm edt Thu jul 18 2019
discussion...

a mid level trough combined with the development of the east and
west coast sea breezes helped to spark off scattered showers and
thunderstorms across the region this afternoon. This mid level
trough will slowly begin to move away from the region tonight and
any left over showers or thunderstorms will begin to diminish as
the evening progresses. The exception to this will be over the
local waters as well as the east coast metro areas where there
could be a slight chance of additional shower development during
the overnight hours. Low temperatures overnight will range from
the lower 70s across the northwestern interior to the lower 80s
across the east coast metro areas. The area of high pressure
located over the western atlantic will try to build its way back
over south florida on Friday. The trough will slowly continue to
move over the eastern gulf of mexico during this time frame.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop along the east
and west coast sea breezes as they move inland. The greatest
coverage of showers and thunderstorms will be located across
interior sections and the west coast as a southeasterly flow
continues. The mid level trough over the eastern gulf of mexico
could help to enhance the shower and thunderstorm chances over the
gulf waters on Friday afternoon and evening. High temperatures on
Friday will range from around 90 across the east coast to the mid
90s across the interior sections.

For the upcoming weekend, the pattern looks to become a little
more unsettled as both of the GFS and the ECMWF show a trough
digging down into the southeastern portion of the country. At the
same time, a mid level feature in the northeastern gulf of mexico
will become trapped and it will try to interact with the trough to
the north. The trough will try to stall out and amplify over the
southeastern portion of the country throughout the weekend. This
will allow for higher rain chances across south florida during
this time frame. Shower and thunderstorms chances will still be
sea breeze driven, however, there will be more available moisture
to work with which will allow for coverage to be higher during
this time frame. The greatest coverage will still remain over the
interior and west coast sections during the afternoon and evening
hours.

For early next week, the latest computer model guidance continues
to show a tropical wave pushing closer to the region. This will
help to enhance the amount of available moisture in the areas
which will continue to lead to increased chances of showers and
thunderstorms. At the same time, both of the GFS and the ecmwf
continue to show a frontal boundary slowly pushing southward
towards the region and stalling out just to the north. This will
have to be monitored as the weekend progresses as the confidence
is low at this point in time with how far south this feature will
progress.

Marine...

scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this evening over
the local waters. There is also the chance of showers and
thunderstorms over the atlantic and gulf waters during the
overnight hours as well. A ridge of high pressure will continue to
dominate the weather pattern through the weekend allowing for a
southeasterly flow to continue. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are possible each day. An easterly wave could push
into the atlantic waters early next week. This could increase the
chances of showers and thunderstorms during this time frame.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 78 90 78 90 20 30 20 30
fort lauderdale 80 89 80 88 20 30 20 30
miami 79 90 80 90 20 30 20 30
naples 75 90 75 90 20 30 20 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 5 mi49 min 83°F 85°F1020.2 hPa (+0.8)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 31 mi49 min E 6 G 8.9 84°F 1018.9 hPa (+1.1)76°F
PEGF1 32 mi55 min E 8.9 G 12 85°F 1019 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 56 mi55 min NE 8 G 9.9 85°F 89°F1018.2 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL10 mi56 minE 910.00 miA Few Clouds83°F75°F77%1019 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL11 mi62 minE 510.00 miFair82°F75°F79%1019 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL20 mi56 minE 710.00 miA Few Clouds84°F75°F74%1018.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL24 mi56 minENE 510.00 miFair83°F75°F77%1019 hPa

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5SE4E7SE6SE9SE7SE9SE6SE8SE9SE106W8NW6NW8NW8N5N3NE5E7E6E7E7E9
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Tide / Current Tables for Boynton Beach, Lake Worth, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for South Delray Beach, ICWW, Florida
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South Delray Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:59 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:36 AM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:07 PM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:44 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.41.91.30.70.30.20.40.81.422.32.42.11.71.10.50.1-0.100.51.11.82.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.