Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mangonia Park, FL

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 334 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

After making it's way across the Florida Peninsula, the frontal boundary will settle just to the south of the Florida Straits on Thursday. With this passage, it will bring cooler and noticeably less humid air to the area. The mostly dry conditions are forecast to continue through Thursday, with a chance (20-30%) of showers primarily across the far southern peninsula, and offshore, close to the stalled frontal boundary. On Friday, the frontal boundary will begin to drift northward and stall across the Florida Straits and far southern peninsula increasing rain chances (30-50%) across South Florida, closer to climatological norms. Best chances for rain, with the strong easterly winds, will be across the southeast, especially south of Alligator Alley. Over the weekend, with PWATs rising to ~1.6-1.8", ensembles are forecasting light to moderate rain with slight chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Thursday will be the coolest day of the week with highs only reaching the upper 70s to lower 80s. From there, with a slow warming trend, the rest of the week into the weekend, highs in the low to mid 80s are expected. Lows in the 60s to low 70s are expected Wednesday night through Friday, before moderating to the low to mid 70s for the weekend.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024

VFR and L/V winds prevail until 15Z, then n/ne winds 10-15kt become gusty. TMB and MIA will carry VCSH after 19Z as sharp moisture gradient favors those terminals for isolated showers until the early evening hours.

MARINE
Issued at 1258 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

Highest seas will be in the 2 to 3 ft range through mid-week, with gentle N/NE winds today. A few showers will be possible today, mainly over southern portions of the Atlantic waters. Conditions are expected to worsen later in the week as stronger winds develop.

BEACHES
Issued at 721 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

The combination of King Tides and breezy/gusty northeasterly onshore flow along the east coast of South Florida will result in minor to moderate coastal flooding across southeastern Florida late this week into the upcoming weekend. Although offshore flow will occur across coastal southwestern Florida, minor coastal flooding remains possible.

Low risk for rip currents today with weak flow, but the risk will increase in the mid-to-late week period for all Atlantic beaches as a stronger wind pattern develops.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 71 80 73 80 / 10 20 20 40 West Kendall 70 81 71 81 / 10 20 20 50 Opa-Locka 70 81 72 81 / 10 20 20 40 Homestead 71 81 74 81 / 10 30 30 50 Fort Lauderdale 71 79 72 79 / 10 20 20 40 N Ft Lauderdale 71 80 73 81 / 10 10 20 30 Pembroke Pines 72 82 74 82 / 10 20 20 40 West Palm Beach 71 80 72 82 / 10 10 10 30 Boca Raton 71 81 72 82 / 10 10 20 30 Naples 65 81 67 82 / 0 0 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT Friday for GMZ656-657-676.