Friday, October18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Palm Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 6:50PM Friday October 18, 2019 7:23 PM EDT (23:23 UTC) Moonrise 9:25PMMoonset 10:33AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 404 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to south southwest 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms
showers likely in the afternoon
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of light showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of light showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of light showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots along the coast to east northeast 10 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of light showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 404 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
Synopsis.hazardous marine conditions are expected for the gulf waters through Saturday night as tropical storm nestor tracks from the central gulf towards the florida panhandle. A small craft advisory is in effect for all gulf waters from this evening through Saturday night due to elevated winds and seas. Cautionary conditions are also expected for the atlantic waters during this time. Showers and Thunderstorms, some potentially strong, will increase in coverage for tonight into the weekend across all local waters.
Gulf stream hazards..Shower and Thunderstorm chances increase for today into the weekend. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 17, 2019 at 1200 utc... 3 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles east of port everglades. 5 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 3 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Palm Beach, FL
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location: 26.83, -80.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 181920
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
320 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019

Short term
Tonight-Saturday: the latest forecast for nestor over the central
gulf of mexico brings its impacts across northern florida
sometime between the overnight hours and through Saturday morning.

Meanwhile, a decaying frontal boundary near the lake okeechobee
region will gradually migrate northward during the next couple of
days and keep soflo on the warm sector. This overall synoptic
scenario will allow for shower and storm coverage to gradually
increase through the overnight hours and into Saturday morning.

Expect wind shear to become enhanced tonight, which combined with
the aforementioned factors, may provide enough favorable support for
some strong cells and even possible tornadic activity across the
soflo, with best chances over northern areas.

With increasing cloud cover through Saturday afternoon, expect some
lower daytime temps compared with previous days. Daytime highs
should remain in the mid-upper 80s tomorrow.

Long term
Saturday night and Sunday...

tropical storm nestor is forecast to track from southeast georgia
on Saturday towards eastern north carolina on Sunday while
interacting with a mid-latitude trough. The leading edge of the
attendant warm advection wing should stretch from coastal georgia
towards the northwest bahamas, with a cold front located across
the eastern gulf of mexico. A southwest to northeast oriented
low-level jet should bring an area of focused warm moist
advection from the gulf coast towards the lake okeechobee region,
supporting a broken line of showers and thunderstorms early
Saturday evening. Their intensity and coverage should wane through
the night as the dynamic system departs and the low-level wind
field correspondingly weakens. A few strong thunderstorms are
possible during the early evening before the environment becomes
less conducive for this threat through the night. Given the warm
advection regime overnight lows will be quite mild ranging from
the lower 70s for the lake region to the lower 80s along the
atlantic coast.

Ridging begins building aloft of Sunday as nestor pulls away from
the region. South to southwest low-level flow will maintain a
decent moisture feed into south florida with a pinned atlantic
sea breeze convergence zone aiding in convective initiation. The
greatest coverage of showers and storms is expected across
northeast portions of our area (palm beach county) given this
regime, although scattered showers and a few storms are possible
elsewhere. Expect less in the way of coverage and intensity with
thunderstorms on Sunday given the warming temperatures and building
heights aloft. Warm readings will persist with highs mostly in
the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Monday through Friday...

seasonal and benign conditions are expected into Tuesday. Rain
chances increase by mid week as a cold front approaches the area. By
late week the front is forecast to stall somewhere in the
vicinity of the florida straits. Slightly cooler temperatures are
possible by week's end along with shower chances given the front
in the vicinity.

Aviation(18z tafs)
Based on radar trends and satellite coverage, vcts mention has
been moved to 20z and after as convection hasn't materialized
through 17z. But periods of MVFR are still possible for the later
part of this afternoon as winds remain generally sse and low
level moisture gradually increase. A good deck of mid upper lvl
clouds might hinder sfc heating for the remainder of this
afternoon, so there is not enough confidence for other than vcts
after 20z for now. Next chance at thunderstorm activity will be
Saturday after 08z as the potential tropical cyclone over the gulf
moves into northern florida. This system also tightens pressure
gradients Saturday afternoon with possible periods of breezy and
gusty S ssw winds.

Marine
Hazardous marine conditions are expected for the gulf waters through
Saturday night as tropical storm nestor tracks from the central gulf
towards the florida panhandle. A small craft advisory is in effect
for all gulf waters from this evening through Saturday night due to
elevated winds and seas. Cautionary conditions are also expected for
the atlantic waters during this time. Showers and thunderstorms,
some potentially strong, will increase in coverage for tonight into
the weekend across all local waters.

Beaches
Hazardous beach conditions are anticipated along the gulf coast as
tropical storm nestor tracks from the central gulf towards the
florida panhandle over the weekend. There is a high risk for rip
currents through Sunday, with minor coastal flooding possible
through the first half of Sunday as well.

Climate
Location date forecast hi-min record
naples 19 oct 76 78 in 1968
west palm beach 19 oct 77 80 in 2018
fort lauderdale 19 oct 79 79 in 2013
miami 19 oct 78 79 in 1970
naples 20 oct 76 76 in 2013
west palm beach 20 oct 76 78 in 2017
fort lauderdale 20 oct 78 79 in 1993
miami 20 oct 78 80 in 1969

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 77 86 76 88 70 70 50 60
fort lauderdale 79 86 79 88 60 60 50 50
miami 78 87 78 89 60 50 50 40
naples 76 86 76 88 50 70 70 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk from 8 pm edt this evening through Sunday
evening for flz069.

Am... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory from 8 pm this evening to 2 am edt Sunday
for gmz656-657-676.

Tonight Saturday and aviation... Ar
Saturday night through Friday and marine beaches climate... Spm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 15 mi53 min SE 11 G 12 82°F 84°F1012.9 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 57 mi23 min SSE 6 G 7 81°F 1012.6 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL11 mi30 minSE 810.00 miOvercast83°F75°F77%1012 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPBI

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W3CalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3SE7E10E9E8SE11SE10SE8
1 day agoW5W8W8W8W9W8W8W6W6W5W6W5W5W75W6W74W8NW12NW7NW10SE8SE5
2 days agoSE10E9SE9SE6SE5SE5SE4S3S3S3SW3SW4S4S4SW9SW8SW11
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Tide / Current Tables for North Palm Beach, Lake Worth, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Lake Worth Creek, Day Beacon 19, ICWW, Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Lake Worth Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:02 AM EDT     2.56 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:38 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:44 PM EDT     2.69 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:10 PM EDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.52.21.71.30.90.60.60.81.31.82.32.62.72.52.21.81.51.21.11.11.41.82.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.