Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Charlotte Harbor, FL

FXUS62 KTBW 281209 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 809 AM EDT Mon Apr 28 2025

New AVIATION

DISCUSSION
The synoptic setup aloft over the region this morning features a low over the northeast and high pressure well to the west of Florida. At the surface, weak high pressure remains over the state while a weak frontal boundary moves southward toward the local area. Moisture is on the rise ahead of this boundary and even as it continues to weaken, the ingredients are there for increasing showers and a few storms this afternoon and evening. The best chances are still forecast to be over the Nature Coast, diminishing to only 20% or so for southwest Florida. Still only looking like up to a half inch on the higher end of the forecast rainfall amounts for those lucky enough to get some rain. Some activity will linger past 00Z, then a dry overnight is expected.

For Tuesday, high pressure northeast of the state will keep an east to southeast wind flow in place, with the sea breeze turning winds onshore in the afternoon. Moisture will be diminishing from today, but it does look like there will still be enough to squeeze out a handful of showers and may be a storm or two in the afternoon, especially closer to the coast where the sea breeze will likely end up.

The rest of the work week will feature high pressure and a return to warm and dry weather. It does look like rain chances try to make a return next weekend, however, as troughing moves over the eastern half of the country and a frontal boundary settles over the state.
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