Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manasota Key, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 227 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Our quiet weather pattern will continue today with high pressure overhead and temperatures rising quickly again into the low 80's.
A weak frontal system will try to push through on Tuesday but end up stalling along I-4 through Wednesday. This will result in some isolated showers and storms mainly in the interior in the afternoon and evening both days. We will also see a small difference in temperatures with ares north of I-4 in the low to mid 80's while areas south of I-4 in the mid to upper 80's.

The front will dissipate by Thursday as high pressure returns.
Another cold front will start to push through the southeast on Friday. As it does so we will see a warmer air mass come overhead resulting in near record breaking highs in the upper 80's to near 90 degrees Friday and Saturday. The front itself will push through late on Saturday which could bring an isolated shower or two across the CWA High pressure located over the mid Atlantic States will settle in on Sunday bringing slightly cooler air with highs in the low 80's.



AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 227 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026

VFR conditions through the period with winds out of the west generally below 10 knots.

MARINE
Issued at 227 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Winds will remain around 5 knots through Tuesday out of the west and northwest. A weak cold front will dissipate over the area on Wednesday. This will shift winds more northerly for the second half the week and increase winds slightly to 5 to 10 knots.



FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 227 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Critical RHs will still be possible today mainly in the interior south of I-4. For the rest of the week RHs will remain above critical levels. A weak cold front will stall over the area Tuesday and Wednesday bringing some isolated showers and storms to the area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 63 83 65 / 0 0 20 10 FMY 83 58 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 85 59 86 64 / 0 0 40 20 SRQ 79 62 81 63 / 0 0 10 10 BKV 80 56 84 60 / 0 0 40 20 SPG 80 65 82 67 / 0 0 20 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.