Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Warm Mineral Springs, FL
July 26, 2024 7:37 PM EDT (23:37 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:49 AM Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 11:09 PM Moonset 11:18 AM |
GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 238 Pm Edt Fri Jul 26 2024
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast late this evening, then becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms until early morning.
Saturday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon.
Monday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening.
Tuesday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night - North winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening.
Wednesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 238 Pm Edt Fri Jul 26 2024
Synopsis - Fairly light southeast to south winds will continue through the weekend with a turn onshore each afternoon as the sea breeze develops. No headlines are expected, though scattered Thunderstorms are possible each day.
FXUS62 KTBW 261838 AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 238 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024
DISCUSSION
Mid/upper-level high pressure remains over the region this afternoon with a trough swinging through the northeast U.S. and surface high pressure extending across the peninsula. Overall light wind flow today will lead to additional convection developing along the sea breeze boundary collision over the interior and then slowly drifting back westward through the rest of the evening.
For Saturday and Sunday, high pressure aloft shifts west as troughing moves over the Atlantic. A surface boundary will move into northern Florida, pushing the Atlantic ridge axis farther south. A bit of a complicated setup, but add in higher moisture and we should see increased storm activity both days.
Global models continue to indicate troughing continuing over the state into early next week with a relatively weak surface pattern.
Higher moisture is also forecast to remain and all of this supports a forecast of continued higher rain chances, with storms dominated by sea breeze and outflow boundaries due to the lack of steering flow. The Atlantic ridge axis then builds back in for Wednesday through the end of the week, with a southeast flow pattern returning.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Thunderstorms will be possible for all sites through the rest of the day, likely lingering after 00Z. No concerns overnight, then another round of storms is expected tomorrow afternoon.
MARINE
Fairly light southeast to south winds will continue through the weekend with a turn onshore each afternoon as the sea breeze develops. No headlines are expected, though scattered thunderstorms are possible each day.
FIRE WEATHER
No fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 78 91 78 92 / 40 70 40 70 FMY 77 94 78 94 / 50 60 20 60 GIF 76 95 76 94 / 50 70 30 70 SRQ 77 93 77 93 / 40 70 40 70 BKV 74 94 74 93 / 40 70 40 70 SPG 81 92 81 93 / 40 70 50 70
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 1
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 238 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024
DISCUSSION
Mid/upper-level high pressure remains over the region this afternoon with a trough swinging through the northeast U.S. and surface high pressure extending across the peninsula. Overall light wind flow today will lead to additional convection developing along the sea breeze boundary collision over the interior and then slowly drifting back westward through the rest of the evening.
For Saturday and Sunday, high pressure aloft shifts west as troughing moves over the Atlantic. A surface boundary will move into northern Florida, pushing the Atlantic ridge axis farther south. A bit of a complicated setup, but add in higher moisture and we should see increased storm activity both days.
Global models continue to indicate troughing continuing over the state into early next week with a relatively weak surface pattern.
Higher moisture is also forecast to remain and all of this supports a forecast of continued higher rain chances, with storms dominated by sea breeze and outflow boundaries due to the lack of steering flow. The Atlantic ridge axis then builds back in for Wednesday through the end of the week, with a southeast flow pattern returning.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Thunderstorms will be possible for all sites through the rest of the day, likely lingering after 00Z. No concerns overnight, then another round of storms is expected tomorrow afternoon.
MARINE
Fairly light southeast to south winds will continue through the weekend with a turn onshore each afternoon as the sea breeze develops. No headlines are expected, though scattered thunderstorms are possible each day.
FIRE WEATHER
No fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 78 91 78 92 / 40 70 40 70 FMY 77 94 78 94 / 50 60 20 60 GIF 76 95 76 94 / 50 70 30 70 SRQ 77 93 77 93 / 40 70 40 70 BKV 74 94 74 93 / 40 70 40 70 SPG 81 92 81 93 / 40 70 50 70
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 1
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| VENF1 - Venice, FL | 9 mi | 37 min | WNW 8.9G | 87°F | 89°F | 30.00 | 78°F | |
| 42013 - C10 - Navy-2 | 35 mi | 62 min | W 7.8G | 87°F | 90°F | 30.01 | 87°F | |
| FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL | 35 mi | 49 min | WSW 5.1G | 90°F | 30.01 | |||
| PMAF1 | 44 mi | 49 min | 90°F | 30.02 | ||||
| MTBF1 | 46 mi | 49 min | NNE 6G | 30.00 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KVNC
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KVNC
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KVNC
Wind History graph: VNC
(wind in knots)El Jobean
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:20 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:22 AM EDT 1.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:16 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 02:50 PM EDT 0.59 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:32 PM EDT 1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:20 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:22 AM EDT 1.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:16 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 02:50 PM EDT 0.59 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:32 PM EDT 1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
El Jobean, Myakka River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.8 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 1.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.7 |
| 9 am |
| 1.7 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.3 |
Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:27 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:38 AM EDT 2.45 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:08 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:10 AM EDT -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 12:16 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 01:04 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:02 PM EDT 1.81 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:19 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:19 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:13 PM EDT -1.21 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:27 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:38 AM EDT 2.45 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:08 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:10 AM EDT -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 12:16 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 01:04 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:02 PM EDT 1.81 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:19 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:19 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:13 PM EDT -1.21 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1.7 |
| 3 am |
| 2.3 |
| 4 am |
| 2.4 |
| 5 am |
| 1.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.7 |
| 9 am |
| -1.3 |
| 10 am |
| -1.6 |
| 11 am |
| -1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| -1 |
| 10 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| -1.1 |
Tampa Bay Area, FL,
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