Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Southeast Arcadia, FL

December 9, 2023 8:56 AM EST (13:56 UTC)
Sunrise 7:04AM Sunset 5:36PM Moonrise 3:46AM Moonset 3:05PM
GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 403 Am Est Sat Dec 9 2023
Today..East winds around 10 knots, becoming south this afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Today..East winds around 10 knots, becoming south this afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 403 Am Est Sat Dec 9 2023
Synopsis.. High pressure over the western atlantic will keep southeast winds across the waters today into tonight. A strong cold front will move through the area late Sunday and Sunday night with southerly winds and seas increasing ahead of a line of showers and Thunderstorms. Strong high pressure will quickly build into the region with robust northwest to north winds and hazardous elevated seas Sunday night through Monday. Small craft should remain in port until conditions improve Tuesday.
Synopsis.. High pressure over the western atlantic will keep southeast winds across the waters today into tonight. A strong cold front will move through the area late Sunday and Sunday night with southerly winds and seas increasing ahead of a line of showers and Thunderstorms. Strong high pressure will quickly build into the region with robust northwest to north winds and hazardous elevated seas Sunday night through Monday. Small craft should remain in port until conditions improve Tuesday.

Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 091132 AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 632 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
New AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Early morning IR satellite and radar imagery are showing upper level clouds and showers over Florida associated with a weak shortwave trough passing through the southeastern US while a deep longwave trough builds into the Central Plains and Mississippi River Valley.
This longwave trough will continue to dig into the southeastern CONUS through the rest of the weekend, dragging a cold front into the Florida Peninsula late Sunday and into Sunday night. Ahead of this front, southeasterly flow will allow for temperatures and dew points to build today and into early Sunday, with highs topping out in the low to mid 80s this afternoon. With the building surface moisture, some patchy fog will be possible Sunday morning, although wind speeds will be too high for widespread fog. Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are then forecast to develop along and ahead of the front Sunday afternoon and evening. With moderate low level shear and lapse rates, a few strong or damaging storms cannot be completely ruled out, with the highest chances over the Nature Coast where dynamics are more favorable.
Behind the front, cooler and drier air will fill in Monday and Tuesday, with morning lows dropping into the upper 30s and low 40s over the Nature Coast and mid 40s to low 50s to the south.
Temperatures will moderate again Tuesday through the rest of the week as High pressure builds in to the north of Florida. During the second half of the week, the frontal boundary will back up into southern Florida as a warm front, allowing for slight chances of showers each day, mainly south of Interstate 4.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout the TAF period with high pressure in control. Winds are mainly SE this morning and will gradually shift onshore later in the day at coastal terminals with wind speeds around 5-7 kts.
MARINE
Southerly and southeasterly winds will continue today and tonight as high pressure holds east of Florida, with wind speeds remaining around 15 knots of less. An approaching cold front will bring thunderstorms into the waters Sunday and Sunday night, with winds increasing ahead of the front Sunday, then turning to northwesterly behind the front late Sunday and Sunday night. Winds and seas will build to Small Craft Advisory levels late Sunday before subsiding slightly on Monday, although winds will continue approach Advisory levels at times through the middle of next week.
FIRE WEATHER
No humidity concerns. A few patches of fog will be possible each of the next couple of mornings.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 81 67 79 53 / 0 0 60 60 FMY 83 65 82 60 / 0 0 20 40 GIF 81 64 82 51 / 10 0 40 60 SRQ 82 64 79 52 / 0 0 50 50 BKV 83 62 81 46 / 10 10 60 60 SPG 78 67 76 54 / 0 0 60 60
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 632 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
New AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Early morning IR satellite and radar imagery are showing upper level clouds and showers over Florida associated with a weak shortwave trough passing through the southeastern US while a deep longwave trough builds into the Central Plains and Mississippi River Valley.
This longwave trough will continue to dig into the southeastern CONUS through the rest of the weekend, dragging a cold front into the Florida Peninsula late Sunday and into Sunday night. Ahead of this front, southeasterly flow will allow for temperatures and dew points to build today and into early Sunday, with highs topping out in the low to mid 80s this afternoon. With the building surface moisture, some patchy fog will be possible Sunday morning, although wind speeds will be too high for widespread fog. Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are then forecast to develop along and ahead of the front Sunday afternoon and evening. With moderate low level shear and lapse rates, a few strong or damaging storms cannot be completely ruled out, with the highest chances over the Nature Coast where dynamics are more favorable.
Behind the front, cooler and drier air will fill in Monday and Tuesday, with morning lows dropping into the upper 30s and low 40s over the Nature Coast and mid 40s to low 50s to the south.
Temperatures will moderate again Tuesday through the rest of the week as High pressure builds in to the north of Florida. During the second half of the week, the frontal boundary will back up into southern Florida as a warm front, allowing for slight chances of showers each day, mainly south of Interstate 4.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout the TAF period with high pressure in control. Winds are mainly SE this morning and will gradually shift onshore later in the day at coastal terminals with wind speeds around 5-7 kts.
MARINE
Southerly and southeasterly winds will continue today and tonight as high pressure holds east of Florida, with wind speeds remaining around 15 knots of less. An approaching cold front will bring thunderstorms into the waters Sunday and Sunday night, with winds increasing ahead of the front Sunday, then turning to northwesterly behind the front late Sunday and Sunday night. Winds and seas will build to Small Craft Advisory levels late Sunday before subsiding slightly on Monday, although winds will continue approach Advisory levels at times through the middle of next week.
FIRE WEATHER
No humidity concerns. A few patches of fog will be possible each of the next couple of mornings.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 81 67 79 53 / 0 0 60 60 FMY 83 65 82 60 / 0 0 20 40 GIF 81 64 82 51 / 10 0 40 60 SRQ 82 64 79 52 / 0 0 50 50 BKV 83 62 81 46 / 10 10 60 60 SPG 78 67 76 54 / 0 0 60 60
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
VENF1 - Venice, FL | 24 mi | 56 min | ENE 6G | 65°F | 67°F | 30.14 | 64°F | |
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL | 35 mi | 68 min | 67°F | |||||
PMAF1 | 46 mi | 68 min | 66°F | |||||
MTBF1 | 48 mi | 86 min | 30.14 | |||||
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 | 49 mi | 81 min | ESE 14G | 71°F | 74°F | 30.14 | 70°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPGD PUNTA GORDA,FL | 15 sm | 63 min | E 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 64°F | 63°F | 94% | 30.16 | |
KVNC VENICE MUNI,FL | 24 sm | 21 min | E 09G16 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 72°F | 100% | 30.17 |
Wind History from PGD
(wind in knots)Shell Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:04 AM EST 1.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:45 AM EST Moonrise
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:16 AM EST -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:42 PM EST 1.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EST Moonset
Sat -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 07:14 PM EST 1.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:04 AM EST 1.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:45 AM EST Moonrise
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:16 AM EST -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:42 PM EST 1.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EST Moonset
Sat -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 07:14 PM EST 1.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Shell Point, Peace River, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1.8 |
1 am |
1.8 |
2 am |
1.6 |
3 am |
1.3 |
4 am |
1 |
5 am |
0.6 |
6 am |
0.3 |
7 am |
0.1 |
8 am |
-0 |
9 am |
0 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.5 |
12 pm |
0.8 |
1 pm |
1.1 |
2 pm |
1.2 |
3 pm |
1.3 |
4 pm |
1.2 |
5 pm |
1.2 |
6 pm |
1.1 |
7 pm |
1 |
8 pm |
1.1 |
9 pm |
1.3 |
10 pm |
1.5 |
11 pm |
1.8 |
Punta Gorda
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:45 AM EST Moonrise
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 07:08 AM EST -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:09 PM EST 1.14 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:05 PM EST Moonset
Sat -- 05:35 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 06:12 PM EST 0.96 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:49 PM EST 1.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:45 AM EST Moonrise
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 07:08 AM EST -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:09 PM EST 1.14 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:05 PM EST Moonset
Sat -- 05:35 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 06:12 PM EST 0.96 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:49 PM EST 1.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Punta Gorda, Charlotte Harbor, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1.6 |
1 am |
1.5 |
2 am |
1.2 |
3 am |
0.9 |
4 am |
0.6 |
5 am |
0.3 |
6 am |
0.1 |
7 am |
-0 |
8 am |
0 |
9 am |
0.2 |
10 am |
0.5 |
11 am |
0.8 |
12 pm |
1 |
1 pm |
1.1 |
2 pm |
1.1 |
3 pm |
1.1 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
1 |
7 pm |
1 |
8 pm |
1.1 |
9 pm |
1.4 |
10 pm |
1.6 |
11 pm |
1.7 |
Tampa Bay Area, FL,

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