Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Stuart, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 5:28PM Monday December 9, 2019 7:21 AM EST (12:21 UTC) Moonrise 3:52PMMoonset 4:22AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 405 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 405 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge will build across the adjacent atlantic and florida into mid week. Another cold front will then move into the waters on Wednesday and become stationary across the area. Deteriorating boating conditions are expected beginning Wednesday night with hazardous conditions continuing into the upcoming weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, december 7th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stuart, FL
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location: 27.2, -80.26     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 090905 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 405 AM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

DISCUSSION. Today-tonight . An expansive area of high pressure over the northwest Atlantic this morning will shift east. It will then stretch southwest toward the Florida peninsula and Gulf of Mexico. Southeast winds this morning will veer from the south in the early afternoon, and vary between SE to S tonight. PWAT values will stay near one inch today and increase to around 1.3 inches later tonight. As the ridge positions itself over central FL, some patches of moisture will stream towards the Treasure Coast and adjacent waters late tonight. At the same time, wind go calm late tonight across areas north of Orlando and patchy fog could develop after midnight through early morning. Temps today will climb to the lower 80s and drop down to the lower 60s late tonight across the interior and mid 60s along the coast.

Tuesday-Tuesday night . Scattered showers will remain possible through the morning hours on Tuesday across the Treasure Coast before flow veers keeping showers offshore. Afterwards, a very warm day by December standards is expected with southerly flow remaining in place. Highs are forecast to be roughly 10 degrees above normal for this time of year, which may threaten a record high at Sanford, which stands at 85 degrees from 2013. Interior locations should reach the 84-86 degree range, and the Atlantic seabreeze will keep highs a couple of degrees cooler toward the coast. The atmosphere will still be pretty dry aloft, but some increasing moisture should allow isolated showers to develop in the afternoon.

By Tuesday evening, our next cold front will be moving into northern Florida, and a disturbance aloft moving in from the southwest out ahead of this front will lead to additional shower development across the area. Overnight lows well above normal with mid to upper 60s inland and upper 60s to near 70 near the beaches.

Wednesday-Friday . The previously mentioned front will enter central Florida during the day Wednesday and then stall out somewhere across the area. Rain chances will increase during this period, especially in the Wednesday night through Thursday night timeframe. Models are still showing a coastal trough developing just offshore, and convergence associated with this trough along with deep moisture and impulses in the flow aloft will keep the highest chances for the coastal counties. Both the ECMWF and GFS are indicating locally heavy rainfall with the models starting to key in on Brevard and Volusia county. However, this is highly dependent on where the front stalls out and will undoubtedly fluctuate in the next several models runs. Due to cooling temperatures aloft, have also included a slight thunder chance for Thursday.

High rain chances continue into Friday with the front still lingering across the area, but it is forecast to lift north through the day as a weak surface low/trough develops over the Gulf of Mexico and starts to take the deeper moisture with it. Forecast will carry 40-50% chances across the area with the higher chances north of Orlando.

Saturday-Sunday . The global models are both showing the surface low/trough over the Gulf lifting rapidly to the north on Saturday with its trailing cold front extending down the U.S. east coast. The GFS rapidly pushes the cold front through the area on Saturday as a mid-level trough moves across the Gulf Coast states. The ECMWF is showing the mid-level trough as well but does not clear the front through the area. Forecast will compromise among the models and advertise a chance of showers on Saturday, but both are indicating dry conditions for Sunday once the mid-level trough axis moves to our east and brings in some drier air.

AVIATION. VFR today. SE winds 5-10 kt today becoming light and variable tonight. Isolated areas could experience fog late tonight into early morning reducing visibilities for some of the terminals, mainly KMCO to KDAB and Treasure Coast (KVRB-KSUA)

MARINE. Today-tonight . A ridge from the northeast will extend towards the local Atlantic waters today, keeping winds less than 15 kt from the SE to S through the night. Seas 3-4 ft across the nearshore waters are expected while offshore will experience 4-5 ft.

Tuesday-Wednesday . Southerly flow will increase to around 10-15 knots nearshore and around 15 knots offshore on Tuesday. Flow will begin to veer late Tuesday night as a cold front approaches and then stalls out across the area on Wednesday. Seas will be generally 4-5 ft but may approach 6 ft well offshore.

Wednesday night-Friday . Deteriorating conditions are expected beginning Wednesday night as northeasterly winds increase north of the stalled boundary. Seas will also begin to build from north to south across the waters Thursday into Friday with combined seas reaching 6 to 8 feet nearshore and 8 to 10 feet offshore creating hazardous boating conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 81 62 83 67 / 0 10 20 30 MCO 81 63 85 67 / 0 0 20 30 MLB 81 67 83 70 / 0 10 20 30 VRB 81 66 83 69 / 0 20 20 20 LEE 82 62 84 67 / 0 0 20 30 SFB 82 63 85 68 / 0 10 20 30 ORL 82 64 85 68 / 0 0 20 30 FPR 81 65 82 69 / 0 20 20 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Negron/Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 24 mi21 min 72°F3 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 42 mi51 min SSE 8.9 G 13 76°F 77°F1020.9 hPa
SIPF1 47 mi36 min WSW 1.9 66°F 66°F1021 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 75 mi21 min E 7 G 8 72°F 1020.5 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL2 mi34 minN 07.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F57°F88%1020.3 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL22 mi28 minN 06.00 miFog/Mist54°F51°F90%1020 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--SE5E7E8NE10NE10E8E9E7E6E5E5SE5SE6SE6SE6SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day ago----------------E4E5CalmCalmCalm44N5NW3NW4N3CalmCalmCalmE10Calm
2 days ago3CalmCalm3E8E6E6SE5SE5SE5SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4W3CalmNW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Stuart
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:14 AM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:22 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:39 AM EST     1.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:42 PM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:39 PM EST     1.00 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.40.30.20.20.40.60.91110.90.80.60.50.50.50.50.70.9110.90.8

Tide / Current Tables for Seminole Shores, Florida
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Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:22 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:27 AM EST     3.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:58 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:37 AM EST     0.68 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:27 PM EST     3.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:48 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.91.62.433.33.332.41.71.10.80.711.62.22.83.23.12.82.21.40.70.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.