Sunrise 6:54 AM   Sunset 7:48 PM Moonrise 12:35 PM   Moonset 1:59 AM

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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 153 Pm Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Wednesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Friday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Saturday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Sunday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 153 Pm Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Synopsis - High pressure over the western atlantic will remain in place, with the ridge axis extending westward across north central florida through Wednesday. The ridge axis will then slip southward, reaching south florida Thursday and Friday. Onshore flow will persist through midweek, then become southerly late week into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, april 14th.
49 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 35 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 29 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 161906 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 306 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 253 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Tonight-Wednesday...High pressure lingers over the western Atlantic through mid-week, with the ridge axis placed north of the area, across north Florida. Conditions will remain dry through the period, as PWATs under 1" persist across the area. Easterly winds this afternoon will become around 5mph overnight, then increase once again to around 8-12mph out of the southeast Wednesday afternoon. A few gusts to around 20mph will be possible along the coast as the sea breeze develops. Overnight lows falling into the upper 50s to lower 60s Wednesday morning. By the afternoon, high temperatures will reach the mid-80s to near 90 west of I-95, as the warming trend persists. Coastal areas east of I-95 will remain in the lower 80s.
Interior temperatures will be above normal, but remain well below record highs.

Thursday-Sunday...Temperatures climb well above normal through the weekend as the high pressure ridge extending over Florida from the Atlantic shifts south, and ridging over the GOMEX nudges eastward a bit as troughing over the CONUS flattens the ridge.
Afternoon highs in the U80s-90 inland and U70-L80s along the coast corridor Thursday afternoon, further increase to the L90s inland and the M-U80s near the coast Friday, then find another degree or two Saturday, with even the barrier islands making it into the U80s. A few high temperature records could be threatened, but as we get closer to that hot part of the year and records push further into the 90s, most places will fall short this time around. The dry conditions will provide some relief, with relative humidity values dropping as low 30 pct Friday and Saturday, and even the barrier islands down to 60 pct. 12Z guidance has once again flipped back to no QPF this weekend, continuing to keep confidence in rain chances before Monday low.

Monday...(Previous Discussion) Mid level troughing developing over the eastern CONUS will help push a frontal boundary into the Deep South and could bring our next best chance for scattered showers but also storms. Current forecast has a weakening boundary oozing southward into central FL so have drawn 40 PoPs across the north and 20 PoPs across the south but timing uncertainties exist at this long range. While many will welcome some rain, it may also come with a risk of lightning strikes which could spark brush fires given the dry antecedent conditions. This will be an ongoing concern as we enter our peak fire season prior to the onset of the wet season.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 253 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Dry, VFR conditions prevailing. Easterly winds becoming around 5kts overnight. Winds will veer southeasterly into Wednesday, increasing once again to 9-14kts after 14Z. Some higher gusts to around 20kts will be possible along the coast.

MARINE
Issued at 253 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Tonight-Wednesday...Generally favorable boating conditions persist, with dry conditions, thanks to continuing high pressure over the local Atlantic waters. Easterly winds today will become progressively more southeasterly through the period around 10-15kts.
Seas 2-4ft.

Thursday-Saturday...Favorable boating conditions continue as high pressure extending over Florida form the Atlantic shifts south of the local waters by Friday. A loose pressure gradient will keep S-SW winds generally 5-10 kts, becoming S-SE and occasionally up to 15 kts in the afternoon and evening with the sea breeze circulation. Seas 2-3 ft, building up to 4 ft offshore Friday. Dry conditions.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 253 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

High pressure will remain in control over east central Florida through Saturday, maintaining dry conditions and warming temperatures. Fire weather sensitive conditions will exist today as wind increase out of the east southeast 10-14 mph with gusts around 20 mph. Winds will decrease slightly Wednesday and Thursday and become more southerly as ridge axis slips south across the area and becomes stationary across south Florida late this week and weekend. Min RH values will reach at or below critical levels across the interior each afternoon, falling near 30% today north and west of Orlando and 30-35% across all the interior Wednesday through Saturday. Min RH values will hold between 40-50% near the east coast. Very Good dispersion is forecast this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 62 82 64 85 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 63 87 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 65 81 65 83 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 63 83 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 63 87 66 88 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 62 87 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 64 87 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 62 82 61 83 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Eden
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Tue -- 12:30 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:27 AM EDT     0.95 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:21 PM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:45 PM EDT     0.86 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Eden, Nettles Island, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

Stuart
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:29 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:05 AM EDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:20 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:23 PM EDT     0.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida, Tide feet

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