Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
St. Lucie Village, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 6:47PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 9:38 AM EDT (13:38 UTC) Moonrise 12:17AMMoonset 2:13PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 403 Am Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
Today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 403 Am Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
Synopsis..A weak high pressure ridge over south florida and the bahamas this morning will move east as a cool front sags into central florida tonight, causing winds to quickly shift to north. The front will stall across south florida Wednesday, then become diffuse through late week. Increasing onshore flow will cause seas to build, with poor conditions developing well offshore.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday october 22nd. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Lucie Village, FL
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location: 27.48, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 220812
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
412 am edt Tue oct 22 2019

Discussion
Current... Stout mid level ridge continues to sit across central sofl
and the bahamas early this morning. Low level flow continues to veer
on the backside of the slowly retreating atlc surface ridge. Kmlb
88d shows isolated small showers developing over land between lake o
and the treasure coast south of vero beach. A more pronounced line
of convection has formed well offshore. Along a narrow convergence
band which has st up along the periphery of the ridge. Well to the
nw, a weakening band of pre-frontal convection is noted from the fl
big bend region nne across the eastern panhandle. Light, but sultry
flow is keeping current temps in the u70s areawide.

Today-tonight... The base of a large short wave trough which moved
across the eastern CONUS today-tonight will temporarily flatten the
nw flank of the ridge. This, in turn will allow a weak cool front to
sag into north florida around sunset, and then into central florida
near or a little north of lake o by sunrise wed. Global mesoscale is
not all that keen on precip prospects for today, showing ~20 percent
for all but the SE CWA (30), where some sea lake breeze convergence
may enhance chances there a bit.

Max temps in the u80s-l90s. Modified CAA will reach the northern cwa
late night, allowing mins to drop into the from l-m60s across north
lake NW volusia cos. U60s-l70s to the south, save for m70s along the
immediate treasure coast.

Wed-fri... Weak cool front shifts south of lake okeechobee and stalls
across south florida into Wednesday. Drier air settles across the
north keeping rain chances out of the forecast from osceola and
brevard counties northward. However, lingering moisture near the
boundary and increasing low level NE onshore flow from strong ridge
across the southeast u.S. Will continue to generate isolated to
scattered showers that will move onshore and inland across the
treasure coast and okeechobee county. It will be cooler behind the
front with highs in the upper 70s north of orlando, with low to mid
80s expected to the south. Into Wednesday night, min temps should
fall into the mid to upper 60s near to northwest of i-4, with
onshore flow keeping lows in the low to mid 70s farther south and
along the coast.

Center of high pressure across the southeast states moves toward the
mid-atlantic and offshore into late week, with flow veering to the
east and allowing moisture to build back across the region,
increasing rain chances thu-fri up to 40-50 percent. This onshore
flow will also erode any of the cooler air across the north, with
highs in the low-mid 80s across east central florida. Overnight lows
will remain mild in the low to mid 70s.

Sat-mon... Model solutions continue to diverge into the weekend and
early next week. The GFS still showing a deeper trough that moves
into the eastern u.S. And weakens mid level ridge across the area.

This eventually drags another front toward the state, stalling it to
the northwest as broad low pressure develops along the boundary over
the gulf and lifts northward. The ECMWF on the other hand continues
to show closed low breaking off around the southern rockies southern
plains, shifting trough farther north as it shifts east and allowing
mid-level ridge to remain in place. Either way it will remain warm
through the period with highs in the mid to upper 80s, and overnight
lows remaining mild in the low to mid 70s. Rain chances remain more
uncertain, with the ECMWF slightly drier with ridge in place, but
for now will maintain chance pops around 40-50 percent in the
forecast.

Aviation Vfr. Precip chances not high enough to introduce any
tempo groups at this time.

Marine
Today-tonight... Sw pre-frontal flow around 10kt will shift
to north around 15-17kt immediately behind the cool front. Seas 2-
3ft today will build as high as 4 to possibly 5ft well offshore to
the north of CAPE canaveral late tonight.

Wed-sat... Poor boating conditions into wed-wed night expected as
n NE wind surge up to 15-20 knots builds down across the waters
behind weak cool front, building seas to 4-6 feet. Flow quickly
veers more onshore as strong ridge builds in across the southeast
u.S., with winds decreasing to around 10-15 knots into late
week early weekend and seas falling slightly to around 3-5 feet.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 89 68 77 69 20 20 0 20
mco 89 69 81 69 20 10 10 10
mlb 91 74 82 73 20 30 10 20
vrb 92 74 83 75 20 30 30 30
lee 89 66 80 67 20 10 0 10
sfb 90 67 79 69 20 20 10 10
orl 89 68 80 69 20 10 10 10
fpr 92 75 84 75 30 30 30 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Cristaldi
long term... .Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 8 mi39 min 83°F1 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 62 mi51 min WNW 1.9 G 4.1 80°F 84°F1018.5 hPa
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 66 mi51 min SSW 6 G 8.9 79°F 82°F1017.8 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 71 mi39 min SSW 7.8 G 9.7 80°F 1016.9 hPa (+0.5)75°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL3 mi46 minS 310.00 miA Few Clouds80°F75°F85%1016.8 hPa
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL13 mi46 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist80°F75°F87%1016.9 hPa
Witham Field Airport, FL21 mi52 minSSW 45.00 miA Few Clouds with Haze81°F75°F84%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFPR

Wind History from FPR (wind in knots)
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S5W5SE6SE9SE7SE8SE7S4S3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmS3S3
1 day agoSW8SW6SW10SW11W8W8W6SW4SW4SW4SW4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW3CalmCalmS3S3CalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for St. Lucie, Indian River, Florida
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St. Lucie
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:06 AM EDT     1.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:14 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:55 PM EDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:56 PM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.21.31.31.31.21.10.90.80.70.70.70.811.21.31.41.31.31.110.90.8

Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:26 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:04 AM EDT     0.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:22 PM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT     0.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.20.20.20.1-0-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.100.20.30.40.40.30.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.