Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lakewood Park, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 150 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Today-Tonight...The Florida peninsula will be sandwiched between ridging over the western Atlantic, stretching its axis across the Bahamas, and high pressure over the Gulf today. Light offshore flow prevails, becoming variable at times. However, will see winds back southeasterly this afternoon, with the development of the sea breeze, and increase to near 10 mph. Available moisture near 2" will support the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon (PoPs 40-60%). Convection is forecast to begin along the sea breeze, near the coast, after around 2 PM.
Then, transition inland through the afternoon, with a sea breeze collision over the interior, near the Orlando metro, by this evening. 500 mb temperatures remain warm at -5 to -6 C. But, steep low level lapse rates and precip loading could produce a few strong wind gusts this afternoon to near 50 mph. Slow storm motions 10 mph or less will also lead to a continued heavy rainfall threat.

Convection sustains itself along outflow boundaries through the evening hours, with some slow drift back towards the coast possible. Drier conditions develop by around midnight, then continue through the remainder of the overnight hours.
Temperatures in the lower to mid-90s will feel noticeably warmer today, as heat indices reach 100-107 area-wide. This, combined with little overnight relief from lows in the mid to upper 70s, will produce at least a Moderate HeatRisk for much of the forecast area. Locations north and west of I-4, including the Orlando metro, are expected to see Major HeatRisk conditions. Include heat safety in your weekend plans and use caution during the heat of the day.

Sunday-Friday...The Atlantic ridge axis remains south of central Florida through most of next week, though models suggest a northward shift by late in the week. Meanwhile, mid-level ridging continues over the Gulf. Overall, the local pattern remains unchanged through the period. Moist PWATs continue to hover around 1.8-2.2", providing ample moisture for daily scattered showers and storms. Prevailing offshore flow will keep the highest PoPs (40-70%) over the eastern half of the peninsula. Most convection is forecast along the daily sea breeze, which will back winds near the coast southerly to southeasterly each afternoon. Therefore, expect peak convection in the afternoons, lingering into the evenings as cells drift offshore. Storm motions early in the week will remain slow, before an approaching front stalling across north Florida enhances the gradient (and offshore flow) mid-week.
Main threats will continue to be gusty winds to 50 mph, lightning strikes, and locally heavy rainfall, as 500 mb temperatures remain warm. With offshore flow increasing, could also see a few weak spin ups along the sea breeze.

Hot and humid conditions will linger through next week. Near to slightly above normal high temperatures in the lower to mid-90s are forecast. Moderate to Major HeatRisk will expand to much of the area by late in the week. Overnight low temperatures in the mid to upper 70s for many areas will continue muggy conditions through the early morning hours. For more info about HeatRisk and heat safety tips, visit Heat.gov.

MARINE
Issued at 150 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Generally favorable boating conditions prevail through the period, as high pressure maintains influence over the local Atlantic waters. Offshore winds back S/SE each afternoon as the sea breeze develops, with winds remaining 15 kts or less. The exception is forecast to be Monday night, when a tightening pressure gradient due to an approaching front increases winds offshore to 15-20 kts.
Seas 1-3 ft.

Scattered afternoon showers and storms are expected each day, as they develop along the sea breeze. As offshore flow strengthens, chances for offshore-moving showers and storms during the late afternoons and evenings will increase. Boaters should use caution later in the day and watch the western sky for approaching storms.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 125 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Light and variable winds through this morning. The east coast sea breeze will develop later this afternoon, turning winds easterly at the coastal terminals after 17Z and more southeasterly across the interior terminals after 20Z. VCSH and VCTS chances increase along the sea breeze, with highest coverage of showers and storms focused near the interior terminals late afternoon. Depending on trends, TEMPOs may be needed for the interior terminals, but confidence in timing and placement of highest coverage is too low right now. Will continue to monitor. Activity diminishes into the overnight hours, with light southwest winds forecast at all terminals beyond 00Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 93 76 92 76 / 40 20 50 30 MCO 93 76 92 75 / 60 60 60 20 MLB 91 77 90 76 / 40 20 60 30 VRB 91 75 91 75 / 30 10 60 30 LEE 94 77 92 77 / 40 30 20 10 SFB 95 77 94 76 / 60 50 60 20 ORL 94 77 92 77 / 60 60 60 20 FPR 90 75 90 74 / 40 10 60 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.