Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holmes Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 7:59PM Sunday August 25, 2019 7:45 AM EDT (11:45 UTC) Moonrise 12:56AMMoonset 3:01PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 311 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Today..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening. Scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..South winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the morning, then isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 311 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis.. Fairly benign weather can be expected across the coastal waters through the period. Winds will remain north-northeast 10 knots or less for the remainder of the weekend although a seabreeze will shift winds onshore this afternoon. Then on Monday, winds will shift to the west-southwest and continuing 10 knots or less through the middle of next week. Winds will increase to around 10 to 15 knots with increasing rain/storm chances through Thursday next week. So outside of any storms, winds should remain below 15 knots and seas 2 feet or less.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holmes Beach, FL
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location: 27.51, -82.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 251135
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
735 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Aviation
Similar to yesterday, MVFR with brief periods of ifr CIGS are
occurring this morning across pgd fmy rsw and conditions should
improve by 14-15 utc. Have elected to go ahead and remove mention
of vcts at tpa pie srq as convective coverage is expected to be
low through the afternoon. Otherwise, winds will be out of the
north to northeast before shifting onshore near coastal terminals
by mid afternoon.

Prev discussion issued 311 am edt Sun aug 25 2019
discussion...

the weak area of low pressure that has been over south florida for
the last few days will begin to move further north today into the
western atlantic. Chances for tropical development remain high with
this system although no direct impacts are expected to our state
as it will continue to parallel the us east coast over the next
few days. Closer to home, drier air remains in place today which
will help suppress shower and storm coverage once again today.

Pops will be in the 30-50 percent range for much of the area,
highest inland. The departing system will create southwest flow on
Monday and with moisture increasing over the area (pws climbing
above 2 inches) expect morning showers thunderstorms to develop
before gradually migrating inland throughout the day. This SW flow
regime will continue through Thursday as the bermuda-azores high
begins to build back in on Thursday at the surface. The
anticyclonic (clockwise) movement of air around the feature at the
surface will cause winds to become more ese by late in the work
weak. This ese flow will continue to keep the pattern wet with
diurnal storms, particularly in southwest florida as a deep plume
of moisture from the caribbean will be advected over the peninsula
into next weekend. Temperatures will run near to above normal
through the period.

Marine...

fairly benign weather can be expected across the coastal waters
through the period. Winds will remain north-northeast 10 knots or
less for the remainder of the weekend although a seabreeze will
shift winds onshore this afternoon. Then on Monday, winds will
shift to the west-southwest and continuing 10 knots or less
through the middle of next week. Winds will increase to around 10
to 15 knots with increasing rain storm chances through Thursday
next week. So outside of any storms, winds should remain below 15
knots and seas 2 feet or less.

Fire weather...

sufficient low level moisture will keep relative humidity values
above critical levels through the week with no red flag conditions
expected. No significant fog is expected through the period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 92 77 90 78 20 30 30 20
fmy 92 77 90 77 40 20 50 20
gif 95 76 93 76 30 40 60 30
srq 92 77 90 78 20 30 30 20
bkv 94 74 91 75 20 30 50 30
spg 93 77 89 78 20 20 30 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Aviation... 42 norman
previous discussion... 11 mckaughan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTBF1 12 mi45 min E 6 G 7 80°F 1013.6 hPa (+0.5)74°F
PMAF1 12 mi45 min 77°F 87°F1013.3 hPa
42098 13 mi45 min 86°F1 ft
CLBF1 16 mi51 min NNE 1 G 1.9 78°F 1013 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi45 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1 81°F 88°F1013.8 hPa (+0.6)
GCTF1 21 mi45 min 81°F 1013.6 hPa (+0.8)75°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 25 mi45 min NE 2.9 G 4.1 79°F 87°F1013.7 hPa (+0.8)
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 26 mi75 min E 9.7 G 9.7 84°F 86°F1013.2 hPa
MCYF1 32 mi45 min 84°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 33 mi45 min E 4.1 G 5.1 80°F 87°F1013.9 hPa (+0.8)
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 33 mi57 min N 1.9 G 4.1
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 33 mi45 min N 4.1 G 5.1
VENF1 - Venice, FL 33 mi45 min E 5.1 G 6 78°F 86°F1013.1 hPa (+0.8)76°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 45 mi111 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 80°F 1013.8 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL11 mi52 minNE 310.00 miFair77°F75°F94%1012.6 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi52 minE 510.00 miFair82°F75°F79%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4NE6N66N95E7E53N6NE4NW6NW7NE5CalmE5E5E5CalmE5NE3E3NE5NE3
1 day agoNE5NE7NE8E7E7NE7NE5N6NE11NE8NE8NE9E5E6E7NE3E5E6NE4NE3NE4NE5NE4NE4
2 days agoCalmSE5SE6SE45E7N44NE5NE4E13E7E8E8E6E5E4SE4E5E4E3NE4NE3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Anna Maria Key, Bradenton Beach, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Anna Maria Key
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:13 AM EDT     2.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 02:54 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:01 PM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.61.822.22.42.42.42.321.61.30.90.60.30.20.30.50.81.11.41.61.71.7

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:49 AM EDT     0.08 knots Min Flood
Sun -- 01:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:42 AM EDT     0.82 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:46 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:56 PM EDT     -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:02 PM EDT     1.24 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.10.10.20.40.60.80.80.70.4-0.1-0.7-1.1-1.5-1.6-1.5-1.2-0.7-0.30.30.71.11.21.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.