Saturday, July11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Vero Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:21PM Saturday July 11, 2020 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC) Moonrise 11:51PMMoonset 11:24AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 332 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight.
Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated showers after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 332 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020
Synopsis..Above normal coverage of showers and storms will continue this weekend and early next week. West to northwest steering winds will be push numerous showers and lightning storms across the intracoastal and nearshore atlantic waters each afternoon and early evening. Locally higher winds and seas along with lightning can be expected from mid afternoon into nightfall where storms move across the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday, july 10th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vero Beach, FL
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location: 27.67, -80.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 111931 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 331 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Numerous Lightning Storms and Hot Conditions Through This Evening .

Rest of Today-Tonight . Deeper moisture has contributed to higher coverage of lightning storms this afternoon. The east coast sea breeze did briefly develop along much of the coast, which will help enhance storms as outflow boundaries and the sea breeze collide. Main threats from storms today are frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds of 40 to 50 mph, and torrential downpours. Rain accumulations of 2-3 inches in an hour or two are possible, resulting in localized flooding such as ponding of water on roadways and poor drainage areas.

Hot and muggy this afternoon. Even as rain drops temps back into the upper 80s it'll stay uncomfortably muggy due to high humidity. Most have seen peak heat indices around 105-107, with Melbourne/Ft. Pierce reaching heat index of 108-110 for a short period early afternoon. These heat index values are typical for July in central FL, and a Heat Advisory was not warranted today for such a short duration of heat indices above 108.

High rain chances persist through sunset, especially along the coast where showers and lightning storms likely to linger to or just past sunset. Storms to push offshore by late evening with dry conditions across the region after midnight. Mild overnight temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.

Sunday-Monday . (Modified Previous Discussion) Florida is centered between two 500mb ridges, over the Atlantic and western TX, with the southernmost reach of a deep upper trough extending into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. This trough and associated surface front will back westerly winds to the southwest, offering a gradual increase in high temperatures both Sunday and Monday, approaching the mid 90s near the coast. Combined with high humidity levels will create feels like temperatures in the low to mid 100s. Heat relief will reside overnight, with lows dropping to the low to mid 70s each night.

The surface front will also bring in drier low/mid-level air, especially along and north of I-4 on Sunday, and farther south towards Melbourne area on Monday. The westerly wind component continues to favor shower and storm development along the coast, though the deeper moisture to be confined south of the Orlando Metro area. This leads to a north/south rain chance gradient ranging from 30-40 percent along and north of I-4 to 50-60 percent from Lake Okeechobee to Treasure Coast on Sunday.

Monday's setup mimics Sunday, however slightly lower coverage is anticipated as drier air drags southward. Only around a 20-30 percent rain chance from Orlando to Titusville north. The higher threat for afternoon lightning storms confined from Yeehaw Junction to Vero Beach south, around 50 percent chance of rain.

Tuesday-Friday . (Previous Discussion) A pattern shift will arrive mid- week as the Atlantic ridge axis builds closer to the peninsula, due to the eroding of the upper trough and development of upper ridge across the Midwest and Deep South. Locally, this will transition the period of westerly flow to easterly, with rain chances favoring interior locations from Wednesday onward.

Guidance still running a bit high with rain chances, so have capped near 60-70 percent through the remainder of the week. Anticipate continued sea breeze and boundary driven convection, with typical coverage seen in mid July. The shift in the wind pattern will aid in temperature regulation, with highs in the mid 90s on Wednesday creeping lower each day through the end of the week, with seasonal low 90s returning. Nighttime lows hold steady in the low to mid 70s.

AVIATION.

Numerous ongoing lightning storms necessitate a long window for VCSH/VCTS in the TAFs once again. Included a TEMPO with MVFR CIGS/VIS through 20/21Z for inland sites, and through 22Z along the coast. Additional showers and storms will be possible through midnight. VFR conditions expected outside of convection through the TAF period. Tomorrow, winds will be SSW/WSW around 10KT. Included VCSH starting at 14/15Z for the interior sites.

MARINE.

Rest of Today-Tonight . Numerous offshore moving lightning storms are ongoing and are expected to persist into this evening. These storms will impact most of the east central Florida Intracoastal Waterway and nearshore Atlantic waters. Storms will be capable of producing wind gusts up to 40 knots and frequent lightning strikes. After storms dissipate this evening, southwest winds 10-15 knots overnight with seas 2 feet nearshore and up to 3 feet offshore.

Sunday-Thursday . Generally favorable marine conditions persist through midweek as surface ridge axis remains south of our area. This maintains westerly flow regime across the Atlantic waters. Wind shifts expected each day with the development of the sea breeze circulation, but generally remaining at 10-15 kts. Seas of 2-3 feet may build slightly up to 4 feet in the far offshore waters on Sunday into Monday, but diminish through midweek. Scattered to numerous showers and storms expected to develop in the early to mid afternoon, lasting through the evening hours.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 75 94 73 95 / 20 20 10 20 MCO 76 94 75 95 / 20 40 10 30 MLB 76 91 75 92 / 30 50 20 40 VRB 76 92 74 93 / 30 50 20 50 LEE 76 94 75 95 / 20 20 0 20 SFB 76 94 76 96 / 20 30 10 20 ORL 77 94 76 96 / 20 40 10 30 FPR 75 92 74 93 / 30 50 20 50

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Rodriguez/Cristaldi/Watson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 11 mi49 min 85°F1 ft
SIPF1 14 mi60 min SW 5.1 90°F 89°F1013 hPa
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 53 mi57 min W 12 G 23 75°F 81°F1014.4 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 59 mi45 min ESE 3.9 G 3.9 84°F 84°F1011.4 hPa (-1.4)80°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 75 mi57 min S 15 G 17 81°F 86°F1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL3 mi52 minW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy95°F73°F49%1011.7 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL12 mi52 minSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy93°F79°F64%1012 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVRB

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9E8SE6SE7S7S6SW7SW6S10W12SW12NW4S6SW6SW6W7W10W10W12W13W10NW7NW6W7
1 day agoNW7W4SE8SE10SE10SE7SW7S6SW7SW4SW4W3W6W5CalmW5W8W10W11W12W14W9NW11W8
2 days agoW8W5W10W4W3CalmSW3SW4SW5W6W5W5W4SW4SW5W6W6W7W7NW7W7W8W9NW9
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Vero Beach (ocean), Florida
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Vero Beach (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:21 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:43 AM EDT     3.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:02 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:12 PM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:16 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.13.22.92.41.710.50.30.50.91.62.22.72.92.82.41.91.20.80.50.611.52.2

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:21 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:20 AM EDT     0.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:22 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:22 PM EDT     0.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:48 PM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-000.10.10.10.10-0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-000.10.10.10.10-0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.