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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 334 Pm Edt Tue Oct 3 2023
.small craft exercise caution...
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots late this evening, then diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. Hazy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Hazy in the morning.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Friday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Saturday night..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 334 Pm Edt Tue Oct 3 2023
Synopsis.. High pressure north of the waters is favoring breezy northeast winds, continuing to run to exercise caution levels through late tonight. Wind speeds will improve Wednesday, but an easterly surge will bring windspeeds back up to cautionary levels Wednesday night. Winds will turn to northerly Friday through the weekend, with minimal rain chances. Otherwise, hazy conditions will limit visibilities to as low as 2 miles at times through the next couple of days.

FXUS62 KTBW 031820 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 220 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023

DISCUSSION
Issued at 218 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023

The smoke/haze in place across the area today will continue to cause some visibility restrictions through the night and into Wednesday morning, though it is expected to improve through the late afternoon and overnight period. Surface high pressure will remain over the eastern seaboard, gradually shifting east, and across the local area through the rest of the work week with an upper low lingering just to the east of the state. Limited moisture will allow for only a few stray showers over the interior moving in from the east coast. Highs will generally be in the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows in the upper 60s north to the lower to mid 70s central and south.

A cold front moves in late Friday, with a secondary boundary Saturday looking to push it into south FL. It will be a mostly dry boundary, but will bring cooler and drier air into the area for Sunday and Monday. Conditions then start to moderate Tuesday with high pressure over the state and zonal flow aloft. Lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s north and in the mid to upper 60s inland to the upper 60s to lower 70s coastal central and south. Highs generally in the lower to mid 80s. Slight increase in temps on Tuesday, with a 20- 30 percent chance of rain.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 218 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023

Gusty NE flow is in place this afternoon with the hazy conditions continuing to cause MVFR to IFR visibilities at the terminals.
This is expected to improve, but could continue to cause minor visibility impacts through the TAF period. NE flow lightens overnight, but increases again after 14z.

MARINE
Issued at 218 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023

Gusty SCEC level NE winds under high pressure will remain elevated through the early overnight hours, then start to subside. Evening easterly wind surges will bring winds up for a few hours after sunset the next couple of nights that might require a brief SCEC again, but will evaluate the need for those days. The current SCEC will continue through tonight. High pressure continues through the end of the week, then a cold front will move through the area Friday night/Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 218 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023

No concerns for the next few days with relative humidities remaining well above critical levels.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 74 90 74 90 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 73 90 73 91 / 0 10 0 10 GIF 72 86 71 89 / 10 10 0 10 SRQ 73 90 72 91 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 69 89 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 76 88 75 89 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Shell Point
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Tue -- 04:07 AM EDT     2.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:12 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:25 PM EDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:13 PM EDT     1.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Port Manatee
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Tue -- 01:55 AM EDT     0.92 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:01 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:43 AM EDT     -1.28 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:03 PM EDT     0.90 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:38 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:16 PM EDT     -0.03 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:55 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current, knots

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Tampa Bay Area, FL,