Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ruskin, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:28PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:49 AM EDT (04:49 UTC) Moonrise 10:04AMMoonset 11:45PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 946 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms until early morning, then Thunderstorms likely toward morning.
Tuesday..Southwest winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous showers early in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots increasing to around 10 knots toward morning. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 946 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis.. High pressure ridge axis over the florida straits will maintain moderate southwest to west winds and 2-3 ft seas across the eastern gulf waters into midweek. Expect showers and Thunderstorms at almost anytime through Wednesday with winds and seas higher near these storms. Winds begin to shift to a more south to southeast direction late in the week into the weekend as the ridge axis drifts north.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ruskin, FL
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location: 27.73, -82.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 150022 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 822 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

UPDATE (Overnight through Tuesday morning). The weather pattern remains on the unsettled side across the Florida peninsula due to deep moisture in place and a favorable westerly wind fetch off the eastern Gulf of renewed convective activity. Even as the sun is setting, additional showers and storms are generating here and there throughout west- central and southwest Florida. As often happens during these synoptic patterns, we are likely to see a brief lull in the convection during the later evening hours and first few hours after midnight. An this is a "lull" . not a completely dry period. However, all indications are that sct/nmrs showers and storms will get going again in the pre-dawn hours over the eastern Gulf and along the coast and be quite common through the morning hours of Tuesday. Similar to today, some will get more than others, but everyone in the region should be anticipating at least some rain during the morning hours, especially those with outdoor working or recreational plans.

Have increased the rain chances across the board starting around 5AM and lasting through the morning hours where fairly high potential exists for showers to at least be in the vicinity. The KTBW sounding profile this evening shows a very moist column with precipitable water around 2". NWP is in agreement that this moist and unstable column will not go anywhere through Tuesday, and in that case a persistence forecast in line with what happened today (Monday) seems like the most reasonable way to go.

AVIATION (00Z Tuesday through 00Z Wednesday) . An unstable atmosphere remains in place across all of west- central and southwest FL, providing a forecast that will support a the potential for a brief shower or storm at just about anytime through the evening. After midnight through the morning hours of Tuesday, conditions appear favorable for renewed areas of scattered to numerous showers/storms to roll ashore off the Gulf . impacting all terminals. Winds will remain SW/W around 10 knots overnight. Majority of storms look like they will migrate east of the terminals after 18Z.

Prev Discussion . /issued 255 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021/

DISCUSSION . The mid/upper level trough will linger over the eastern U.S. through midweek with the surface ridge axis to our south keeping a moist southwest to west flow across the region. This will continue to cause scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday with the best timing over the coastal waters and near the coast during the late night and early morning hours then moving east across the peninsula for the remainder of the day. However, with the abundant tropical moisture in place, precipitable water around 2 inches, there could be a shower or thunderstorm at almost anytime. Main hazards with the convection will be gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall, and cannot rule out a brief waterspout.

Late in the week into the weekend the trough begins to move east as a potential tropical system moves north into the western Gulf of Mexico with the surface ridge moving north into the area. This will allow the low level flow to back to a more south to southeast direction and with plenty of moisture persisting we'll see more scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.

AVIATION . Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the TAF period which could cause some MVFR/local IFR conditions. Otherwise, mainly VFR conditions are expected. Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots this afternoon will decrease to around 10 knots or less after sunset then increase back to 10 to 15 knots by late Tuesday morning once again.

MARINE . High pressure ridge axis over the Florida Straits will maintain moderate southwest to west winds and 2-3 ft seas across the eastern gulf waters into midweek. Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms at almost anytime through Wednesday with winds and seas higher near this convection. Wind begin to shift to a more south to southeast direction late in the week into the weekend as the ridge axis drifts north.

FIRE WEATHER . No fire weather hazards are expected for the next several days as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 79 89 80 89 / 60 70 30 50 FMY 77 90 77 90 / 80 70 30 60 GIF 76 89 76 90 / 80 60 20 60 SRQ 77 87 77 88 / 60 70 30 40 BKV 73 89 73 88 / 60 70 30 40 SPG 79 86 81 88 / 60 70 30 40

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GCTF1 6 mi56 min 83°F 73°F
MTBF1 10 mi50 min WSW 14 G 16 82°F 1014.7 hPa (+0.9)73°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi50 min WSW 11 G 13 83°F 87°F1014.9 hPa (+0.7)
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 11 mi50 min WSW 8.9 G 13 82°F 85°F1015.1 hPa (+0.7)
EBEF1 13 mi50 min 83°F 88°F1014.3 hPa (+0.7)
SKCF1 13 mi56 min SW 8 G 11
CLBF1 14 mi116 min WSW 14 G 16 82°F 1014.3 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 14 mi50 min SW 4.1 G 7
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 14 mi62 min SSW 6 G 11
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 27 mi50 min SW 14 G 17 83°F 91°F1014.9 hPa (+0.8)
42098 28 mi54 min 85°F3 ft
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 35 mi116 min WSW 13 G 14 83°F 1014.8 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 45 mi50 min SW 13 G 15 83°F 87°F1015.2 hPa (+0.9)76°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 47 mi80 min 12 G 14 83°F 83°F

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL10 mi54 minWSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds82°F74°F77%1014.1 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL11 mi57 minWSW 810.00 miA Few Clouds83°F74°F74%1014.1 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL13 mi55 minWSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F75°F79%1014.9 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL17 mi57 minSW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F75°F77%1014.6 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL19 mi57 minWSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F76°F79%1014.6 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL20 mi75 minN 0 mi77°F77°F100%1014.9 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL23 mi55 minSSW 610.00 miFair77°F77°F100%1015.6 hPa
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL24 mi57 minWSW 910.00 miFair83°F74°F74%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMCF

Wind History from MCF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3S4SW5W3SW3W3SW6SW4W4S5SW9SW11SW14SW12SW14SW14SW18SW11SW12SW7SW8SW6SW6SW6
1 day agoW6CalmW4W4W5W5W5W7W6W6SW11W9W11SW9W11SW13SW11W9W7SW5SW5CalmN6Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmW3W3W3SW3S8W3W3W10
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Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:58 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:19 AM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:16 AM EDT     1.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:26 PM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.2-00.20.50.91.11.31.41.41.31.31.31.41.61.92.12.22.221.71.40.90.5

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:32 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:05 AM EDT     0.90 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM EDT     0.06 knots Min Flood
Tue -- 11:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:09 PM EDT     0.68 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:04 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:05 PM EDT     -1.17 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.7-0.20.20.60.80.90.80.70.40.20.10.10.20.40.60.70.60.40-0.4-0.8-1.1-1.2-1.1

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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