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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 157 Pm Est Thu Dec 7 2023
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Friday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 157 Pm Est Thu Dec 7 2023
Synopsis.. Broad surface high pressure has set up over the southeast u.s. And will dominate the weather for the next few days. Pleasant rain-free conditions expected with east-northeast through east-southeast winds less than 15 knots continuing through Saturday. The next cold front approaches the eastern gulf waters by Sunday morning with winds increasing and becoming more south-southwest around 15 to 20 knots ahead of the front. Scattered showers and storms will be possible through the day on Sunday as the front moves through the area. Some of these storms could be strong with damaging winds and waterspouts. Winds shift to the northwest behind this front by Sunday evening and increase to small craft advisory (sca) level around 20-25 knots and seas up to 8 feet. Winds and seas will shift to the northeast and decrease below sca level by Monday afternoon, but still elevated around 15-20 knots through the middle of next week.

FXUS62 KTBW 071852 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 152 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 150 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023

After a couple of days of below average cooler weather, a warm up will start today and continue into the weekend. This is due to upper level ridging and strong high pressure setting up over the southeast U.S. Pleasant weather with rain-free conditions will continue through late Saturday. Daytime highs will top out in the 70's today and Friday and further warming into the 80's for Saturday. Overnight lows will drop into the 40's and 50's tonight, then warming into the 50's and 60's for Friday and Saturday night.

By early Sunday morning, a significant short wave trough moves eastward through the Mississippi River Valley and into the northern Gulf of Mexico. This trough will lend support to a strong cold front that will approach the eastern gulf waters and Florida peninsula through the day on Sunday bringing scattered showers and storms as it moves through the area. Some of these storms could be strong with damaging winds possible. As the front exits the area south and east of Florida by early Monday morning, high pressure builds in over the southeast U.S. in the wake of this front producing a tight pressure gradient that will produce breezy conditions for the first part of next week. This will also help usher in the next cool down on Monday and Tuesday next week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 150 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023

VFR conditions and winds less than 10 knots expected through the period.

MARINE
Issued at 150 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023

Broad surface high pressure has set up over the southeast U.S. and will dominate the weather for the next few days. Pleasant rain-free conditions expected with east-northeast through east-southeast winds less than 15 knots continuing through Saturday. The next cold front approaches the eastern gulf waters by Sunday morning with winds increasing and becoming more south-southwest around 15 to 20 knots ahead of the front. Scattered showers and storms will be possible through the day on Sunday as the front moves through the area. Some of these storms could be strong with damaging winds and waterspouts.
Winds shift to the northwest behind this front by Sunday evening and increase to Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level around 20-25 knots and seas up to 8 feet. Winds and seas will shift to the northeast and decrease below SCA level by Monday afternoon, but still elevated around 15-20 knots through the middle of next week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 150 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023

High pressure over the southeast U.S. will produce pleasant weather with warming temperatures and rain-free conditions through Saturday.
Humidity values will remain well above critical levels. A cold front will then move through the area all day Sunday bringing scattered showers and storms to the area. Cooler and drier air expected for the first part of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 58 77 65 81 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 58 79 64 83 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 54 76 62 81 / 0 0 10 10 SRQ 57 79 63 82 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 49 77 59 83 / 0 0 10 0 SPG 60 74 66 77 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Shell Point
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Thu -- 01:59 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:20 AM EST     0.53 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:15 AM EST     1.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:05 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:56 PM EST     0.68 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:57 PM EST     1.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Port Manatee
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Thu -- 01:39 AM EST     -0.60 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:59 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:45 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:02 AM EST     0.58 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:20 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:46 PM EST     -0.33 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:06 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:07 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:39 PM EST     0.71 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:54 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current, knots

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