Sunrise 6:37 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 2:12 PM   Moonset 2:18 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 155 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Sunday - West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 155 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis - Southwest to west winds will continue through the weekend ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, which will bring increasing rain chances to the waters starting Saturday and continuing through Sunday and even into early next week. Rain chances then diminish for the rest of the week as high pressure builds in. Overall, no headlines are expected, just higher winds and seas within storms.

FXUS62 KTBW 171754 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 154 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

DISCUSSION
A weakened MCS responsible for some early storms continues to shift eastward away from the region this afternoon as a frontal boundary remains draped across the central peninsula. With low- level southwest winds in place, expect any remaining rainfall to generally shift inland through the rest of the day, though overall chances are low. The boundary continues to lift northward tonight into Saturday, with southwest winds continuing ahead of another front moving into the southeast. With this setup in place, we can expect more showers and storms for Saturday afternoon, with the best chances north and then inland. By Saturday night into Sunday, the front will move over the peninsula, with higher rain chances through the day. The boundary lingers over south Florida for Monday, keeping a chance for some showers and storms in the forecast, but then high pressure builds in and keeps rain chances lower through the rest of the week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. There is some question of patchy fog or low clouds early tomorrow morning, but confidence remains too low for inclusion in the TAFs.

MARINE
Southwest to west winds will continue through the weekend ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, which will bring increasing rain chances to the waters starting Saturday and continuing through Sunday and even into early next week. Rain chances then diminish for the rest of the week as high pressure builds in. Overall, no headlines are expected, just higher winds and seas within storms.

FIRE WEATHER
No Red Flag concerns over the next few days as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. Some patchy fog will be possible tonight, mainly for the northern half of the area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 92 78 87 / 0 20 50 80 FMY 78 94 78 91 / 0 10 30 70 GIF 75 96 75 88 / 10 30 40 80 SRQ 77 93 76 89 / 0 10 40 70 BKV 72 93 72 86 / 0 30 50 80 SPG 81 89 79 86 / 0 20 50 70

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

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Port Tampa, Old Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Fri -- 03:18 AM EDT     -0.84 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:43 AM EDT     0.91 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:49 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:53 PM EDT     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:52 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:33 PM EDT     0.61 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

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