Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Madeira Beach, FL

DISCUSSION
A weak upper trough is expected to move westward over the northern Gulf Coast as a weak surface frontal boundary sagging into N FL will nudge the weak surface ridge across the S Florida peninsula through mid week with light westerly flow setting up. Dry Saharan dust remains overhead as well with below normal areal rain chances.
Cirrus cloud cover should help keep temps just a bit above normal while high heat index values from 102-107 range.

This weekend, an easterly wave is expected to move over the FL Peninsula and into the Gulf with increasing rain chances areawide into early next week as typical summertime heat and humidity continues.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
VFR conditions are anticipated overnight with light winds and BKN cirrus aloft. Expect ISOLD-SCT SHRA/TSRA over N Tampa Bay terminals and will keep Prob30 for gusty winds and MVFR cigs/vsbys thru the late morning and into the afternoon hours before activity shifts inland.

MARINE
Weak high pressure sinking southward in the region will keep the warm and humid summertime conditions in place through the week.
Generally southwesterly flow over the eastern Gulf will prevail with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms near the coast in the mornings moving inland during the afternoon. Westerly flow may increase late in the week with slightly elevated, choppy, and short period seas into the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER
Weak high pressure in the region will keep the warm and humid summertime conditions in place through the week. Isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorm are expected with gusty erratic winds and frequent lightning possible.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 92 79 94 81 / 40 10 10 0 FMY 96 77 97 78 / 10 10 10 0 GIF 95 75 96 76 / 40 0 20 0 SRQ 94 78 95 80 / 10 0 0 0 BKV 93 74 94 76 / 50 10 10 10 SPG 92 80 94 82 / 30 10 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 8

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.