Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ingleside on the Bay, TX

DISCUSSION
Issued at 214 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Isolated weak showers currently streaming northward across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads will diminish this afternoon the redevelop starting early Wednesday morning. These weak showers will likely only produce trace amounts and most locations will remain dry. An isolated shower or thunderstorm could clip the area around Cotulla on Wednesday as a storm system tracks across north and central Texas.

Overall, the work week still looks to be generally dry with above normal temperatures and breezy afternoons. The strongest S-SE winds are expected Friday, which will usher deeper moisture across S TX.
The next chance of showers and thunderstorms with measurable rainfall is Saturday and Sunday. This is due to a cold front approaching the area Saturday, moving through S TX Saturday night, then overrunning conditions setting up behind the front Sunday. A few elevated embedded storms remain possible on Sunday. As for the probability, chances are low (10-20%) across the northern portions of the Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads Saturday afternoon, then chances increase to 25-45% Saturday night into Sunday. A 20-30% chance of mainly showers continues into Monday.

Forecasted temperatures behind the front on Sunday will be a few degrees below normal with highs in the 70s area-wide with similar highs Monday. Lows generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s are expected.

Confidence is increasing as the NBM has been consistent with the weekend cold front and associated convection. In addition, the deterministic models are in good agreement with this scenario. The forecast will continue to be fine tuned as the weekend approaches.
So, stayed tuned!

There is a Moderate Rip Current Risk today through Wednesday due to swell periods 6-8 seconds, and southeast winds 10-15 knots. This may continue through the work week as onshore winds increase over the gulf waters through Friday. Minor coastal flooding is not expected but could be close tonight through mid week. Will continue to monitor for potential Coastal Flood Advisory. The PETSS indicates increasing tide levels the latter part of the week, which is more likely for water to reach the dunes at high tide and warranting a Coastal Flood Advisory. The best chance of coastal flooding is expected behind the weekend cold front. This is due to forecasted winds out of the northeast at 20-25 knots along with an increasing swell period. The swells may also lead to an increasing rip current risk but will be offset by the "along-shore" winds. These conditions are dependent on frontal passage timing and strength.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Another period of similar forecast conditions. Southeasterly winds will gradually subside this evening while low clouds will be on the increase. Expect mainly MVFR conditions to develop before midnight and persist through sunrise before sky conditions improve during the morning hours Wednesday. Winds will increase once again tomorrow, with gusts of 25 to 30 knots in the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 214 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

A Moderate to Fresh (BF 4-5) onshore flow will persist through Thursday. A strong (BF 6)onshore flow is expected to develop across all marine zones on Friday with advisory conditions possible. Winds relax Saturday, then shift to the northeast and become strong late Saturday night into early Sunday in the wake of a cold front. Low rain chances (<~15%) expected through the end of the workweek but increase this weekend as the cold front moves across the region.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 214 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

The chance for wetting rains through the work week are very low (<10%) along with continued above normal temperatures. Minimum RH values will remain generally above 30-40% through the period. South to southeast winds are expected to strengthen across South Texas Friday, but based on the forecasted above normal moisture and low ERC values, elevated fire weather is not expected at this time. The chance of thunderstorms with measurable rainfall increases over the weekend as a cold front moves across South Texas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 71 84 72 85 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 68 85 69 87 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 73 91 72 95 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 70 87 70 90 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 73 83 73 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 71 89 70 94 / 10 10 10 0 Kingsville 70 86 70 88 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 80 73 80 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.