Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ingleside on the Bay, TX

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Key Messages:

- Above normal temperatures through at least early next week.
- Low chance for showers and thunderstorms by middle of next week.

A mid-level ridge will build over South Texas Friday and will persist through the weekend. This will result in warmer temperatures and no significant chance for rainfall. Expect daytime highs to approach 100 degrees out west ranging to the upper 80s over the Victoria Crossroads. Breezy conditions will develop Sunday through Tuesday as the low level jet strengthens to around 30 knots in response to a deep layer trough advancing across the central and southern plains. Overnight stratus will give way to afternoon sunshine each day through Sunday. Then clouds will persist Monday and Tuesday as the aforementioned trough and associated frontal boundary moves through the state and eventually South Texas on Wednesday, bringing a low (<30%) chance for rain.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

A mix of VFR and MVFR conditions can be expected across all S TX TAF sites overnight. A combination of low stratus and patchy fog will primarily be across ALI, CRP and VCT through mid to late morning. All sites are expected to be mainly VFR by 15-17Z.
However, there is a low to medium (20-50%) chance of showers and thunderstorms from COT to VCT Wednesday afternoon and a PROB30 has been included in those TAFs sites. Much lower (5-20%) chances are expected from LRD, ALI and CRP, thus will not include mention of TSRAs for those sites, but it can not be ruled out.

MARINE
Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

There is a low to medium (20-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over the bays and gulf waters today. Expect a gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) to persist over the waters through the remainder of the week, leading to periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions. Onshore winds will increase early next week (BF 4-5) with Small Craft Advisory conditions developing over the bays and Gulf waters.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

20 ft winds and minimum RH values are not expected to exceed elevated fire weather thresholds for the rest of the week, although thresholds may be approached early next week across the Rio Grande Plains as minimum RH values drop below 30%. Energy Release Component (ERC) values across most of the region - except for Victoria and extreme southwestern Webb- are expected to stay below the 50th percentile. Recent rainfall has certainly helped alleviate some concerns and no elevated fire conditions are expected at this time with the exception of the far west early next week. There is a medium to high (30-60%) chance of rain today, mainly across Cotulla and surrounding areas to the Victoria Crossroads and a low (5-20%) chance for additional rainfall on Thursday along the Rio Grande.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 84 72 84 73 / 20 0 0 0 Victoria 84 70 86 71 / 60 10 10 0 Laredo 92 73 90 74 / 10 10 20 0 Alice 88 70 89 71 / 20 0 0 0 Rockport 84 73 84 74 / 30 0 0 0 Cotulla 90 72 91 73 / 20 10 20 10 Kingsville 86 71 86 72 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 81 73 81 74 / 20 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.