Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Doyle, TX

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 143 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2025

Key Messages:

- Brief warm-up Friday and Saturday with highs in the 70s.

- Another strong cold front this upcoming weekend.

- Minor Coastal Flooding Tuesday/Wednesday?

Tuesday morning looks to start out sunny to partly cloudy as the GFS and the ECMWF both show moisture moving north from Deep South Texas/RGV as another coastal trough begins to develop north along the lower Texas coast. The main low remains in the Bay of Campeche while the inverted trough continues to develop up the coast line.
High pressure to the north helps to produce a weak to moderate northeast flow over the Gulf of Mexico. With us within 3 days of the full moon, and Ekman Transport, make coastal flooding, possible. The P-ETTS models show the high tides decreasing with height each cycle.
Thinking that since we didn't get any with the last, stronger coastal low, there is a very low to low chance of coastal flooding.
Otherwise, the rain will move into the region Tuesday night with low to medium (20-40%) chance for measurable rain, and the medium pops will be over the Gulf. The ECMWF however, has a good portion of rain over the land while the GFS has it mostly near the coast.

Thursday and Thurday night, High pressure builds into the region and the precipitation moves out. Thursday morning looks like temperatures will be in 40s, but as the high moves off, low temperatures will be around 50°F. Friday and Saturday, the high temperatures will be in the 70s as the 500 mb ridge pushes through the region. The next cold front looks to sweep through Saturday afternoon, so that the region cools off Saturday night. Low temperatures cool to the upper 30s to around 50. Sunday and Sunday night look to end up just like the last few days with 60s for highs and 30s for lows.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1112 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025

VFR conditions are set to prevail during this TAF cycle. There is a low (10-25%) chance of rain as a weak cold front slowly moves through South Texas this afternoon. Rainfall is forecast to remain over Gulf waters, and with lower chances expected inland have decided to forgo the mention of isolated rain potential in CRP and VCT TAFs. Northerly winds this afternoon will generally remain light (5-10 knots) but are expected to strengthen overnight as high pressure builds across the region. Gusts near 20 knots will be possible Monday across all sites near the end of this TAF cycle (approximately 17-18Z).

MARINE
Issued at 143 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2025

By this evening, strong north winds with Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected to develop and continue through Monday morning. Winds will decrease to moderate levels by Monday afternoon, but still may have advisory conditions across the offshore waters. Current isolated showers will gradually diminish this evening as a coastal trough shifts eastward. Moderate to strong northeasterly flow Monday night will continue through Tuesday before weakening to moderate levels Tuesday night as a coastal low develops into Wednesday. Low to medium (20-40%)
chance for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Thursday, expect weak east to northeast as high pressure moves through the region. Winds will veer to the south and increase to weak to moderate flow through Friday with moderate flow in the offshore waters.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 41 59 44 58 / 0 0 0 10 Victoria 38 59 36 57 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 40 61 42 57 / 0 0 0 10 Alice 39 61 40 57 / 0 0 0 10 Rockport 42 59 44 58 / 0 0 0 10 Cotulla 38 61 39 57 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 40 61 43 57 / 0 0 0 10 Navy Corpus 45 58 49 57 / 0 0 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Monday for GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Monday for GMZ270-275.