Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 5:13 AM   Moonset 7:00 PM

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GMZ230 Bays And Waterways From Baffin Bay To Port Aransas- 1059 Am Cdt Tue Apr 5 2022
Rest of today - Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. Tonight - Southeast wind around 10 knots shifting south after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight. Wednesday - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Patchy fog in the morning. Wednesday night - North wind 20 to 25 knots. Bays choppy to rough. Thursday - Northeast wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Thursday night - Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday - North wind 10 to 15 knots shifting southeast in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday night - Southeast wind 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bays choppy. Saturday - South wind 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy. Saturday night - Southeast wind around 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.

GMZ200 1019 Pm Cdt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
weak to moderate onshore flow will continue through Wednesday night. Periods of small craft exercise caution conditions can be expected tonight through Tuesday night, mainly over the bays and nearshore waters south of port aransas. Winds will diminish Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front. Winds will shift to the northeast Friday and Saturday, then to the east on Sunday. There is a 15 to 30% chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the weekend.

FXUS64 KCRP 070351 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1051 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Key Messages:

- High risk of rip currents and Coastal Flood Advisory in effect through Tuesday morning.

Generally quiet weather conditions can be expected through the short-term period, although cannot fully rule out a stray shower.
Quasi-zonal flow aloft and a few ripples in the upper level flow could combine with enough available moisture to spark a few showers over the region on Tuesday, mainly out west. However, most of the moisture will be at the lower levels with dry air aloft and a strong cap building. Therefore, have maintained PoPs below a 10% and silent. Having said that, these conditions are more optimal for patchy fog formation overnight, both tonight and Tuesday night when the dewpoint depression drops.

Warmer temperatures are in store for tomorrow, with highs ranging from the mid 80s along the coast to near 100 degrees over portions of the Rio Grande Plains and Brush Country. If we add to this dewpoints in the mid 70s, heat index values could max out at or around 110 degrees briefly in the afternoon. A Heat Advisory is not in effect at this moment, as these conditions are expected to be localized and of a short duration. But, we will continue to closely monitor it on Tuesday in case an Advisory is required.
Aside from this, expect overnight lows to range in the 70s.

A Coastal Flood Advisory and a High risk of rip currents has been issued for the high tide cycle tonight along the Gulf-facing beaches of the Middle Texas Coast. Current observations at buoy 42019 indicate swell heights at 4 to 5 feet with swell periods between 7 and 8 seconds. Winds are forecast to remain below 15 knots offshore out of the southeast, but the high swells and periods could lead to minor coastal flooding and an increase risk of rip currents along area beaches, mainly south of Port Aransas.
These conditions are forecast to improve tomorrow as winds become more southerly, but a Moderate risk of rip currents is likely to persist.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Key Messages:

- There is a moderate to major HeatRisk Wednesday and Thursday.

- A front Thursday night will usher in drier air and return temperatures to near normal for this time of year.

The long term forecast continues to be on track with very warm temperatures. Onshore flow will keep moisture streaming into the area which, combined with the very warm temperatures, will lead to heat index values of 100 across most of the area to near 112 across the inland Coastal Bend. Heat advisories will likely be needed.

Good news, though! While the Summer pattern has started, we get to hold on to a little bit of Spring this weekend. A cold front will move across the area Thursday night into Friday, leading to cooler (around 10 degrees cooler!) temperatures Friday and into the weekend. The cold front looks like it will stall over the area Friday and Saturday, leading to a low (15-30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend. We'll keep our fingers crossed that we can finally see some rain.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1020 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024

The cloud cover is moving back into the region with the clouds at the coast, with IFR/MVFR CIGs near the coast (NGP) and beginning to move in (few009 at CRP 04Z). The clouds will continue to move inland and will get to LRD and COT somewhere around 08z-10z. Will expect IFR CIGs through the morning before the clearing out again around 15 or 16z. CIGs will remain VFR with occasional MVFR through 00z, and then the clouds will move back into the forecast area, and spread back to the west.

MARINE
Issued at 303 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Weak to moderate onshore flow will continue through Wednesday night. Periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions can be expected tonight through Tuesday night, mainly over the bays and nearshore waters south of Port Aransas. Winds will diminish Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front. Winds will shift to the northeast Friday and Saturday, then to the east on Sunday.
There is a 15 to 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 77 90 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 75 90 75 92 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 75 101 76 107 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 74 95 74 100 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 77 86 77 87 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 75 98 77 104 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 76 94 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 77 87 78 89 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk until 7 AM CDT Tuesday for TXZ345-442-443- 447.

Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT Tuesday for TXZ345-442- 443-447.

GM...None.

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Nueces Bay
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Mon -- 05:18 AM CDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:35 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:16 PM CDT     0.34 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:50 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:07 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Nueces Bay, Texas, Tide feet

Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:32 AM CDT     1.31 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:33 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:39 AM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:49 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:49 PM CDT     -1.54 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:05 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots

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