Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Micco, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Today-Tonight...High pressure at the surface combined with strong ridging aloft will maintain dry conditions across east central Florida once again today. This setup at the surface and aloft will support continued heating across east central Florida, with afternoon highs forecast to reach the low 80s along the coast and the mid to upper 80s across the interior. The ridge axis itself is anticipated to remain draped just north of east central Florida, causing winds to take on more of an east-southeast orientation.
Winds will be enhanced this afternoon with the development of the east coast sea breeze and its push inland, with wind speeds reaching 10 to 15 mph. The strongest winds and the greatest potential for wind gusts will remain focused along the coast.
Winds wane into the overnight hours and become light and variable, with overnight temperatures falling into the upper 50s to low 60s. There is a chance for patchy fog development late tonight, but confidence in this remains low.

At the beaches, lingering swells and onshore winds will create a high risk of rip currents along the east central Florida coast today. Entering the ocean is strongly discouraged!

Friday-Sunday...The current weather set-up with high pressure both at the surface and aloft will remain in place through the remainder of this week and through the weekend. The warming trend is anticipated to continue, with highs climbing into the mid 80s and low 90s nearly areawide across east central Florida. Afternoon high records could also be broken this weekend, especially at some of the interior climate sites (Leesburg and Orlando).
Overnight lows will also trend warmer than normal, reaching the mid to upper 60s. Outside of the warming temperatures across east central Florida, the weather will remain dry with winds becoming easterly each afternoon through Saturday as the east coast sea breeze develops and moves inland. By Sunday, winds are anticipated to become more westerly out ahead of a cold front that will move southward across the peninsula Sunday night into Monday.

Monday-Wednesday...A cold front drifts southward across the Florida peninsula Sunday night into Monday morning, with a low chance (20-30%) of showers and storms forecast primarily from the Cape to Orlando and southward on Monday afternoon. High pressure then reestablishes itself across the western Atlantic and across the Florida peninsula by Tuesday, persisting into the middle of next week. A return of diurnally-driven showers looks possible starting on Wednesday, though confidence in this remains low at this time and there is only a 20% mention of showers at this time.

Behind the front, a strong pressure gradient is anticipated to occur due to the placement of the high pressure relative to the location of the frontal boundary. This will result in increasing northeast winds behind the front that will spread southward across the Florida peninsula and local Atlantic waters Monday into Tuesday. The pressure gradient is anticipated to weaken by Wednesday, with predominantly easterly flow areawide. This rapid increase in winds will result in building seas, which will also likely translate into deteriorating beach conditions once again along the east central Florida coast.

Temperatures are forecast to cool behind the front as the dry air settles southward across the peninsula, with afternoon highs and overnight lows falling slightly below normal values. It will be short-lived, however, as the return of high pressure will support a gradual warming trend across the area.

MARINE
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Generally favorable boating conditions are forecast to persist across the local Atlantic waters through this weekend as high pressure remains in place. Onshore winds of 10 to 15 knots will continue across the waters along with seas of 2 to 4 feet. There are no rain chances forecast through Sunday afternoon. By Sunday evening, a cold front is anticipated to move towards the local waters, drifting southward across the area into Monday. There is a low chance for showers and storms out ahead of and along the cold front. Behind the cold front, a rapidly tightening pressure gradient will result in increasing winds, with northeast winds anticipated to reach 20 to 30 knots Sunday night and continuing into Tuesday. Seas respond by building to 6 to 10 feet, with the highest waves focused across the offshore waters. Hazardous boating conditions will likely warrant the issuance of a Small Craft Advisory at some point late this weekend into early next week. Winds subside into the middle of next week along with a return of generally favorable boating conditions as seas subside.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 145 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Mainly VFR to continue. A very low chance of BR/MIFG remains for northern sites (ISM northward) this morning but is too low confidence to include in the TAF. Dry conditions with SCT- BKN030-040 along the coast (esp. TIX/MLB southward). ESE winds 7-11 kt resume after 15z with an occasional gust 15-18 kt as the sea breeze forms. Winds decrease again to 10 kt or less after 02z Fri.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

High pressure will remain in place across the Florida peninsula, keeping conditions dry through the end of this week and into the weekend with a warming trend also anticipated to continue. The dry air mass will lead to minimum RH values falling below critical thresholds across the interior west of I-95 each afternoon, with minimum RH values forecast to remain above thresholds along the coast. Onshore winds will develop each afternoon as the east coast sea breeze forms and moves inland, enhancing winds to 10 to 15 mph with the strongest winds focused along the coast. Sensitive fire weather conditions are forecast across east central Florida through at least Sunday. By Sunday night and into Monday, a weak front is forecast to move southward across the peninsula, resulting in increasing moisture and a return of low rain chances (20-30%). Winds are anticipated to increase out of the northeast behind the front, which could lead to control concerns into early next week. Practice fire safety to avoid starting wildfires, such as properly discarding cigarettes and avoiding outdoor burning.

CLIMATE
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Record Highs for Friday-Sunday (17th-19th):

April 17th April 18th April 19th Daytona Beach 89 2022 92 1967 92 1968 Leesburg 92 1991 90 1990 92 2020 Sanford 92 1967 94 1967 94 2020 Orlando 95 1922 93 1922 94 1922 Melbourne 90 2006 91 2015 93 2015 Vero Beach 91 2021 92 2015 93 1969 Fort Pierce 93 1919 94 2015 92 1988

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 82 61 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 85 62 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 80 65 82 67 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 80 63 83 66 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 87 62 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 86 61 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 86 63 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 81 63 83 65 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.