Aransas Pass, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Aransas Pass, TX

June 16, 2024 10:24 PM CDT (03:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 8:28 PM
Moonrise 2:40 PM   Moonset 1:39 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ235 Bays And Waterways From Port Aransas To Port O'connor- 1059 Am Cdt Tue Apr 5 2022

Rest of today - South wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. Patchy fog late in the morning.

Tonight - South wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog in the evening, then areas of fog after midnight.

Wednesday - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.

Wednesday night - North wind 20 to 25 knots. Bays choppy to rough.

Thursday - North wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.

Thursday night - Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

Friday - Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots shifting west in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

Friday night - South wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

Saturday - South wind 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy.

Saturday night - South wind around 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.

GMZ200 933 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 16 2024

Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
weak to moderate onshore flow will continue through Monday. Strong onshore winds are expected Tuesday with small craft advisory conditions likely through Friday. Occasional gusts to gale force will be possible Wednesday. Wave heights are expected to increase to 8-13 feet across the coastal waters this week, especially if a tropical depression or tropical storm develops in the southwestern gulf of mexico. The national hurricane center has a high, 70% chance of development in the next 7 days. Regardless of tropical development, deep moisture will move into the area resulting in a 50-90% chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aransas Pass, TX
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Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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FXUS64 KCRP 162313 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 613 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 430 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Key Messages:

- Increasing shower and thunderstorms chance beginning Monday

The National Hurricane Center has given the system in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico a HIGH 70% chance of development over the next 7 days with a 30% chance of development over the next 2 days. This situation will be closely monitored for future updates as we receive them. With our area being right in middle of two upper level ridges, moisture will continue to pool into the area (PWATs ~2 inches). This will likely lead to some diurnally driven pop-up showers and thunderstorms mainly in the waters with a low to medium chance along the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. As this system enters the Gulf, hazardous marine and coastal conditions will likely develop beginning sometime late Monday going into Tuesday.

With the influx of moisture, heat stress conditions are possible again Monday mainly in the Brush Country and portions of the southern Coastal Bend. Confidence in this reaching heat advisory criteria for more than 2 hours is low at this time however.

A tropical funnel cloud or two could for again tomorrow morning.
This would be due to conditions being similar to what they have been the previous few mornings. If they develop they are expected to be very brief and shouldn't cause any damage.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 430 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Key Messages:

- Monitoring the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico for potential tropical development.

- Increasing moisture leading to higher rain chances and potential for flooding and river flooding through the week.

- Increasing risk of rip currents and coastal flooding.

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor an area of disturbed weather across the Yucatan Peninsula. There is a high 70% chance of a tropical depression or tropical storm developing across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by mid week. It is still too early to know if any tropical systems will approach S TX at this time.
Regardless, heavy rainfall with the potential for flash flooding is a major concern for S TX.

Based on satellite, PWATs across a large portion of the central gulf are around 2 inches. Farther south, PWATs are around 2.6 inches. A moderate to strong east to southeast low level flow will help draw this moisture across S TX over the next several days. Models indicate PWATs ranging from 2-2.5 inches across S TX by late Monday into Tuesday. PWATs could reach 3 inches, per the GFS, by Wednesday across southern portions of S TX.

A surface to mid level tropical wave/inverted trough is progged to approach the Texas coast from the east on Tuesday and track across TX Wed/Thu. The trough combined with the deep tropical moisture will lead to a high (up to 90%) chance of showers and thunderstorms Tue through Thu. Based on latest model solutions, the heaviest and most widespread rainfall with the potential for flash flooding looks to be Wed-Thu. Rivers and creeks may also flood.

At this time, total rainfall amounts Monday through Friday are expected to range from 5 to 8 inches along and east of I37 and 3 to 6 inches west of I37. The Weather Prediction Center has a slight (15%-40%) risk of excessive rainfall across the Victoria Crossroads and along the Coastal Bend Tuesday. The slight risk of excessive rainfall covers all of S TX on Wednesday. By Thursday, the Rio Grande Plains has a slight risk with the remainder of S TX in a Marginal (5%) risk.

By Thu/Fri, the trough is progged to be west of the area with rain chances decreasing to medium to high (40-60%) Friday and a low to medium (20-50%) chance over the weekend. The additional rain fall through the weekend, may continue to produce flooding impacts.

There is also an increased risk of rip currents and coastal flooding through the week due to strong southeast to east winds expected across the gulf waters, especially if a tropical system does develop across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and produces long period swells. The latest PETSS shows tide levels at Aransas Pass up to 2ft MSL (advisory conditions) by early Tue morning and approaching 3ft MSL (warning conditions) early Wed morning.

There still remains uncertainty with timing and location of the heaviest rainfall and whether S TX will be impacted by a tropical system this week, so please continue to monitor the latest updates.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through a majority of the TAF period. Brief MVFR conditions due to CIGs and/or VSBYs will be possible Monday morning generally between 08-13Z. Gusty winds this evening will relax overnight. Winds are expected to be a 2-5KT stronger Monday with gusts around 25-28KT by afternoon/evening.
The chance of showers and thunderstorms will be increasing through the day Monday, mainly across the Coastal Bend with VCT and CRP having the best chance Monday. Brief MVFR/IFR conditions will be possible with the convection.

MARINE
Issued at 430 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Weak to moderate onshore flow will increase to moderate this evening and persist through the day Monday. Strong onshore winds expected Tuesday with Small Craft Advisory conditions likely through Friday. Occasional gusts to gale force will be possible Wednesday. Wave heights are expected to increase to 8-13 feet across the coastal waters this week, especially if a tropical depression or tropical storm develops in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center has a high, 70% chance of development in the next 7 days. Regardless of tropical development, deep moisture will move into the area resulting in a 50-90% chance of showers and thunderstorms through the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 80 93 79 91 / 10 40 30 60 Victoria 77 92 76 89 / 10 50 20 60 Laredo 78 101 78 98 / 0 0 0 20 Alice 77 97 77 93 / 0 20 20 60 Rockport 82 93 82 91 / 30 50 50 70 Cotulla 79 102 79 99 / 0 0 0 20 Kingsville 79 96 77 91 / 10 30 30 60 Navy Corpus 83 91 82 90 / 40 50 50 70

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
RCPT2 - 8774770 - Rockport, TX 6 mi54 minESE 13G18 87°F 90°F29.75
ANPT2 7 mi54 minENE 19G23 86°F 89°F29.75
HIVT2 7 mi54 min 86°F 29.7682°F
RTAT2 - 8775237 - Port Aransas, TX 7 mi54 minE 11G15 85°F 89°F29.78
UTVT2 7 mi54 min 86°F 29.7380°F
PTAT2 - Port Aransas, TX 8 mi84 minE 20G22 86°F
MHBT2 10 mi54 minESE 12G17 86°F 90°F29.7684°F
LQAT2 12 mi54 minESE 14G18 86°F 89°F29.7680°F
TAQT2 - 8775296 - Texas State Aquarium, TX 19 mi54 min 89°F29.74
TXVT2 19 mi54 min 86°F 29.7582°F
TLVT2 22 mi54 min 87°F 29.7580°F
PACT2 - 8775792 - Packery Channel, TX 23 mi54 minE 19G23 86°F 90°F29.78
AWRT2 25 mi54 minESE 16G21 86°F 89°F29.79
VTBT2 25 mi54 minE 15G18 86°F 88°F29.7577°F
IRDT2 34 mi54 minESE 17G22 86°F 91°F29.78
SDRT2 - 8773037 - Seadrift, TX 37 mi54 minE 12G21 83°F 89°F29.78
BABT2 - 8776604 - Baffin Bay; Point of Rocks, TX 48 mi54 minE 16G22 85°F 92°F29.77


Wind History for Rockport, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KRAS MUSTANG BEACH,TX 9 sm29 minESE 15G2010 smMostly Cloudy86°F79°F79%29.81
KRKP ARANSAS CO,TX 10 sm31 minESE 16G2210 smClear86°F77°F75%29.79
KNGP CORPUS CHRISTI NAS/TRUAX FIELD,TX 21 sm88 minESE 1810 smA Few Clouds29.78
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Wind History graph: TFP
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Tide / Current for Rockport, Aransas Bay, Texas
   
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Rockport
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Sun -- 02:38 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:31 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:03 PM CDT     0.28 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:40 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:44 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rockport, Aransas Bay, Texas, Tide feet
12
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Tide / Current for Aransas Pass, Texas Current
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Aransas Pass
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Sun -- 02:38 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:26 AM CDT     0.57 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 06:31 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:17 AM CDT     0.21 knots Min Flood
Sun -- 10:23 AM CDT     0.22 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 12:28 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:39 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:07 PM CDT     -0.94 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:25 PM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots
12
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0.4
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0.6
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11
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-0.1
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-0.4
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-0.6
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-0.7
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-0.9
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-0.9
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-0.9
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-0.8
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-0.5
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-0.2
11
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0.2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains   
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Corpus Christi, TX,




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