Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Malabar, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 359 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

Today-Sunday... Surface high pressure builds across the western Atlantic. Aloft, mid level ridging slides eastward over Florida.
As a result, dry conditions are expected to persist through the period, and no mentionable rainfall is forecast. Gusty onshore surface winds develop today, continuing each afternoon through the weekend. Dry conditions combined with winds near 15 mph will promote an elevated fire risk today, especially across the interior where humidity values are forecast to fall near 35 percent. Further fire sensitivities are expected to persist into the weekend.

A warming trend continues across east central Florida late this week and into early next week. Afternoon high temperatures are forecast to reach the mid to upper 80s across the interior while remaining in the low 80s closer to the coast. Morning low temperatures fall into the low to mid 60s across much of the area, while remaining warmer along the coast due to onshore flow.

Monday-Tuesday... Surface high pressure across the western Atlantic broadens as a cold front slides across the southeast U.S. Ridging holds in place aloft, although gradually flattening. More agreement now exists within global deterministic models, keeping dry conditions across east central Florida on Tuesday. Therefore, no mentionable PoPs exist within the midterm forecast. A warming trend continues with a few areas of low 90s sprinkled across the interior on Monday. Low 90s then become more widespread across the interior Tuesday. Mid to upper 80s are forecast in vicinity of I-95 each day while low 80s hang on along the immediate coast. Low temperatures remain steady, mostly ranging the low to mid 60s.

Wednesday-Thursday... An active sea breeze pattern is forecast mid to late next week, but there is wide variability in precip output among model runs. Currently following NBM guidance in the extended period which now suggests a silent PoP (10%) across much of the area Wednesday and Thursday. Warmer than normal temperatures continue each afternoon with highs in the low 90s across the interior and mid to upper 80s across the coastal counties. Morning temperatures become mild, mostly in the mid to upper 60s.

MARINE
Issued at 359 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

Today-Saturday... High pressure builds across the western Atlantic late this week promoting a period of gusty onshore flow. East winds between 12-17 kts today increase to 15-20 kts on Saturday. Seas of 3- 4 ft build to 4-5 ft Saturday. Dry conditions persist.

Sunday-Tuesday... Southeast winds diminish to 10-15 kts Sunday and into Monday, further falling near 10 kts on Tuesday. Seas of 4-5 ft gradually subside, becoming widely 3 ft by Tuesday. No precip is forecast.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

VFR. E winds prevailing, increasing to up to 12-15kts in the afternoon (by 16-17Z). Wind gusts 20-25kts, highest along the coast. Winds will begin to diminish in the evening (~0Z), but are forecast to remain around 10-12kts overnight along the coast.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 359 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

Continued dry, warm weather combined with increasing gusty winds will promote an elevated fire weather risk across the interior today. Developing east winds are forecast to increase near 15 mph this afternoon with occasional to frequent gusts between 20-25 mph.
While onshore flow will allow some moisture recovery along the coast, near Red Flag conditions are forecast across the interior where min RH values will fall between 35-40%.

Continued gusty winds and dry conditions will keep fire sensitivities through the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 80 63 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 84 63 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 80 67 80 67 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 80 65 80 66 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 86 62 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 84 63 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 85 64 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 80 65 80 66 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.