Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rockport, TX

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Key Messages:

- Above normal temperatures through at least early next week.
- Low chance for showers and thunderstorms by middle of next week.

A mid-level ridge will build over South Texas Friday and will persist through the weekend. This will result in warmer temperatures and no significant chance for rainfall. Expect daytime highs to approach 100 degrees out west ranging to the upper 80s over the Victoria Crossroads. Breezy conditions will develop Sunday through Tuesday as the low level jet strengthens to around 30 knots in response to a deep layer trough advancing across the central and southern plains. Overnight stratus will give way to afternoon sunshine each day through Sunday. Then clouds will persist Monday and Tuesday as the aforementioned trough and associated frontal boundary moves through the state and eventually South Texas on

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 500 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed across the VCT area this morning. There is also a line of storms west of VCT that is expected to reach the VCT TAF site between 12-15Z. The storms are expected to weaken as they move farther southeast into the Brush Country and Coastal PLains, but remain stronger across the Victoria Crossroads. Additional convection is expected later today as the sea breeze moves inland. The chance of convection across LRD, ALI and CRP is very low. Therefore, will not mention in these TAFs at this time. Rain chances diminish tonight.
Otherwise outside of the convection, a mix of IFR and MVFR this morning is expected to improve to VFR levels by mid to late morning. MVFR conditions are expected to redevelop this evening with brief IFR conditions at times overnight due to patchy fog and low stratus.

MARINE
Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

There is a low to medium (20-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over the bays and gulf waters today. Expect a gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) to persist over the waters through the remainder of the week, leading to periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions. Onshore winds will increase early next week (BF 4-5) with Small Craft Advisory conditions developing over the bays and Gulf waters.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

20 ft winds and minimum RH values are not expected to exceed elevated fire weather thresholds for the rest of the week, although thresholds may be approached early next week across the Rio Grande Plains as minimum RH values drop below 30%. Energy Release Component (ERC) values across most of the region - except for Victoria and extreme southwestern Webb- are expected to stay below the 50th percentile. Recent rainfall has certainly helped alleviate some concerns and no elevated fire conditions are expected at this time with the exception of the far west early next week. There is a medium to high (30-60%) chance of rain today, mainly across Cotulla and surrounding areas to the Victoria Crossroads and a low (5-20%) chance for additional rainfall on Thursday along the Rio Grande.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 84 72 84 73 / 20 0 0 0 Victoria 84 70 86 71 / 60 10 10 0 Laredo 92 73 90 74 / 10 10 20 0 Alice 88 70 89 71 / 20 0 0 0 Rockport 84 73 84 74 / 30 0 0 0 Cotulla 90 72 91 73 / 20 10 20 10 Kingsville 86 71 86 72 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 81 73 81 74 / 20 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.