Thursday, March4, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Melbourne Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 6:25PM Thursday March 4, 2021 7:59 PM EST (00:59 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:27AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 336 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..North winds 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet.
Monday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Monday night..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Tuesday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 336 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021
Synopsis..Poor to hazardous boating conditions will gradually improve through the evening, with seas up to 7 feet pushing south of cape canaveral. Winds will weaken and veer onshore Friday as high pressure builds towards the eastern us. Another period of poor to hazardous boating conditions is expected this weekend into Monday as a low pressure wave develops over the gulf of mexico and moves rapidly across the florida peninsula Saturday, with high pressure rebuilding into the state early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..North winds 15 to 20 knots with seas up to 7 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, march 2nd. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Melbourne Beach, FL
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location: 28.06, -80.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 042018 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 318 PM EST Thu Mar 4 2021

DISCUSSION.

Current-Tonight . Quick clearing of low clouds has tapered off early this afternoon as daytime heating and a mid-level trough has kept persistent cloud cover over the southern third of the forecast area. Scattered showers continue over the Atlantic waters east of Vero Beach, but remaining well offshore so no impacts to land areas. Most recent GOES PW imagery does reflect the moist air dropping south of Cape Canaveral as anticipated with PW of 0.8" for the Space and Treasure Coasts dwindling to a mere 0.3" over NE Florida. These lower PWATs should arrive to our area overnight, eliminating the chance for dense low stratus as seen the last several mornings. Highs this afternoon in the low to mid 70s will feel pleasant as dewpoints fall to the 50s. Tonight, temperatures will fall to the upper 40s and lower 50s except mid to upper 50s for coastal sites. Only mentionable rain chances beyond sunset will remain over the Atlantic waters, distant from the Treasure Coast.

Tomorrow . Tomorrow will be rated a "10/10" for March days, with high pressure building over the area keeping air dry and temperatures pleasant. Rain chances near zero as the mid level trough exits east into the Atlantic, with clear skies, although a few diurnal cumulus will be possible. Highs will remain near average in the mid 70s.

Saturday . A mid/upper level trough moving through the southeast U.S. and FL will develop low pressure over the Gulf that will slide E/SE and dampen along a cold front as the boundary settles southward near to south of Lake Okeechobee. This will increase rain chances Saturday (current PoPs around 80 percent), with overrunning moisture north of the boundary leading to widespread mainly stratiform rain across the area for much of the day and into the evening hours before trough exits the area, shifting front farther south.

Model soundings indicate any instability, surface based or elevated, will be limited at best. However, with enhanced forcing from the unsettled pattern aloft, isolated embedded thunderstorms could be possible, so for now kept a slight chance of storms mentioned. Very cold 500mb temps around -14C to -16C could lead to some hail, potentially large hail, but with limited CAPE any threat for severe weather remains quite low.

Cooler air north of the front and widespread clouds and rainfall will keep max temps Saturday below normal in the 60s from Brevard and Osceola counties northward, and low to mid 70s south. Lows into Saturday night will fall into the 50s for much of the area, and possibly into the upper 40s northwest of I-4.

Sunday . Secondary trough axis aloft will shift offshore of the eastern U.S. coast into Sunday, with some lingering clouds and showers possible over the coastal waters and along the coast from Brevard southward. Otherwise, drier air building in will lead to mostly to partly sunny skies across the region, with highs still cooler than normal in the upper 60s to low 70s. Lows will fall into the mid 40s across Lake/inland Volusia counties and upper 40s to mid 50s farther south.

Monday-Thursday . (Previous Discussion) A weak trailing short wave trough will cross the GOMEX Mon and FL Mon night, with minimal impact expected except to perhaps briefly enhance mid level clouds Mon night. Otherwise, a mid level ridge will rebuild over the GOMEX and toward Florida from Tue onward. Strong surface high pressure ridge building over the western Atlantic will maintain a moderate, occasionally breezy onshore ENE-E flow regime. Slightly below normal temps Mon (L70s/50s) will rebound to near normal Tue (L-M70s), then rising to above normal thereafter. Dry through the period.

AVIATION. Stubborn low clouds from VRB south has kept MVFR cigs present through the early afternoon, with all other terminals lifting to VFR. Expect low cigs to lift through sunset, as has been the trend at KMLB over the past few hours. NW winds will veer N tonight, with VFR areawide beyond 00Z.

MARINE.

Tonight-Tomorrow . Lingering 6-7 ft seas in the offshore waters south of Cape Canaveral will improve through the evening, decreasing to 4-6 ft by midnight. North winds 15-20 knots becoming 10-15 overnight. Tomorrow, winds veer N/NE at 10-15 knots with seas showing continued improvement to 3-4 ft.

Sat-Tue . Boating conditions will remain poor to hazardous through the weekend and into early next week, as a fresh E/NE breeze generally continues through the period, building seas up to 6-9 feet through the weekend, and subsiding to 5-7 feet Mon/Tue.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 50 73 56 64 / 0 0 30 80 MCO 51 77 57 67 / 0 0 20 80 MLB 54 76 59 69 / 0 0 20 80 VRB 55 76 59 73 / 0 0 20 80 LEE 50 76 56 64 / 0 0 30 80 SFB 51 76 56 67 / 0 0 20 80 ORL 54 78 59 66 / 0 0 20 80 FPR 54 77 58 74 / 0 0 10 80

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Smith MID/LONG TERM . Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 15 mi45 min 64°F 66°F1015 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 24 mi64 min 67°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 25 mi60 min N 2.9 G 5.1 60°F 69°F1015.8 hPa (+0.5)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 37 mi40 min N 16 G 19 68°F 74°F1014 hPa54°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 40 mi34 min 70°F4 ft
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 99 mi72 min WNW 5.1 G 9.9

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL5 mi67 minNNE 810.00 miFair63°F53°F70%1014.5 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL12 mi64 minN 810.00 miFair63°F48°F59%1015 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMLB

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN13N12N13N11NW10NW8NW7NW9NW8NW8NW9NW9NW10NW8NW9NW6NW9N7N13N16NE13NE10NE12NE8
1 day agoN8CalmCalmCalmNW5SW3SW5W3SW6S7SW10
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2 days agoSE6S3S4W4W6NW5NW5W4N7NW6NW4NW5NW3CalmCalmE3NE6NE8NE8NE9E6E8E7NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:33 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:27 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:28 AM EST     3.40 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:57 PM EST     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:24 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.532.11.20.4-0-0.10.41.22.12.93.33.32.92.11.20.3-0.3-0.5-0.30.41.42.33.1

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:21 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:27 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:17 AM EST     3.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:45 PM EST     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:24 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.52.921.10.3-0.1-00.51.42.333.43.32.8210.2-0.4-0.5-0.10.61.62.53.2

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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