Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for St. Cloud, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 208 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Rest of Today-Tonight...Drier air lingers across the area today, with PWATs near 1". That, combined with subsidence aloft from high pressure across the Deep South has limited most shower development today. However, a few very isolated light showers embedded within the stratocu field have been noted on KMLB radar today. Thus, have maintained a low, 15-20%, PoP area-wide today. CAMs still suggest a few showers are possible this afternoon west of Orlando prior to sunset. Regardless, mostly dry conditions persist, though showers will be possible along the coast overnight. They may occasionally drift onshore, embedded within easterly flow. Warm highs in the mid to upper 80s will remain in the lower to mid-70s tonight.
Coastal areas look to linger in the upper 70s with winds 5-10 mph from the east.

Thursday-Friday...The ridge moves off of the Southeast coast tomorrow, then farther into the Atlantic Friday, as a trough digs through the northern US. This trough will then push a surface front into the central Florida peninsula Friday night. Onshore flow prevails through the period, increasing to 10-15 mph once again Thursday afternoon. However, winds remain overall light Friday, reaching only 10 mph along the coast behind the diffuse sea breeze. Moisture builds northward through the period, with scattered showers and storms (30-50%) forecast south of Melbourne in the afternoon. From around Orlando northward, drier conditions are forecast, though a low chance (20%) for coastal showers will linger overnight. PWATs near 2" will support increased coverage (60%) of showers and storms area-wide Friday, with a possible sea breeze collision over the far interior late. Overall, the threat for strong storms is low, with warm temperatures aloft -5 to -6 C, but a gust or two to 45 mph cannot be ruled out. Temperatures climb to slightly above normal, in the upper 80s to near 90 late week, as overnight lows remain in the 70s.

Saturday-Tuesday...The surface front is forecast to reach south Florida Saturday morning. However, the mid-level trough looks to lag behind slightly, passing through central Florida through day.
The front then looks to remain stalled in the vicinity of south Florida into early next week, as strong ridging builds over the eastern US, north of the Florida peninsula. A tight pressure gradient between the front and the ridge will lead to windy conditions rapidly developing from north to south Saturday, which linger through the weekend and into early next week. Daybreak to begin the weekend may even have generally light northerly flow.
However, by Saturday afternoon, sustained NNE winds build to 15-25 mph and gusts to 25-35 mph. Winds only further increase into Sunday and Monday as they veer ENE, with winds 20-25 mph area-wide and gusts 30-40 mph. The highest winds are forecast along the coast, remaining breezy to windy overnight. Breezy conditions inland will become windy into the afternoon, with daytime heating.
Needless to say, Wind Advisories are likely through the weekend and into early next week, with conditions persisting through the forecast period.

With the front stalled across southern Florida, PWATs look to remain up to 1.6-2" south of Cape Canaveral. This, combined with stout onshore flow, will lead to multiple rounds of fast-moving showers moving into coastal areas. Portions of the southern coast are highlighted in a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall (1/4) this weekend. The greatest threat looks to be along the Treasure Coast, where training bands of showers are likely. 90th percentile 48 hour rainfall accumulations of 3-5" are forecast for the Marginal Risk area Saturday into Sunday. However, portions of Martin and St Lucie Counties have a 25% chance of exceeding 4" during the same period.
Thus, will need to monitor the threat for flooding, especially in areas that have seen recent heavy rainfall. PoPs 60-80% are forecast for the southern coast through early next week. Elsewhere, drier air filtering into the area will limit the heavy rainfall threat, with PoPs 20-50%. The threat for strong storms will be low due to warm temperatures aloft (-6 C at 500mb). Though showers or storms may locally enhance the already windy flow.

High temperatures fall into the upper 70s to lower 80s through early next week, as lows fall into the upper 60s to lower 70s. This prolonged period of strong onshore flow will lead to dangerous beach and boating conditions. Gale- force wind gusts look to produce high surf, with breaking waves 9-12 ft. Multiple tidal cycles of high surf will also contribute to up to moderate beach erosion, especially north of Cape Canaveral. Residents and visitors should use caution near the beach and remain out of the water.

MARINE
Issued at 208 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Rest of Today-Friday...Favorable boating conditions prevail through Friday, as high pressure persists across the local waters.
ENE flow increases to 10-15 kts in the afternoons through Thursday, becoming lighter and a little more variable on Friday.
Seas remain around 2-3 feet through the period. Isolated showers today increase in coverage through the end of the work week, becoming scattered and continuing during the overnights.

Saturday-Monday (modified previous)...Boating conditions rapidly deteriorate into the weekend, becoming hazardous to dangerous as a front sweeps southward across the waters. N/NE winds rapidly increase through the day on Saturday to around 25-30 knots, with frequent gusts to gale force forecast. Winds quickly veer to the E/NE Saturday night and remain onshore through early next week, with at least a strong onshore breeze and frequent gusts to gale force continuing across the entire waters. Seas respond by quickly building to around 10-14 feet by Saturday night and remain around that height through early next week. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated to scattered storms will also persist across the waters, with this activity continuing to push toward the coast and onshore, especially along the Treasure Coast.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 117 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026

VFR conditions continue through the period. Mostly dry today with an occasional sprinkle or light shower along the coast. Better rain chances return across the south tomorrow morning with VCSH introduced at the Treasure Coast terminals after 12Z/14Z. East- northeast winds increase near 10 kts this afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 73 85 74 87 / 20 10 10 60 MCO 72 90 74 90 / 10 10 10 60 MLB 76 87 76 87 / 20 20 30 60 VRB 75 88 75 89 / 20 40 30 60 LEE 71 89 73 89 / 0 0 0 60 SFB 71 89 73 90 / 10 10 10 60 ORL 72 89 74 90 / 10 10 10 60 FPR 75 88 75 88 / 20 50 40 60

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.