Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
St. Cloud, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:59PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 3:59 PM EDT (19:59 UTC) Moonrise 10:44PMMoonset 11:05AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 336 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 336 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge axis will remain across north florida and adjacent atlantic waters into the weekend. This will result in a light to gentle southeasterly breeze for the local waters. Winds back to a more southerly flow into the weekend as another inverted surface trough approaches and rain chances increase.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday august 19th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 26 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Cloud, FL
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location: 28.1, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 211921
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
321 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019

Discussion
Tonight... The late afternoon convective pattern has generally
unfolded as anticipated, if not a little less than expected. The
east coast sea breeze (ecsb) was not overly productive earlier back
toward the coast, but at least is trying to allow for some spotty
deeper convection within interior sections. Embedded in the
prevailing E SE wind flow, the ecsb is making considerable inland
progress. Eventual activity, of course, will quickly skew west
toward the gulf coast. Storm opportunity will diminish quickly after
sunset as diurnal heating shuts-down and storms continue their
westward transition away from the forecast area. Until then,
scattered locations west of orlando will have the best chance for
storms with potential gusts to 40 mph as augmented by slightly drier
air aloft in the presence of brief heavy rain. It was warm again
this afternoon with most temperatures peaking out in the l90s, but
with some readings in the u80s along the immediate coast.

During the overnight, a light prevailing maritime E SE wind flow
will continue courtesy of the subtropical ridge. Isolated marine
showers storms will occur over the gulf stream, with a few making
their way toward the coast south of CAPE canaveral, mainly for the
treasure coast. Low temperatures in the l m70s, but moderated to the
m u70s along the immediate coast.

Thursday... Another day of lower than normal rain chances. The
subtropical ridge axis remains over north florida keeping the
maritime southeasterlies open for business. However, as an inverted
trough approaches the florida straits, dry upstream air will effect
east central florida to curb convective activity. The forecast calls
for an embbedded ecsb Thursday that will readily progress inland
similar to today, but comparatively less productive during the
afternoon over interior sections. The best chance for showers storms
will be along the treasure coast and in vicinity of lake okeechobee.

Even so, pops will peak out at 30 percent there. Afternoon
temperatures in the u80s near the coast and l90s inland. Low
temperatures in the m u70s.

Friday-Tuesday... (modified from previous)... There is an area of
disturbed weather over the central and northwest bahamas that is
being monitored for potential tropical development. Development,
if any, will be slow as it moves toward florida and southeastern
united states. That being said, the atlantic ridge axis over the
north fl peninsula continues meandering there as an inverted
trough moves over south fl peninsula. This trough wave ushers in a
moist airmass allowing for scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms to develop each day, including during the overnight
hours. East winds will veer southeasterly then more southerly by
Sunday, and the east coast sea breeze is forecast to develop each
day. The many expected boundary and sea breeze collisions with
ample moisture will result in above normal rain chances this
weekend with 50-70 percent across much of the area.

By Monday, the low-level flow veers southwesterly as a weak upper
trough and surface frontal boundary make their way across the
southeast, diminishing the influence of the atlantic ridge, and
absorbing the remnants of the easterly wave. This pattern will favor
boundary collisions on the eastern half of the peninsula during the
mid to late afternoon. Meaning rain chances will remain high into
the start of next week.

Generally, afternoon high temperatures are forecast in the low 90s,
and overnight temps in the low to mid 70s. Some storms could produce
locally heavy rainfall of 1-3 inches resulting in minor flooding in
areas that have seen significant rainfall already this month.

Aviation
Drier airmass in place across the region is limiting coverage for
shra and tsra for the remainder of the day. Best tsra chances and
potential for tempo ifr MVFR conds remains for kmco and kism thru
21z and klee thru 0z. OtherwiseVFR conds. Isolated shra moving
onshore from kvrb-ksua is possible after midnight. However, with low
rain chances, any coverage should be limited throughout the morning,
so vcsh will not be included at this time.

Marine
Tonight... The axis of the subtropical ridge remains north of the
local waters with deep onshore flow across the entire area. E se
wind flow 10 kts or less with seas around 2 ft near shore and up to
3 ft offshore. A slight chance again tonight for low-topped
showers storms, though there will be some slightly drier air
infiltrating from the east.

Thursday-Sunday... Lower chances for showers and storms on Thursday
with east winds around 10-15 knots and seas 2-3 feet. Rain chances
increase on Friday and into the weekend as a tropical wave
approaches the area. Expect scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the nearshore atlantic waters. A few of these
storms may produce wind gusts in excess of 34 knots.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 90 75 89 10 20 20 30
mco 75 92 75 91 10 20 20 30
mlb 77 88 78 87 10 20 20 40
vrb 75 89 75 88 10 20 20 50
lee 75 93 75 92 10 20 20 30
sfb 75 92 75 91 10 20 20 30
orl 75 91 75 90 10 20 20 30
fpr 75 90 75 90 20 20 20 50

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Ds pg dw jc rd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 40 mi60 min ENE 7 G 8.9 86°F 82°F1020 hPa (-1.6)
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 42 mi60 min 84°F2 ft
SIPF1 44 mi60 min E 8 83°F 83°F1019 hPa (-2.0)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 62 mi40 min E 7.8 G 9.7 84°F 85°F1018.4 hPa74°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 65 mi60 min E 5.1 G 8.9

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL17 mi2.1 hrsVar 410.00 miA Few Clouds90°F73°F58%1019.2 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL23 mi2.1 hrsENE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F72°F57%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KISM

Wind History from ISM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE12----S3CalmSE4------------Calm--NE3Calm--------5SE74SE7
1 day ago--S7N9NE4NE3N4Calm----------N3NE3--E5E5SE9--SE8S7SE85S5
2 days agoW5SW45NW3NW6SW5Calm----NW3--Calm----CalmCalmNE4NE4E5SE6CalmSE7--6

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
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Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:21 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:33 PM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.53.22.721.30.70.50.61.11.82.53.13.43.432.41.81.20.90.91.21.82.43

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
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Wed -- 06:00 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:10 PM EDT     3.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:21 PM EDT     0.79 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.53.22.61.81.10.60.50.61.21.92.73.23.53.42.92.31.61.10.80.91.31.92.63.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.