Thursday, October1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
St. Cloud, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:11PM Thursday October 1, 2020 11:38 AM EDT (15:38 UTC) Moonrise 6:27PMMoonset 5:58AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1007 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
This afternoon..North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Isolated showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Numerous showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1007 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
Synopsis..A weak front will remain nearly stationary across south florida into late week. Deep moisture will continue across the southern waters, keeping higher rain chances and potential for isolated Thunderstorms near to south of melbourne. By the weekend, the front lifts northward increasing rain chances across the rest of the region.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, september 29th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Cloud, FL
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location: 28.1, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 011359 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 957 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Flood Watch Remains in Effect for Coastal Martin and St Lucie Counties Through Tonight .

Current-Tonight . Some heavy rainfall across the Treasure Coast late last night and early this morning. This resulted from a likely combination of a stalled frontal boundary to the south, deep moisture, coastal convergence, diffluence aloft, and good ol' fashion shallow, efficient precipitation producing showers and isolated lightning storms. Many neighborhoods have seen flooding, especially around Hobe Sound in coastal Martin County. Residents will need to stay alert as any additional rainfall will immediately become runoff as these areas remain saturated. Local radar shows this activity remains fairly persistent with additional convection over the local waters and near the coast.

Mesoscale models suggest additional convection this afternoon resulting from the sea breeze boundary, deep moisture, and additional boundary collisions from previous activity. While some of this activity may advance into the interior, as far north as Osceola County, it appears confined closer to the coast from the Cape southward. With that said, may have to extend current PoP configuration further north. Northward across ECFL should still continue to see a pleasant day.

Highs generally in the L-M80s. Lows tonight will range from the L-M 60s for Lake/Volusia southward toward Okeechobee County while the Space/Treasure coasts realize U60s to L70s.

AVIATION. Light N/NNE/NE winds today and generally VFR, except the Treasure Coast which is plagued by higher moisture with SCT convection periodically around. MVFR conds in/around showers and ISOLD lightning storms. Will monitor as convective threat, according to local/short range models, may advance northward toward KMLB and potentially KTIX. Much of any additional activity today will result from deep moisture and sea breeze/mesoscale outflow boundaries along the Space/Treasure coasts from earlier showers/storms.

MARINE. Today-tonight . The nearly stalled frontal boundary near the southern waters combined with deep moisture will continue to initiate scattered showers and isolated storms. Threats include locally heavy downpours, cloud to water lightning, and gusty winds to near 30 kts. Activity could spread further northward towards Melbourne with sea breeze initiation, surface heating, and additional mesoscale boundary collisions. N/NNE winds generally 10-15 kts, though convection near the coast and across our southern waters could promote variable winds at times due to the disruption. Seas generally 3-4 ft.

HYDROLOGY. The St Johns river at Astor is forecast to remain near Moderate Flood Stage for the next couple of days before slowly declining later this week into Minor Flood Stage. Water levels along the Middle Saint Johns River Basin are also forecast to remain elevated the rest of this week at Deland, Sanford and Lake Harney. Refer to daily Flood Statements from NWS Melbourne for the latest river levels and forecasts.

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Flood Watch through late tonight for Martin-St. Lucie.

AM . None.

Sedlock/Leahy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 40 mi50 min 82°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 42 mi42 min 82°F2 ft
SIPF1 44 mi53 min 80°F 79°F1016 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 62 mi38 min NE 14 G 18 80°F 84°F1015.5 hPa (+0.6)72°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 65 mi86 min N 6 G 7

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL17 mi42 minNNE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds81°F62°F54%1016.9 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL23 mi45 minNNE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F63°F58%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KISM

Wind History from ISM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------E8NE9E5E6------------------------N7N6N9N10
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Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:12 AM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:15 AM EDT     4.36 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:30 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:28 PM EDT     4.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.710.70.81.42.33.244.34.23.72.921.30.80.81.32.133.84.34.33.83

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:00 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:04 AM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:18 PM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:17 PM EDT     4.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.50.90.70.91.62.53.44.14.44.23.62.71.81.10.70.81.42.33.244.44.33.72.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.