Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Melbourne, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:23PM Friday July 10, 2020 8:58 PM EDT (00:58 UTC) Moonrise 11:23PMMoonset 10:33AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 327 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Scattered Thunderstorms and chance of showers in the evening.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 327 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
Synopsis..Above normal coverage of showers and storms will continue into the weekend, with this activity reaching the intracoastal and nearshore atlantic waters each afternoon from the west. Mainly west to southwest winds will be strong enough to either delay or prevent east coast sea breeze development each afternoon and, if the sea breeze should develop, it will remain along the coastal counties.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday, july 10th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Melbourne, FL
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As of July 8 NOAA did a network migration which caused this Forecast section to break. They are aware of the problem and working on it with high priority.
location: 28.11, -80.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 101920 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 320 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Scattered to Numerous Afternoon Storms Expected Through The Weekend .

Rest of Today-Tonight . Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop and push generally E/SE through the afternoon and into this evening. These storms will increase in coverage, especially along the coast, as existing cells collide with the pinned east coast sea breeze. This will be where a few strong storms can be expected, as the 15Z sounding from XMR indicates that 500mb temperatures have warmed slightly to around -4C, up from -5C at the 10Z sounding. Stronger storms could see wind gusts up to 50mph. Otherwise, threats with any storms that form will be dangerous lightning, brief heavy rainfall, and gusty winds. A chance of showers and storms will linger along the coast into this evening, as storms push offshore. Then, drier conditions for the overnight. Afternoon heat indices have already reached the low to mid 100s around the area, so be sure to take steps to prevent heat exhaustion or heatstroke. Lows overnight expected to be in the mid 70s, with upper 70s possible for the Orlando metro area.

Weekend . A stationary front looks to set up across much of the eastern US through the weekend, which will work to push the Atlantic subtropical ridge southeastward from the area. This will provide a brief reprieve from westerly flow, as winds become southerly to southwesterly. However, this will not relieve the above normal precipitation chances, with PWATs 2-2.2" and PoPs 60-70% on Saturday. PoPs decrease slightly on Sunday, as the deepest moisture plume slides slightly south. But, they will remain around 40-60% from north to south, with the highest chance for showers and thunderstorms along the Treasure Coast. Highs will reach the low to mid 90s for most locations, with overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Next week (previous discussion) . Ltst guid will feature gradual rebuilding of the subtropical ridge initially across S FL. Recent guid now suggesting the ridge will remain to the south of the forecast area through at least the middle of the week, then lifting more north toward central FL by around Thu. The forecast wl feature higher than normal rain chc through much of the period with lows in the M70s and highs in the L-M90s.

AVIATION.

Ongoing showers and storms along the Treasure Coast as of 19Z, as well as some scattered showers along the Space Coast. Additional showers and storms may move in from the west coast, heading towards the east and to the Atlantic waters. Included MVFR conditions for KVRB sites south in a TEMPO group due to reduced visibilities and lowering cigs as SHRA/TSRA moves into the Treasure Coast sites starting at 18Z. SHRA/TSRA are expected to dissipate after sunset. SW winds 5-10 kt through this evening. VFR conditions expected outside of convection through the TAF period. Tomorrow variable winds to start off with, then becoming SW at 5-10 kt in the late morning. Included VCSH starting at 15Z for the KTIX-KISM line northward, and VCTS for all sites starting at 17Z.

MARINE. Rest of Today-Tonight . Showers and thunderstorms along the Treasure and Space Coasts pushing offshore as of 3pm EDT. Showers and storms will continue to develop and push into the waters through this afternoon and into this evening, with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms lingering well offshore into the overnight. Main hazards will be dangerous lightning and gusty winds, especially from storms that collide with the pinned east coast seabreeze. SW/W winds around 10-12kts persisting overnight, with seas 1-2ft nearshore and 2-3ft offshore.

Saturday-Wednesday(modified previous) . With the subtropical ridge axis remaining south of the area well into next week, favorable marine conds will continue with seas 2 to 3 ft on Sat, then increasing late Sat into Sun well offshore as a stronger sly gradient wind develops briefly. Winds and seas next week largely favorable due to proximity of ridge by midweek with diurnal winds otherwise developing daily. Continuing scattered to numerous offshore moving storms wl produce occasional to frequent lightning strikes and briefly higher winds and seas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 76 94 74 93 / 40 70 20 40 MCO 75 92 76 94 / 40 70 20 50 MLB 75 93 76 91 / 40 70 30 60 VRB 75 93 75 91 / 40 70 30 60 LEE 76 93 76 95 / 40 70 10 40 SFB 78 94 76 95 / 40 70 20 40 ORL 77 93 77 94 / 40 70 20 50 FPR 75 93 75 91 / 40 70 30 60

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Leahy/Rodriguez/Watson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 19 mi59 min S 8 83°F 82°F1015 hPa (+1.0)
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 21 mi63 min 82°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 21 mi59 min S 8 G 8.9 81°F1014.8 hPa (+0.4)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 36 mi79 min S 7.8 G 9.7 84°F 84°F1013.4 hPa79°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 44 mi63 min 84°F1 ft
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 97 mi65 min W 7 G 14

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL1 mi66 minSW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F79°F97%1013.6 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL8 mi63 minS 510.00 miFair82°F75°F80%1014.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMLB

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW4SW8SW6SW7SW6W8SW7SW6SW7W6SW7W7W8W8NW10W8W11W10
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2 days agoS4SW3S4SW6S5S6SW5SW6SW5SW6SW5SW5W9SW10SW7W7W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EDT     3.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:24 PM EDT     3.04 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:38 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.22.721.20.60.30.30.71.42.12.7332.621.30.70.40.30.61.222.6

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:14 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:13 PM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.22.61.91.10.50.30.40.81.52.22.83.132.61.91.20.60.30.40.71.42.12.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.