Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Patrick Shores, FL
March 28, 2024 4:20 AM EDT (08:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:15 AM Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 9:55 PM Moonset 7:58 AM |
AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 417 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
.small craft should exercise caution through early afternoon - .
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 pm edt this afternoon through Friday morning - .
Today - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming west 15 to 20 knots late in the morning, then, becoming north 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 11 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning.
Tonight - North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Friday - North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night - South winds 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Sunday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 417 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis - A cold front will cross the waters this morning and early afternoon, with showers and isolated storms developing ahead of this boundary and pushing offshore. A fresh to strong northwest to north breeze will develop behind this passing front, producing hazardous boating conditions across the waters, with seas building through tonight. North to northeast winds will gradually diminish through tomorrow, but continue to produce poor to hazardous boating conditions through at least Friday night.
Gulf stream hazards - Winds becoming northwest today and increasing to 20 to 25 knots, with occasional gusts to 35 knots this afternoon. Seas building up to 6 to 8 feet this afternoon.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, march 26th.
52 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 7 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, march 26th.
52 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 7 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMLB 280147 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 947 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024
DISCUSSION
Overnight-Thu...Showers and lightning storms earlier across WCFL weakened as they moved eastward into a less favorable environment, as well as due to loss of daytime heating. KMLB 88D does show some light (occasionally moderate) rainfall across the I-4 corridor and points further southward. It appears to be on a diminishing trend and what does hold together will push off of the Volusia and north Brevard coasts later this evening. Additionally, well after midnight and towards sunrise Thu morning a cold front will approach accompanied by showers and ISOLD lightning storms. Some of this activity will be located across or north of I-4 by daybreak. This precip will continue a trend southward during the morning and early afternoon while weakening with coverage lessening. A few of these storms early in the period, should any develop, could be strong though confidence is low. Primary storm impacts will be downpours, occasional lightning strikes, gusty winds locally up to 35-45 mph and, perhaps some small hail.
As the front passes on Thu, winds will quickly veer to NWRLY 15-25 mph sustained with gusts 30 to 35 mph or perhaps a little higher.
Winds will slowly diminish thru mid to late evening. Much drier air will filter southward behind the front as sky conditions improve from north to south. Highs will still manage U70s to around 80F across and north of I-4 with some L80s southward. As skies clear Thu night, much cooler air will advect southward with 50s most places and perhaps some L60s for the immediate Treasure Coast and barrier islands.
MARINE
Overnight-Thu...Poor conditions across the Gulf Stream overnight as winds increase to 15-20 kts and seas build to 4-6 ft.
Boaters should also Exercise Caution near inlets at the time of outgoing tide (aft midnight thru early Thu morning) as wave periods will be from 12-15 seconds. A cold front will pass across the local waters early Thu morning and into the afternoon (south of the Cape)
and will be pre-ceded by SCT showers and ISOLD lightning storms, especially Cape northward. Wind gusts in excess of 35 kts will be possible. Conditions will once again quickly deteriorate as NWRLY winds increase (15-22 kts near shore/20-26 kts offshore), with frequent higher gusts (occasionally to Gale Force offshore). Small Craft Advisories will go into effect offshore (by 15Z/11AM) and near shore (by 18Z/2PM).
FIRE WEATHER
Thu-Sun...Fire sensitive conditions are expected late week and into the weekend. 20 FT winds are forecast to veer northwest and increase behind a cold front Thu afternoon at 12-18 mph with gusts to up to 25 mph, then relax Thu overnight into Fri from the northeast. Minimum RH values are expected to drop into the M30s to L40s across the interior Thu, then into the L30s to M40s areawide Fri and into the weekend.
AVIATION
VCSH and some TEMPO groups this evening for across the I- 4 corridor as light rainfall pushes across the area from the west.
As this activity dissipates, much of the overnight should be precip free. Though, a cold frontal boundary on Thu will be pre-ceded by SCT-NMRS showers and ISOLD lightning storms across the I-4 corridor by daybreak, spreading further south thru the late morning and early afternoon. Activity will be on a diminishing trend as it ventures southward. Southerly winds will veer NW behind the boundary and become windy/gusty for much of the day and into at least early evening. Sustained winds could approach 15-22 kts with gusts 25-30 kts. Highest winds likely along the coast. Additional TEMPO groups have been added north of the Treasure Coast for morning/early afternoon where confidence is highest for precip. MVFR, ISOLD IFR CIGs surrounding front/precip.
HYDROLOGY
Increasing N/NW winds behind the passing cold front into Thu are currently forecast to allow river levels along the St.
Johns River at Astor to rise to Action Stage of 2.0 feet late this week.
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Thursday to 5 AM EDT Friday for AMZ550-552.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Thursday to 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ555.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Thursday to 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ570-572-575.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 947 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024
DISCUSSION
Overnight-Thu...Showers and lightning storms earlier across WCFL weakened as they moved eastward into a less favorable environment, as well as due to loss of daytime heating. KMLB 88D does show some light (occasionally moderate) rainfall across the I-4 corridor and points further southward. It appears to be on a diminishing trend and what does hold together will push off of the Volusia and north Brevard coasts later this evening. Additionally, well after midnight and towards sunrise Thu morning a cold front will approach accompanied by showers and ISOLD lightning storms. Some of this activity will be located across or north of I-4 by daybreak. This precip will continue a trend southward during the morning and early afternoon while weakening with coverage lessening. A few of these storms early in the period, should any develop, could be strong though confidence is low. Primary storm impacts will be downpours, occasional lightning strikes, gusty winds locally up to 35-45 mph and, perhaps some small hail.
As the front passes on Thu, winds will quickly veer to NWRLY 15-25 mph sustained with gusts 30 to 35 mph or perhaps a little higher.
Winds will slowly diminish thru mid to late evening. Much drier air will filter southward behind the front as sky conditions improve from north to south. Highs will still manage U70s to around 80F across and north of I-4 with some L80s southward. As skies clear Thu night, much cooler air will advect southward with 50s most places and perhaps some L60s for the immediate Treasure Coast and barrier islands.
MARINE
Overnight-Thu...Poor conditions across the Gulf Stream overnight as winds increase to 15-20 kts and seas build to 4-6 ft.
Boaters should also Exercise Caution near inlets at the time of outgoing tide (aft midnight thru early Thu morning) as wave periods will be from 12-15 seconds. A cold front will pass across the local waters early Thu morning and into the afternoon (south of the Cape)
and will be pre-ceded by SCT showers and ISOLD lightning storms, especially Cape northward. Wind gusts in excess of 35 kts will be possible. Conditions will once again quickly deteriorate as NWRLY winds increase (15-22 kts near shore/20-26 kts offshore), with frequent higher gusts (occasionally to Gale Force offshore). Small Craft Advisories will go into effect offshore (by 15Z/11AM) and near shore (by 18Z/2PM).
FIRE WEATHER
Thu-Sun...Fire sensitive conditions are expected late week and into the weekend. 20 FT winds are forecast to veer northwest and increase behind a cold front Thu afternoon at 12-18 mph with gusts to up to 25 mph, then relax Thu overnight into Fri from the northeast. Minimum RH values are expected to drop into the M30s to L40s across the interior Thu, then into the L30s to M40s areawide Fri and into the weekend.
AVIATION
VCSH and some TEMPO groups this evening for across the I- 4 corridor as light rainfall pushes across the area from the west.
As this activity dissipates, much of the overnight should be precip free. Though, a cold frontal boundary on Thu will be pre-ceded by SCT-NMRS showers and ISOLD lightning storms across the I-4 corridor by daybreak, spreading further south thru the late morning and early afternoon. Activity will be on a diminishing trend as it ventures southward. Southerly winds will veer NW behind the boundary and become windy/gusty for much of the day and into at least early evening. Sustained winds could approach 15-22 kts with gusts 25-30 kts. Highest winds likely along the coast. Additional TEMPO groups have been added north of the Treasure Coast for morning/early afternoon where confidence is highest for precip. MVFR, ISOLD IFR CIGs surrounding front/precip.
HYDROLOGY
Increasing N/NW winds behind the passing cold front into Thu are currently forecast to allow river levels along the St.
Johns River at Astor to rise to Action Stage of 2.0 feet late this week.
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Thursday to 5 AM EDT Friday for AMZ550-552.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Thursday to 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ555.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Thursday to 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ570-572-575.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 14 mi | 54 min | 70°F | 3 ft | ||||
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 14 mi | 50 min | SSW 14G | 73°F | 77°F | 29.84 | ||
SIPF1 | 26 mi | 80 min | 14 | 73°F | 75°F | 29.82 | ||
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL | 31 mi | 40 min | S 14G | 73°F | 73°F | 29.87 | 69°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KCOF PATRICK AFB,FL | 2 sm | 25 min | S 11 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 68°F | 83% | 29.81 | |
KMLB MELBOURNE INTL,FL | 8 sm | 27 min | S 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 66°F | 83% | 29.84 | |
KXMR CAPE CANAVERAL AFS SKID STRIP,FL | 18 sm | 25 min | S 10 | 10 sm | Overcast | 73°F | 68°F | 83% | 29.80 |
Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:16 AM EDT 0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:16 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:58 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 10:05 AM EDT 3.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:26 PM EDT -0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:38 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:42 PM EDT 3.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:16 AM EDT 0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:16 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:58 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 10:05 AM EDT 3.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:26 PM EDT -0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:38 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:42 PM EDT 3.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
2.8 |
1 am |
2.1 |
2 am |
1.2 |
3 am |
0.6 |
4 am |
0.3 |
5 am |
0.4 |
6 am |
0.9 |
7 am |
1.6 |
8 am |
2.4 |
9 am |
3.1 |
10 am |
3.3 |
11 am |
3.1 |
12 pm |
2.6 |
1 pm |
1.8 |
2 pm |
1 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
-0.1 |
5 pm |
-0.1 |
6 pm |
0.4 |
7 pm |
1.2 |
8 pm |
2.1 |
9 pm |
2.9 |
10 pm |
3.4 |
11 pm |
3.5 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cocoa Beach, Florida, Tide feet
Melbourne, FL,
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