Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Patrick AFB, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:27PM Friday December 6, 2019 8:26 AM EST (13:26 UTC) Moonrise 2:13PMMoonset 1:46AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 311 Am Est Fri Dec 6 2019
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..East winds 5 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 311 Am Est Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis..Favorable boating conditions expected through Saturday night as wind remains light and variable and seas continue to subside. A high pressure ridge will build northeast of florida and the adjacent atlantic through the weekend and into early next week, leading to increasing winds and seas.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, december 3rd. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Patrick AFB, FL
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location: 28.25, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 060807 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 307 AM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

DISCUSSION. Today-tonight . Another mostly clear day for east central Florida to end the work week. A high pressure centered northeast of the state, will continue to move east today, shifting the local wind flow from the southeast to south by afternoon as the ridge extends toward the peninsula. A brief sea breeze will develop after mid- afternoon but winds are only increasing to 8-10 kt across the coastal areas and return to light and variable before sunset. For tonight, a low will be moving over the northeast U.S. with its associated trough extending south but it will remain north of the local area, leaving east central FL under a weak pressure gradient through the night. Temperatures will bounce up from a cool morning today to highs in the mid 70s and cool down again tonight to lows near 50 across the interior and mid 50s along the coast.

Saturday-Sunday . A weakening cold front will approach from the north and wash out somewhere over central FL by Saturday evening. While this happens, a strong high pressure will build over the northeastern U.S., and a weak surface low/inverted trough will develop well to our east along what is left of the frontal boundary.

As the boundary moves into central Florida and the weak low/trough develops the pressure gradient will tighten bringing an increase in N/NNE winds. Expecting some low-topped shower activity to increase over the Atlantic by late Saturday but think the airmass will remain too dry over land to support precip. All in all Saturday should be nice with skies beginning mostly sunny, but cloud cover will increase north of Orlando during the afternoon as some higher moisture moves in with the boundary. Highs generally in the mid 70s except low 70s for the Volusia coast.

Strengthening onshore flow will start to bring showers onshore from Saturday evening into the overnight with highest chances (30-40%) across northern Brevard and Volusia counties. Rain chances gradually taper off inland and farther south. Overnight lows will range from the upper 50s to around 60 inland and lows 60s for the coast and Metro Orlando.

The inverted surface trough will approach FL from the east on Sunday with continued highest rain chances along the coast north of Melbourne. High temps again in the mid 70s, but some spots along the Treasure Coast could see some upper 70s.

Monday-Thursday . As the surface inverted trough lifts north and up the eastern seaboard, some drier air again moves into east central Florida on Mon-Tues giving us a rain-free forecast. The Atlantic ridge axis becomes re-established across central Florida providing a southerly flow and allowing temperatures to climb into the low 80s.

The next cold front will approach and (possibly) move through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday time frame. The GFS has been consistently showing the front clearing the area, and now the 00Z ECWMF shows a frontal passage as well. There is a little more confidence in this solution now with both models on board. Moisture is not overly impressive with this front, and will advertise 20-30% shower chances during this time with chances decreasing from north to south through the day on Wednesday behind the front. By Wednesday night into Thursday both models have strengthening high pressure building in across the Mid-Atlantic giving us breezy onshore flow and another chance of coastal showers. Max temps low to mid 70s Wednesday and slightly cooler Thursday. Wednesday could be even cooler depending on the amount of lingering cloud cover behind the front. Overnight lows upper 50s to low 60s.

AVIATION. VFR conditions will prevail today with light and variable winds in the morning then picking up to 5-8 kt by late morning from the south and southwest by early afternoon. Coastal terminals will experience a brief sea breeze between 20-23z returning to light and variable by 23-00z.

MARINE. Today-tonight . A high pressure exiting the Carolinas this morning, will shift east towards the Atlantic later today, which will veer local winds from the east this morning to south by early afternoon and southwest in the late afternoon. But these will remain light through the night. Seas will range 2 to 3 ft.

Saturday-Sunday . High pressure building down along the eastern U.S. coast and a developing inverted surface trough/weak low will produce an increasing onshore flow through the weekend, initially out of the NE around 5-10 knots Saturday increasing to to around 15 knots out of the east-northeast into Saturday night and Sunday. Seas will also build from around 2-3 feet Saturday to 3-5 feet (possibly 6 ft) by Sunday.

Monday-Wednesday . A light southerly flow will develop early next week with the surface ridge axis draped across the waters, but persistent northeasterly swell will keep seas 4-5 feet. The next front looks to pass through the waters Tuesday night into early Wednesday with poor to hazardous boating conditions developing behind it with breezy northeasterly winds and building seas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 74 54 72 62 / 0 0 10 40 MCO 76 53 75 62 / 0 0 10 20 MLB 76 56 76 64 / 0 0 0 20 VRB 75 55 76 63 / 10 0 0 20 LEE 75 52 74 59 / 0 0 10 10 SFB 76 52 75 60 / 0 0 10 20 ORL 76 54 75 62 / 0 0 10 20 FPR 76 54 76 63 / 10 0 0 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Negron/Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 11 mi56 min 69°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 11 mi56 min NNW 4.1 G 6 58°F 69°F1023.3 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 28 mi36 min E 7.8 G 12 72°F 77°F2 ft1022.4 hPa53°F
SIPF1 28 mi41 min NW 6 59°F 59°F1023 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 99 mi62 min NE 1 G 2.9

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL1 mi90 minNW 610.00 miFair58°F55°F92%1021.8 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi33 minNW 310.00 miFair55°F48°F80%1021.9 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL15 mi30 minNW 410.00 miFair58°F52°F81%1022 hPa
Titusville, FL21 mi38 minNNW 47.00 miFair55°F50°F82%1022.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOF

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7NW8NW6NW8NW7W3NW4NW7N7N6NW7NW6N7N6NW6N7NW6NW7NW9NW8NW9NW7NW6N5
1 day agoNW12NW13NW13NW14NW13W8W9W11W11W7SW6--W10W10W12W9W8W10W7NW8NW8NW8NW10NW8
2 days agoNW14NW10NW7NW6--W8W6W8W11W5W6W12W10W9W9W9W9W9SW9SW9W9W10NW12NW14
G18

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:45 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:01 AM EST     3.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:13 AM EST     1.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:13 PM EST     3.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:40 PM EST     0.72 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.83.33.43.32.92.31.71.311.11.52.12.83.33.53.432.41.81.20.80.71

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:45 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:12 AM EST     3.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:25 AM EST     1.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:24 PM EST     3.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:52 PM EST     0.75 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.73.13.43.32.92.41.81.41.11.11.522.63.23.43.43.12.51.91.30.90.81

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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