Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
New Port Richey, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 8:09PM Saturday August 17, 2019 6:32 PM EDT (22:32 UTC) Moonrise 8:43PMMoonset 7:44AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 337 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Tonight..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms until early morning, then isolated Thunderstorms toward morning.
Sunday..South winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms early in the morning, then isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds around 10 knots then becoming southeast around 5 knots in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the evening.
Monday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast late in the morning, then then becoming west early in the afternoon then becoming northwest late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 337 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure will hold over the region tonight through the middle of next week with winds and seas gradually subsiding. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms each day will create locally gusty winds and rough seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Port Richey city, FL
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location: 28.25, -82.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 171840
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
240 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019

Short term (today - Sunday)
Upper level ridging extends from bermuda southwestward over the
bahamas and southern florida. This pattern will persist for the next
36 hours before a transition begins to start out next week. A
southwest flow will continue allowing for the rainfall and
thunderstorms to continue moving in from the gulf coast waters
keeping the region very wet. This has warranted the extension of
the flood watch for pasco county northward through Sunday morning.

The 12z morning sounding showed a reflection of this with 2.18
inches pwat and southwest winds through 20k feet. Latest hrrr
guidance keeps rain chances high with 50-80% pops expected across
the region today with the highest chances north of tampa bay.

Moisture will remain high based on forecasted soundings coming in
around 2 inches pwat before a slight drying out beginning on
Monday dropping below 2 inches for the first time in a couple of
weeks. Latest hrrr guidance keeps rain chances high with a 50-80%
pops expected across the region today and tomorrow. With the
extensive cloudiness and high rain chances, daytime high temps
will run below average for the next couple of days.

Long term (Sunday night - Saturday)
Sunday night through Monday looks to be the transition period back
to a more normal pattern. Monday morning should see the final round
of morning showers along the NW coast as the very messy low pressure
system finally makes a grand exit from the region. Winds will then
gradually begin to change from the wsw to a more ese flow. This will
begin to concentrate rainfall more to the south and inland, away
from regions that have been very wet over the last few days.

However, with soils remaining saturated and water levels already
running high, locally heavy downpours may continue to inundate areas
and cause localized flooding.

Zonal flow will lead to very little synoptic influence in florida
weather for next week once the current low pressure system is no
longer a factor. Subsequently, high pressure will build back in
across the peninsula, and easterly flow will return with the
anticyclonic (clockwise) movement of air around the surface high
pressure system known as the subtropical or bermuda-azores high.

This will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms across west
central and southwest florida during the afternoon and evening hours
each day. High temperatures will run around normal once more, in the
upper 80s at the coast and the lower 90s inland.

Models that were hinting at the possibility of the wet pattern
returning near the end of next week with the return of meridional
flow now appear to have backed off this trend. The trough axis that
was expected to dig now appears to be staying farther north, with
the center of the system being located in central canada. While a
rather weak axis may exist across ohio river valley, mid-atlantic,
and eventually new england, strong surface high pressure appears to
prevent the system from pushing any significant energy into our
area. Subsequently, the typical summertime pattern appears to hold
into next weekend.

Aviation
We continue to remain in a very moist and unstable southwest flow
through the day. Shra with embedded tsra can be expected through the
forecast period with southwest winds around 5-10 knots. The highest
rain storm chances will be from ksrq northward with brief periods of
MVFR ifr conditions possible through this afternoon, so will hold
vcts through 00z and will closely monitor radar for needed tempo
changes through the day.

Marine
Interaction between high pressure ridging south of florida and
troughing over the eastern u.S. Will continue to generate breezy
southwesterly winds across the waters today and tonight, producing
exercise caution conditions over the northern outer waters. The
ridge will lift north into the waters by Monday and into next week,
with winds gradually turning to southerly and then easterly. After
tonight, winds are generally expected to remain below headline
criteria outside of daily thunderstorms.

Fire weather
Scattered to numerous showers and storms each day combined with high
humidities will preclude any fire weather concerns through the
period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 76 90 76 91 50 40 20 50
fmy 76 92 75 91 30 40 20 70
gif 74 92 74 92 20 40 20 60
srq 76 90 75 91 50 50 10 50
bkv 73 90 73 91 50 70 30 50
spg 76 90 76 91 50 40 20 40

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Flood watch through Sunday morning for coastal citrus-coastal
hernando-coastal levy-coastal pasco-inland citrus-inland
hernando-inland levy-inland pasco-sumter.

Coastal flood advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal
citrus-coastal levy.

High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal
charlotte-coastal hillsborough-coastal lee-coastal manatee-
coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 74 wynn
upper air... 97 flannery
decision support... 57 mcmichael


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 8 mi98 min S 12 G 13 81°F 1017.8 hPa
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 13 mi98 min S 1.9 G 4.1 88°F 1017.2 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 20 mi50 min WSW 17 G 20 81°F 85°F1018 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 27 mi50 min SSE 7 G 9.9
MCYF1 28 mi44 min 83°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 28 mi44 min S 8.9 G 11 81°F 83°F1018 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 34 mi44 min SW 5.1 G 6 81°F 84°F1018.3 hPa
GCTF1 35 mi44 min 81°F 1018.3 hPa72°F
CLBF1 36 mi98 min SSW 5.1 G 8 81°F 1016.7 hPa
MTBF1 41 mi44 min SSW 7 G 8.9 80°F 1018.3 hPa72°F
PMAF1 43 mi44 min 80°F 85°F1018 hPa
42098 47 mi32 min 86°F3 ft

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL21 mi1.7 hrsSSE 410.00 miA Few Clouds81°F73°F79%1017.5 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL22 mi1.7 hrsSSW 810.00 miLight Rain80°F72°F76%1017.7 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL24 mi1.7 hrsSSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F72°F72%1017.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKV

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS10SW11SW7S5S3SE3S7S8SE3S3S4S4SE4S8SW3S4SW11
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1 day agoS6S6S6S5S7SW6SW8S4SE7S11S10S5CalmSW3SW11
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2 days agoSW3S4SE4SE5SE6SW4SE3S5SW3CalmSW10S9SW5E3E3SE6S8S7SW14
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Tide / Current Tables for New Port Richey, Pithlachascotee River, Florida
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New Port Richey
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:43 AM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:08 AM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:24 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:45 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.63.23.33.12.62.11.51.111.11.72.53.23.63.63.32.721.30.70.30.20.6

Tide / Current Tables for Anclote, Anclote River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.