Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lake Buena Vista, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Thu-Sun...Low level ridge axis remains north of the area through Thursday and then model guidance shows it settling southward across the area late week and south FL by Sunday. Winds will gradually weaken and veer in response to this ridge axis.
Meanwhile, ridge axis aloft will remain across the area, resulting in a warming trend through the period and overall dry conditions.
Onshore winds and inland moving sea breeze will continue to keep warmest max temperatures across the interior each day. Highs will remain closer to normal near 80/low 80s at the coast Thursday, and be warmer than normal inland, in the mid to upper 80s. As temperatures continue to climb late week and into the weekend, max temps will become above normal area-wide, ranging from the mid 80s at the coast and climbing into the low 90s across the interior. For inland sites, these highs will be nearing record values. The greatest potential for any tied or broken daily records still looks to be at Leesburg, especially Saturday (see record highs below).

Mon-Wed...A weakening front pushes through late Sunday into early Monday, bringing a small chance of showers and a noticeable cool down. Equally as noticeable will be the strong/gusty onshore (NE)
winds that develop behind the front. Sustained 20-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph are forecast to overspread the area from north to south late Sun night and Mon, gradually decreasing Tue. Moisture return and forcing ahead of/along the front are looking pretty meager by the time the boundary reaches Florida. ECM and GFS both depict a mostly quiet frontal passage, with the best chances for showers at 20-30% in afternoons across the central (Monday) and southern (Monday through Wednesday) counties where daytime heating destabilizes residual moisture from the frontal boundary.
Temperatures drop back to more seasonal norms behind the front with even slightly below normal high temps on Tue. Then warming back up fairly quickly beginning Wed.

MARINE
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Generally favorable boating conditions through the weekend. Ridge axis of high pressure over the subtropical Atlantic currently north of the area gradually drops south into Central Florida and the local Atlantic waters by Friday. The high retreats south and east over the weekend ahead of an approaching cool front which is forecast to push through late Sunday into early Monday. Wind flow gradually veers more southeast and weakens the next couple days as the ridge axis settles over the area. With light synoptic/ background SSW-WSW flow Friday through the weekend, winds shift onshore (SE-ESE) each afternoon/eve associated with the diurnal sea breeze circulation. Wind speeds behind the sea breeze will be 8-12 knots. Seas 3-4 FT tonight/Thursday and 2-3 FT Friday through the weekend.

Boating conditions deteriorate Sunday night behind the front with Small Craft Advisories likely for NE winds 20-25 knots spreading across the waters and seas rapidly building 7-9 FT early Mon.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 101 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

High pressure continues over the Florida peninsula through the TAF period. Earlier BKN035-040 continue to lift through the afternoon.
VFR conditions prevailing, though will be watching the possibility of patchy fog at terminals along and north of I-4 (MCO/ISM/SFB/LEE/DAB). At this time, confidence in timing or location of any fog is too low to include in the TAF.

Otherwise, onshore flow continues. Breezy E winds along the coast early this afternoon diminish into this evening. Wind gusts up to 20 kts possible along the Treasure Coast over the next few hours. Then, lighter winds overnight, becoming more SE. E winds return around 8-12 kts Thursday morning and into the afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Deep layer high pressure - at the surface and aloft - will maintain dry conditions along with a warming trend into the weekend.
Prevailing daytime winds will be east to southeast as the low level ridge axis settles across Central Florida by Friday. Wind speeds will be 5-10 mph inland and 10-15 mph coast. Nighttime winds will become light and variable. No min RH concerns along the coast but inland min RHs will fall to 30-35% Thu from Orlando north and west, expanding to include more of the interior on Friday. Given the relatively light winds, Red Flag conditions are not forecast.
Afternoon dispersion values Fair to Generally Good Thursday and Friday, but pockets of Poor dispersion may exist over portions of Lake county. Warming trend will bring above normal highs into the lower 90s interior Friday through the weekend.

CLIMATE
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Record Highs for Friday-Sunday (17th-19th):

April 17th April 18th April 19th Daytona Beach 89 2022 92 1967 92 1968 Leesburg 92 1991 90 1990 92 2020 Sanford 92 1967 94 1967 94 2020 Orlando 95 1922 93 1922 94 1922 Melbourne 90 2006 91 2015 93 2015 Vero Beach 91 2021 92 2015 93 1969 Fort Pierce 93 1919 94 2015 92 1988

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 59 82 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 61 87 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 66 80 65 82 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 63 80 64 82 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 60 87 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 59 86 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 61 86 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 62 81 63 83 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.