Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Seadrift, TX

LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2024

Key Messages:

- Low (30%) chance of tropical cyclone development during the next 7 days over portions of the Gulf of Mexico

The National Hurricane Center is continuing to monitor a broad low pressure system as it moves into portions of the Gulf of Mexico.
Though no direct impacts are expected, some deep tropical moisture is expected to be funneled into the region surging PWATs to around 2.5+ inches along the Coastal Bend. This is expected to combine with an approaching trough/cutoff low that is currently over the Rio Grande. This is expected to allow for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms in the region mainly along the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads with the highest chances in our Gulf waters Saturday into Sunday. Guidance is still depicting a weak cold front pushing through the region early next week, with a surge of high pressure behind it. This will allow for conditions to dry out and remain dry through the remainder of the long term. The approaching tropical wave in the Gulf will still likely cause some hazardous marine conditions, minor coastal flooding, and a high risk of rip currents.

Behind next week's cold front, we will see lows returning to the 60s beginning Monday night and could potentially see lows drop into the upper 50s along the northern CWA Highs will still remain in the 90s through the period.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 650 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2024

VFR conditions are expected for the majority of this TAF cycle.
Brief MVFR conditions are in play early this morning for VCT due to the possibility of patchy fog with the likelihood of MVFR conditions coming tomorrow morning and afternoon as rain chances increase across the eastern sites. Light and variable winds tonight will increase tomorrow to near or just over 12 knots.

MARINE
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2024

Light to moderate northeast to easterly flow will persist through Saturday night. A low to moderate (20-50%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase to a high (50-85%) chance by Saturday night.An increase in winds to near or above 20 knots is expected this weekend as a tropical wave approaching the region. This could lead to increased swells which would lead to some Small Craft Exercise Caution to Small Craft Advisory conditions this weekend into early next week. Flow will return to moderate by midweek and continue its gradual downtrend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 90 73 91 74 / 0 0 40 50 Victoria 95 68 94 72 / 0 0 20 30 Laredo 95 70 94 73 / 0 0 10 20 Alice 93 69 92 73 / 0 0 30 30 Rockport 91 76 91 76 / 0 20 40 50 Cotulla 96 70 96 72 / 10 0 10 20 Kingsville 91 70 91 74 / 0 0 30 30 Navy Corpus 87 77 87 76 / 0 20 40 60

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ345- 442-443-447.

GM...None.