Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wedgefield, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 308 PM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

Rest of Today-Tonight...Florida remains under weak surface high pressure between a stationary front draped across the Florida Straits to our south and a deep low pressure system tracking across the eastern US to our north. Moisture in proximity of the stationary front extending into Central Florida and a weak surface trough lingering right along/off the Atlantic coast are producing lots of cloud cover, and even a few light sprinkles this afternoon. Through the rest of the evening and overnight, the trough and front are forecast to gradually consolidate into a weak surface low that will begin to lift north-northeastward, dragging higher moisture over the area. Very low (20% or less) rain chances this afternoon gradually increase northward, topping out at 20-30% inland late tonight/early Wednesday morning, before shifting offshore as drier air starts to get wrapped behind a developing weak cool front. Can't rule out a lightning storm across the Treasure Coast counties and maybe southern Brevard.
Afternoon highs up a bit but still in the U60s-M70s. Overnight lows up to he L50s-M60s.

Wednesday-Thursday...The weak surface low will continue to lift northeastward, pulling the attendant NNE-SSW oriented cool front draped across the southeast Florida peninsula in the morning offshore by the afternoon. Cool air advection in westerly flow behind this boundary subtly brings temperatures down a bit across most of the area, with Wednesday afternoon highs in the M60-L70s for all but the Treasure Coast counties who remain in the M-U70s.
The low early morning rain chances (20-30%) push offshore as the drier and cooler air filters in. There is a low (around 20%)
chance for a lightning storm to develop over the Treasure Coast counties, and the nearby Atlantic waters. Some gusty conditions possible Wednesday afternoon with 10-15 mph winds.

A slug of very chilly air by way of a pair of cold fronts then pushes into Florida, with the first front arriving Wednesday night, followed by the stronger reinforcing front arriving Thursday morning. Some moisture recovery is expected in proximity of the first front (PWATs down to below 1" in places Wednesday afternoon increasing to 1.25-1.35" overnight), which combined with ample forcing will support areawide 40-60% rain chances Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. However, instability for deep convection is virtually non-existent (MUCAPE only 200 J/kg at best across the southern counties), and as a result lightning storms aren't expected. There is still some degree of uncertainty when and how much rain locations will receive. General CAMs consensus and HRRR has rounds of showers pushing through between 7 PM Wednesday and 9 AM Thursday, but could see showers get started as early as 4 PM pretty much anywhere, and linger into the late morning across the southern counties. QPF also runs the gambit.
HRRR 24-hour max falls short of half an inch, which is inline with a very dry GFS at around 0.10" in the operational and 0.10-0.25" 90th percentile in the ensemble. The ECM is a little more optimistic at 0.20-0.40" in the operational and up to around 0.60" 90th percentile in a band across the northernmost counties in the ensemble. Overall the rainfall assessment looks to be most places will get 0.10" or less, while a few lucky spots receive up to around 0.50".

Temperatures drop a bit Wednesday night, back down into the U40s-U50s, then plunge Thursday between the arrival of the second front and cloudy skies. Afternoon highs forecast to remain chilly in the U50s north of I-4, struggle to make it to the 60s along the corridor, and only reach the 60s to the south. Breezy northwesterly winds (approaching 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph)
will add some bite to the cool Thursday temperatures.

Friday-Monday...Before stepping outside for work or school Friday morning, be sure to dress warmly! Forecast morning lows have not changed much from the previous cycle, maintaining the prospect of temperatures at or below freezing along and north of I-4, in addition to sub-freezing lows across interior ECFL as far south as Lake Okeechobee. Making it feel even colder will be a northwest breeze, sending wind chill values into the mid/upper 20s for a majority of the area. As a result, a Cold Weather Advisory will be needed for a large portion of ECFL Friday morning. Winds decrease through the day Friday into early Saturday as high pressure builds over the peninsula behind the fronts. Despite plenty of sun Friday afternoon, temperatures will really struggle to get out of the 50s from Osceola/northern Brevard and points north (low 60s south). Mostly clear conditions Friday night sets the stage for another cold night (30s-mid 40s). With lighter winds overnight, there is a possibility of frost developing Saturday morning over portions of the area. Daytime temperatures make a comeback, climbing into the 60s to low 70s
But then

Below normal temperatures look to be reinforced by another cold front Saturday night into Sunday. A lack of moisture along this front is keeping rain chances out of the forecast. Temperatures swing colder again Sunday into early next week, with lows in the 30s to mid 40s and highs only in the 50s and 60s. Sub-freezing temps are possible again, especially Monday morning. Behind the front, northwest winds will again add a wind chill factor with values falling into the mid 20s to low 30s Monday morning.

MARINE
Issued at 308 PM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

Rest of Today-Wednesday...Generally favorable ableit a bit rainy boating conditions nearshore forecast through the day Wednesday.
A weak low pressure system developing from a surface trough near the Atlantic coast and a stationary front draped over Florida Straits lifts into portions of the peninsula and local Atlantic waters tonight, then pushes well offshore by Wednesday evening.
Winds will be shifty at 5-10 kts until the system departs, becoming westerly 10-15 kts nearshore and 15-20 kts (briefly over 20 kts in the afternoon) offshore Wednesday. Small craft should exercise caution offshore Wednesday. Rain chances 20% or less this afternoon gradually increase to 20-30% early Wednesday morning as higher moisture lifts into the area with this system, then decrease through the rest of the morning and afternoon as it departs. An isolated lightning storm mainly across the southern waters and coast can't be ruled out. Seas 2-4 ft.

Wednesday Night-Saturday...Boating conditions deteriorate Wednesday night and Thursday as a pair of strong cold fronts quickly push through Florida and the local Atlantic waters.
Westerly winds 10-20 kts early Wednesday night shift northwesterly and increase to 15-25 kts by Thursday morning, then further increase to 20-30 kts Thursday evening, before settling down to 10-15 kts from the north by Friday morning. Seas build to 3-5 ft across the waters by Thursday morning, then jump to 7-10 ft offshore, possibly higher in the Gulf Stream Thursday night. Seas subdued closer to shore by the offshore wind component, but still building to 4-7 ft. Seas subside through Friday, settling to 2-5 ft Friday night. Boating conditions briefly more favorable Saturday before another cold front. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated lightning storms possible Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon, then dry conditions.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 622 PM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

Continued VFR CIGs generally 045-060 AGL for much of the period with ocnl breaks. MVFR CIGs are forecast to develop MCO northward aft 08Z through 14Z-16Z then VFR conds return, again. Winds becoming light/variable this evening. Increasing WRLY winds on Wed up to around 15 kts, with frequent higher gusts, esp along the coast. Crosswind issues may be encountered Wed at MCO. Surging moisture overnight into Wed, with ISOLD-WDLY SCT (low confidence)
convective chances.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 54 66 49 60 / 30 30 50 40 MCO 58 69 53 60 / 30 20 60 40 MLB 60 72 53 65 / 30 30 50 50 VRB 61 74 53 67 / 30 30 40 60 LEE 55 67 50 59 / 20 20 60 30 SFB 56 68 51 60 / 30 20 60 40 ORL 58 68 52 60 / 30 20 60 40 FPR 61 75 53 68 / 30 30 40 50

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.