Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wedgefield, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 132 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Current-Tonight... Dry so far this afternoon with temperatures climbing into the low to mid 80s. While most areas will stay dry through the remainder of the day, a low chance (10-20%) for a shower still exists near and west of the Orlando Metro. Overnight, conditions remain favorable for patchy fog development across much of east central Florida with models particularly showing interest across the north interior. Low temperatures will be mild in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday... A cold front passes the Florida Panhandle and the Florida Big Bend on Sunday, approaching central Florida into Sunday night. A surface ridge axis extending south of the area is nudged eastward, and light southwest flow holds in place locally. A column of low level moisture is present within most model soundings while dry air persists above 700mb. Low level moisture combined with surface temperatures in the mid to upper 80s should support scattered showers and storms across portions of east central Florida. CAMs have keyed in on a cluster of east-northeast moving showers and storms mostly focused north of Okeechobee and the the Treasure Coast counties. Here, SPC has outlined a Marginal Risk for severe storms.
DCAPE values approaching 800-1,000 J/kg and linear southwest shear profiles suggest strong straight line winds as the primary storm hazard. RAP analysis further suggests 500mb temps falling to -10C or less, and a small hail threat will also be present. The greatest support for strong storm development may be realized late in the afternoon and into the evening as activity originally initializing near or west of the Orlando metro pushes toward the coast and interacts with a weak east coast sea breeze. Models suggest activity diminishing along the coast around 10pm while a few light showers or sprinkles cannot be ruled out along the frontal passage later in the night.

Monday-Tuesday... Some 50s begin to arrive near, north, and west of I-4 Monday morning as northerly winds begin to advect cold continental airmass behind the front. A temperature gradient will become apparent Monday afternoon as cool air continues to filter southward. Monday highs spread the mid 60s across the far north with areas across the south and near Okeechobee holding in the low to mid 70s. Tuesday will be the coldest morning of the period with most of the interior seeing lows in the mid to upper 30s. Northerly winds around 10-15 mph will persist, pushing wind chill values into the 30s and nearing Cold Weather Advisory criteria. Only a gradual warmup is forecast into Tuesday afternoon with highs holding in the mid to upper 50s near and north of the Orlando Metro. Further south, highs mostly spread the low 60s.

Wednesday-Friday... Winds diminish as high pressure builds into the extended period. Dry conditions will hold in place with no mentionable PoPs through late week. A warming trend will quickly get underway with highs recovering to range the upper 60s to mid 70s on Wednesday, and by Friday, temperatures more widely spread the mid to upper 70s. Low temperatures remain chilly Wednesday morning with values in the upper 30s north and west of I-4. Lows then mostly warm into the 50s by Friday.

MARINE
Issued at 132 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

High pressure will maintain offshore flow through the weekend, although a weak sea breeze could allow for a light wind shift along the coast. Scattered offshore moving showers and storms are forecast near and north of the Cape Sunday afternoon and into the evening as a strong cold front approaches the local waters. Northerly winds around 20-25 kts behind the front on Monday will further increase to 25-30 kts Monday night. In response seas build 7-9 ft across the Gulf Stream Monday, peaking 7-10 ft nearshore and 9-12 ft offshore early Tuesday. High pressure builds mid week allowing winds to slacken and seas to slowly subside, and favorable boating conditions quickly return Wednesday.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 1221 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Primary near term concern revolves about potential fog formation early this morning. As such, some TEMPOs already in place. Will monitor for MVFR/IFR VSBYS and AMD as necessary. Light SW winds continue with mainly VFR by mid-late morning, if not sooner.
Mainly afternoon-early evening SCT shra/tsra potential with movement SW to NE. Low potential for gusty winds exceeding 35 kts.
Strong cold front sweeps across the area Sun overnight into early Mon morning. Winds become NWRLY and will increase 10-15 kts with passage and some higher gusts ahead of sunrise Mon.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 132 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

A strong cold front is forecast to pass central Florida late Sunday night. Increasing north winds around 10-15 mph behind the front will advect a cold, dry airmass into east central Florida early next week. Min RH values become sensitive on Monday, further falling below critical thresholds near, north, and west of I-4 on Tuesday.
Winds diminish Wednesday and into to late week as high pressure builds across the region, but RH values will remain sensitive.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 82 57 65 36 / 40 30 0 0 MCO 84 60 67 38 / 40 20 0 0 MLB 85 63 72 40 / 30 20 0 0 VRB 86 65 74 42 / 20 20 0 0 LEE 82 56 63 34 / 50 20 0 0 SFB 83 59 66 35 / 50 30 0 0 ORL 83 60 65 37 / 50 20 0 0 FPR 86 66 75 41 / 20 20 10 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Monday to 7 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ550-570-572.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Monday to 7 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ552-555-575.