Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lacoochee, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 327 AM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Today-Friday... A surface ridge axis across Florida is stretched seaward as a cold front slides across the northwest Atlantic. Light south to southeast flow today backs eastward Thursday and into late week. A diurnal sea breeze pattern continues each day, with increasing onshore winds around 10-15 mph in the afternoon. A surge of even drier air across the Atlantic builds through the period with with modeled PWATs diminishing to around 0.7-0.8" Thursday and Friday. This will keep any rain chances out of the short term forecast. High temperatures climb into the upper 80s to low 90s across the interior this afternoon, while remaining in the low to mid 80s in vicinity of I-95. Temperatures come down a few ticks Thursday and Friday in response to developing east winds. Highs are forecast in the mid to upper 80s west of I-95 with low 80s along the coast Thursday and Friday afternoon. Low temperatures continue to range the 60s, with a few 70s sprinkled along the coast.

Saturday-Tuesday... A cold front moves across the southeast U.S.
this weekend with high pressure building quickly behind. The next chance for mentionable precip returns Sunday and Monday as the front approaches the local area. Increasing PWATs to around 1.2-1.3" combined with diurnal heating and boundary interactions should be sufficient enough to support a low chance (10-20%) of showers on Sunday. Global models continue to suggest a better and increasing chance of showers on Monday (20-30%) as onshore flow develops.
Ridging aloft then looks to suppress precip chances through the remainder of the extended period. Temperatures in the low 90s across the interior warm and peak on Sunday before falling into the mid to upper 80s Monday and Tuesday. A similar trend is noted along the coast this weekend, and highs in the low to mid 80s on Saturday peak in the mid to upper 80s on Sunday. Coastal highs then cool to range the low 80s into Tuesday. Lows remain mostly in the low to mid 60s through the weekend and warm into the mid to upper 60s next week.

MARINE
Issued at 327 AM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025

South to southeast winds back east (10-15 kts) Thursday and into late week as high pressure retreats seaward. Seas of 2-3 ft today increase to 3-4 ft overnight. Building seas peak around 5 ft offshore Thursday night and Friday before gradually subsiding to 3-4 ft through the weekend. A cold front approaches the local waters late this weekend with rain chances returning early next week.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Mainly VFR conds through the TAF period. Continued with MVFR CIG TEMPOs along the coastal terminals from 10-14Z but NBM probs have come down. May adjust CIG for TEMPO around 035 AGL which is just above VFR cat but which still could have some operational impact.
Sea breeze will push inland enhancing the East flow 15 knots and gusty. These increased East winds at MCO may produce some moderate crosswind issues btwn 20Z-24Z.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 327 AM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Warm, dry, and stable conditions are forecast through the remainder of the week. Fire sensitive weather conditions continue with min RH values as low as 35-45 percent across the interior each afternoon.
Onshore winds increase to 10-15 mph as daily sea breezes develop and progress inland. A cold front approaches east central Florida early next week, and isolated to scattered showers return to the forecast Sunday (10-20%) and Monday (20-30%). Generally good to very good smoke dispersion is forecast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 83 65 81 65 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 89 65 86 66 / 10 0 0 0 MLB 82 68 81 68 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 83 67 83 67 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 90 65 88 64 / 10 10 0 0 SFB 88 65 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 89 66 86 66 / 10 0 0 0 FPR 82 66 82 66 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.