Aripeka, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Aripeka, FL

June 15, 2024 4:21 AM EDT (08:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM
Moonrise 1:48 PM   Moonset 1:13 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 347 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Today - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south this afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: north 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms early this morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms late this morning and afternoon.

Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 8 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Sunday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 9 seconds and south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Sunday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 9 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 347 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis - Southerly winds will persist today, however winds will begin to shift to the east on Sunday and continue into next week. Easterly evening surge of wind may occur starting Monday and for much of the week which may create brief scec conditions. Main hazard throughout the forecast period will be isolated to scattered Thunderstorms which may cause locally gusty winds and rough seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aripeka, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 150736 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 336 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 W/V imagery shows plume of deep tropical moisture remains over the southern half of the forecast area...with TBW 15/00Z sounding PCPW at 2 inches. Southerly boundary layer flow will increase today which will advect abundant L/L moisture north from the southeast Gulf of Mexico. Scattered showers may develop over the central/southern coastal waters over the next couple of hours advecting locally onshore early this morning. Daytime heating will increase convective instability and allow scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon in conditionally unstable atmosphere, with highest pops over southwest Florida. The deep tropical moisture over the area will continue the risk for heavy rain with thunderstorms which may cause localized street and urban flooding.

Pattern change starts to take place on Sunday as high pressure surface and aloft begins to build north of the region. This will shift boundary layer winds gradually to the east and northeast.
Transition days can be difficult with regards to sensible weather/pops, but deep tropical moisture will remain over the region. Pops will trend slightly lower with best chance for afternoon thunderstorms likely over the coastal counties along the west coast sea breeze boundary.

Easterly boundary layer flow pattern will be securely in-place on Monday. This will pin the west coast sea breeze boundary along the coastal counties of west central/southwest Florida. Deep layer moisture will remain over the region which will support scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms with highest pops near the coast. This overall pattern will also allow max temps on Monday to climb into the lower to mid 90s.

On Tuesday, the U/L ridge axis will shift west of the Florida peninsula. This will create northeast mid level winds which will advect dry air aloft across much of the forecast area. This will act to suppress areal coverage of convection. The easterly boundary layer flow will persist which should continue to support scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms along the west coast sea breeze boundary, mainly from the Tampa Bay area and south.

Low confidence in the extended portion of the forecast period as an inverted mid level trough is expected to push across the Florida peninsula. This would allow deep tropical moisture to advect back over the region as the mid level flow would shift to the southeast. This would allow numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop both Thursday and Friday with locally heavy rain possible...with highest pops south.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 LCL MVFR CIGs may develop over the next couple of hours and may briefly impact terminals, however VFR conditions are expected to prevail. Also, a few showers with MVFR CIGs /VSBYs may advect off the Gulf this morning impacting all terminals with exception of LAL. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across the region this afternoon creating MVFR CIGs and IFR VSBYs. May impact all terminals for a few hours, with the best chance at PGD/FMY/RSW.

MARINE
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Main hazard through the weekend will be isolated to scattered thunderstorms which may create locally gusty winds and rough seas.
Next week, winds will shift to the east/northeast and will create the potential for a few hours of SCEC conditions during the evening hours as easterly surge of wind develops around sunset...weakening around midnight each day.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 No fire weather hazards are expected for the next several days as minimum afternoon relative humidity values will remain above critical levels each day.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 88 77 91 77 / 60 30 50 20 FMY 86 76 90 76 / 70 30 50 20 GIF 90 75 92 75 / 60 20 40 20 SRQ 88 77 92 75 / 60 30 50 20 BKV 91 72 93 71 / 60 30 50 20 SPG 88 80 92 79 / 60 30 50 20

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBKV BROOKSVILLETAMPA BAY RGNL,FL 11 sm28 minNE 0310 smClear73°F29.92
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Wind History graph: BKV
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Tide / Current for Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida
   
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Aripeka
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Sat -- 02:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:52 AM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:46 AM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:27 PM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:30 PM EDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.3
1
am
1.1
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.9
4
am
1
5
am
1.3
6
am
1.8
7
am
2.2
8
am
2.5
9
am
2.5
10
am
2.4
11
am
2.2
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
1.5
8
pm
1.9
9
pm
2.1
10
pm
2.1
11
pm
2


Tide / Current for Bayport, Florida
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Bayport
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Sat -- 02:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:05 AM EDT     1.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:20 AM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:40 PM EDT     0.97 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:04 PM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bayport, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.6
1
am
1.3
2
am
1.1
3
am
1
4
am
1.1
5
am
1.4
6
am
1.7
7
am
2.1
8
am
2.4
9
am
2.6
10
am
2.6
11
am
2.4
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
1.8
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
1.2
4
pm
1
5
pm
1
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1.5
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
2.1
10
pm
2.2
11
pm
2.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Tampa Bay Area, FL,




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