Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Aripeka, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 8:00PM Sunday August 25, 2019 8:12 AM EDT (12:12 UTC) Moonrise 12:54AMMoonset 3:03PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 311 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Today..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..North winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms until late afternoon, then scattered Thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 311 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis.. Fairly benign weather can be expected across the coastal waters through the period. Winds will remain north-northeast 10 knots or less for the remainder of the weekend although a seabreeze will shift winds onshore this afternoon. Then on Monday, winds will shift to the west-southwest and continuing 10 knots or less through the middle of next week. Winds will increase to around 10 to 15 knots with increasing rain/storm chances through Thursday next week. So outside of any storms, winds should remain below 15 knots and seas 2 feet or less.


Hourly Forecast for Marine Location Near Aripeka, FL
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location: 28.44, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 251135
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
735 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Aviation
Similar to yesterday, MVFR with brief periods of ifr CIGS are
occurring this morning across pgd fmy rsw and conditions should
improve by 14-15 utc. Have elected to go ahead and remove mention
of vcts at tpa pie srq as convective coverage is expected to be
low through the afternoon. Otherwise, winds will be out of the
north to northeast before shifting onshore near coastal terminals
by mid afternoon.

Prev discussion issued 311 am edt Sun aug 25 2019
discussion...

the weak area of low pressure that has been over south florida for
the last few days will begin to move further north today into the
western atlantic. Chances for tropical development remain high with
this system although no direct impacts are expected to our state
as it will continue to parallel the us east coast over the next
few days. Closer to home, drier air remains in place today which
will help suppress shower and storm coverage once again today.

Pops will be in the 30-50 percent range for much of the area,
highest inland. The departing system will create southwest flow on
Monday and with moisture increasing over the area (pws climbing
above 2 inches) expect morning showers thunderstorms to develop
before gradually migrating inland throughout the day. This SW flow
regime will continue through Thursday as the bermuda-azores high
begins to build back in on Thursday at the surface. The
anticyclonic (clockwise) movement of air around the feature at the
surface will cause winds to become more ese by late in the work
weak. This ese flow will continue to keep the pattern wet with
diurnal storms, particularly in southwest florida as a deep plume
of moisture from the caribbean will be advected over the peninsula
into next weekend. Temperatures will run near to above normal
through the period.

Marine...

fairly benign weather can be expected across the coastal waters
through the period. Winds will remain north-northeast 10 knots or
less for the remainder of the weekend although a seabreeze will
shift winds onshore this afternoon. Then on Monday, winds will
shift to the west-southwest and continuing 10 knots or less
through the middle of next week. Winds will increase to around 10
to 15 knots with increasing rain storm chances through Thursday
next week. So outside of any storms, winds should remain below 15
knots and seas 2 feet or less.

Fire weather...

sufficient low level moisture will keep relative humidity values
above critical levels through the week with no red flag conditions
expected. No significant fog is expected through the period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 92 77 90 78 20 30 30 20
fmy 92 77 90 77 40 20 50 20
gif 95 76 93 76 30 40 60 30
srq 92 77 90 78 20 30 30 20
bkv 94 74 91 75 20 30 50 30
spg 93 77 89 78 20 20 30 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Aviation... 42 norman
previous discussion... 11 mckaughan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 1 mi139 min Calm G 1 89°F 1013.6 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 21 mi79 min ENE 5.1 G 6 80°F 1014.3 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 33 mi61 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1 81°F 87°F1014.1 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 37 mi85 min N 1.9 G 4.1
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 37 mi61 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1
MCYF1 38 mi55 min 84°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 41 mi55 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1 80°F 87°F1013.9 hPa
GCTF1 47 mi55 min 81°F 1013.8 hPa75°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 47 mi55 min NE 5.1 G 7 82°F 88°F1014 hPa
CLBF1 49 mi79 min NNE 1 G 1.9 78°F 1013 hPa

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL11 mi80 minN 00.50 miFog71°F71°F100%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKV

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE5N6N5N6NE6NE4NE65NE7E6E7NE4E5E6E3NE5E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE3N4NE6NE7NE5N8N7E10E6E10NE9NE5NE5E5E4NE3CalmCalmCalmNE3N3CalmNE3Calm
2 days agoCalmE3E3543E54E6NE8E7E6E4E5SE5SE3CalmCalmE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida
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Aripeka
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:17 AM EDT     1.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:04 AM EDT     2.90 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:12 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:02 PM EDT     2.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.71.41.31.41.82.32.72.92.82.72.421.61.10.70.50.30.40.81.422.52.6

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson Creek, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.