Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Key, FL

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 8:01PM Sunday August 25, 2019 7:00 AM EDT (11:00 UTC) Moonrise 12:58AMMoonset 3:08PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ870 Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 To 60 Nm- 311 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Today..East winds around 10 knots then becoming north around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Scattered Thunderstorms in the morning.
Tonight..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening. Scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..South winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Scattered Thunderstorms early in the morning, then isolated Thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Numerous Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Scattered Thunderstorms in the morning, then isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 311 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis.. Fairly benign weather can be expected across the coastal waters through the period. Winds will remain north-northeast 10 knots or less for the remainder of the weekend although a seabreeze will shift winds onshore this afternoon. Then on Monday, winds will shift to the west-southwest and continuing 10 knots or less through the middle of next week. Winds will increase to around 10 to 15 knots with increasing rain/storm chances through Thursday next week. So outside of any storms, winds should remain below 15 knots and seas 2 feet or less.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Key city, FL
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location: 28.66, -83.73     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 250733
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
333 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Near term [through today]
Light showers in SE al continue to dissipate and it should be dry by
4am et. With the clouds starting to clear out, low stratus clouds
are already forming in parts of SW ga, including in albany. Parts of
walton bay county are also starting to see some low clouds. These
will lift shortly after sunrise.

Synoptically, an upper trough will dig into the midwest today with a
weak upper ridge over the local area. Wpc shows a stationary front
over SE al SW ga counties remaining today but I can't really find
much evidence of a boundary. It looks more like the sea breeze will
start to kick in after about 17 18z and move northward, with hires
guidance in very good agreement. A weak shortwave will move
southwest to northeast along the ridge, aiding in moving the line of
storms north. Would expect some very efficient lightning producers
once again but with less dry air in the mid levels, storms shouldn't
be as strong, although they will be deep. Pw values remain over 2
inches so heavy rain is likely but the storms should have some
movement once winds shift from easterly to southerly behind the sea
breeze.

Highs are all over the place model wise and it seems like it all
depends on when the line of storms moves through. For tlh as an
example, the high is forecast anywhere from 85 to 95. Have generally
trended towards the middle with highs in the mid 80s to around 90
since we should get the storms late enough to have sufficient
heating before.

Short term [tonight through Tuesday]
In the upper levels a trough will be over the southeast. At the
surface a weak low near mississippi will move through the southeast.

Not expecting a frontal passage but winds will become more westerly
on Tuesday. A wet pattern will be in place due to the aforementioned
trough and surface feature. Pops will be 60 to 80 percent in most
locations. Heavy downpours are likely with the stronger
thunderstorms. Pwat values will be around 2 inches or higher. Highs
will be in the upper 80s and near 90. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Long term [Tuesday night through Sunday]
In the upper levels the trough over the southeast will retreat by
late this week. At the surface a cool front will move through on
Wednesday. Northerly low level winds will become easterly by Friday.

The best chance for thunderstorms and rain will be on Wednesday with
widespread pops of 50 to 65 percent. Highs will be in the lower 90s.

Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Aviation
[through 06z Monday]
600ft CIGS have settled into aby already and these lower CIGS are
starting to spread across the area as the mid level clouds clear
out. Highest chances are still at dhn, aby and vld but there are
some 2500ft CIGS around ecp and they could go back down at any time.

Went ahead and included tsra at all terminals given our pops of 60-
70% except aby where confidence is lower and included a prob30.

Timing of these storms may be off an hour or two earlier or later
than forecast.

Marine
Southwesterly winds will become westerly by Tuesday. Winds will
become northerly late in the week as a cool front moves through.

Winds will be 15 knots or less this week. A wet pattern will be in
place this week.

Fire weather
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are possible once again today as a
sea breeze moves south to north late this morning into the early
afternoon. Winds will be easterly ahead of the line, shifting to
southerly behind it. Light easterly winds return after sunset.

Patchy fog is possible this morning but otherwise, no fire weather
concerns.

Hydrology
The flood warning for the steinhatchee river has been cancelled.

Local rivers are mostly steady or falling slowly. Rainfall
accumulations from scattered thunderstorms over the next week is
expected to be around 2-3", with locally higher values. Widespread
flooding is not anticipated, but isolated heavy rainfall could lead
to local flooding.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 90 74 90 74 91 60 40 50 30 60
panama city 89 76 86 76 87 50 40 50 50 50
dothan 88 72 85 72 88 60 60 70 40 70
albany 86 74 88 74 88 50 50 70 50 70
valdosta 88 72 88 72 89 60 50 60 40 70
cross city 91 74 90 75 89 50 40 50 40 50
apalachicola 87 77 87 76 87 50 40 40 30 50

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Ln
short term... Mcd
long term... Mcd
aviation... Ln
marine... Mcd
fire weather... Ln
hydrology... Mcd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
42036 - W. TAMPA 106NM West Northwest of Tampa, FL 43 mi31 min NNE 5.8 G 5.8 84°F 1013.9 hPa78°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 50 mi61 min ENE 8.9 G 9.9 80°F 1013.7 hPa (-0.0)77°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL69 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair73°F72°F96%1013.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKV

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE5NE5N6N5N6NE6NE4NE65NE7E6E7NE4E5E6E3NE5E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmNE3N4NE6NE7NE5N8N7E10E6E10NE9NE5NE5E5E4NE3CalmCalmCalmNE3N3CalmNE3
2 days agoNE3CalmE3E3543E54E6NE8E7E6E4E5SE5SE3CalmCalmE4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Cedar Key, Way Key, Florida
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Cedar Key
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:12 AM EDT     2.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:12 AM EDT     3.78 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:57 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:47 PM EDT     3.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.42.22.12.22.42.93.33.63.83.73.42.82.21.610.60.50.711.62.12.62.9

Tide / Current Tables for Suwannee River entrance, Florida
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Suwannee River entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:12 AM EDT     1.87 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:47 AM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:07 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:45 PM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.221.91.92.22.52.93.13.132.82.41.91.410.60.50.60.91.422.52.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.