Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Homosassa, FL

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
SCT inland seabreeze TSRA weakening as the sun sets this evening with VFR conditions and W winds nr the coast. Lingering VCTS at LAL for another hr then overnight, expect another round of SHRA/TSRA nr coastal terminals and in E Gulf. VFR conditions continue outside of convection, while brief gusty winds and MVFR/IFR conditions are possible with stronger storms near the terminals.
VFR conditions expected Mon mid morning before another late afternoon seabreeze TSRA possibility.

DISCUSSION
Not much change to the forecast philosophy from yesterday. A southeast to south low-level flow remains in place across the region with the Atlantic ridge axis across the central part of the peninsula and a few showers and storms have been ongoing over the Gulf since this morning. As we head through the rest of the day, we should see a bit more storm coverage than yesterday as this morning's sounding came in with a higher PW value. The pattern should be pretty similar, however, with most activity pushing away from the immediate coast through the afternoon, followed by some storms moving back toward the coast overnight. Hi-res models also show some additional storms forming over the Gulf and near or over the coast toward daybreak.

Through the rest of the forecast period, southeast flow remains in place, though some relatively drier air is still forecast to move in starting Monday, leading to decreased rain chances. Moisture goes back up for the end of the week and then into next weekend, with rain chances going back up.

MARINE
Southeast to south winds will turn onshore with the sea breeze each afternoon for the next several days with no headlines expected.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected each day, but rain chances remain highest during the overnight and early morning hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Daily afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected with no fire weather concerns. No significant fog is expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 91 78 93 / 20 50 40 40 FMY 75 93 76 93 / 40 40 40 40 GIF 76 94 76 95 / 40 50 20 40 SRQ 76 91 76 92 / 30 40 40 40 BKV 72 92 71 94 / 20 50 30 40 SPG 78 88 79 90 / 30 40 40 40

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.