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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bay City, TX

February 8, 2025 1:52 PM CST (19:52 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:06 AM   Sunset 6:09 PM
Moonrise 2:21 PM   Moonset 4:16 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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GMZ330 Matagorda Bay- 929 Am Cst Sat Feb 8 2025

Today - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. Patchy fog.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. Areas of fog into mid morning then retreating back into the gulf.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, backing to east late. Bay waters smooth. Patchy fog early in the evening, then areas of fog in the late evening and overnight.

Sunday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. Patchy fog early in the evening, then areas of fog in the late evening and overnight.

Monday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.

Monday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy. Patchy fog.

Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers.

Tuesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Wednesday - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers in the morning.

Wednesday night - North winds around 15 knots, rising to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy, rising to choppy after midnight.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 929 Am Cst Sat Feb 8 2025

Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
fog has retreated out of the bay this morning, but will linger in the gulf during the day. A general repeat scenario is anticipated through the weekend. Otherwise, light onshore winds and low seas will prevail into early next week. A weak, nearly stalled front may meander around the coast Sunday night and Monday followed by more prevalent onshore winds Tuesday and Wednesday. Another cold front is expected Wednesday night. This one appears to have a better chance of pushing off the coast.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay City, TX
   
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Tide / Current for Freeport Harbor, Texas
  
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Freeport Harbor
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Sat -- 04:13 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:03 AM CST     -1.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:05 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 02:19 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:41 PM CST     1.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:06 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Freeport Harbor, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.1
2
am
-0.3
3
am
-0.8
4
am
-1.1
5
am
-1.3
6
am
-1.4
7
am
-1.4
8
am
-1.2
9
am
-0.8
10
am
-0.3
11
am
0.2
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
1
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1.2
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1.2
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
1
10
pm
1
11
pm
0.9

Tide / Current for Freeport Harbor, Texas (2)
  
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Freeport Harbor
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Sat -- 04:13 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:59 AM CST     -1.19 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:05 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 02:18 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:58 PM CST     1.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:06 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Freeport Harbor, Texas (2), Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.3
2
am
-0.1
3
am
-0.5
4
am
-0.9
5
am
-1.1
6
am
-1.2
7
am
-1.1
8
am
-0.9
9
am
-0.5
10
am
-0.1
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1.5
4
pm
1.6
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.5
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.4
9
pm
1.3
10
pm
1.3
11
pm
1.2

Area Discussion for Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 081737 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1137 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 238 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

Technically we are still in Winter, but thermometers have clearly missed that memo as we are experiencing late Spring-like weather the past few days that will continue through most of the short term. High temperatures this afternoon will reach near record- breaking levels with highs in the low to mid 80s for most of the region with parts of the Brazos Valley reaching the upper 80s (this is closer to the normal highs for the end of April/beginning of May). Overnight lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s, which is actually what our normal high temperatures are for this time of year.

There will be a slow moving, weak cold front sliding in from the north on Sunday that will begin to usher in some cooler conditions towards the evening and overnight hours - depending on how far south the front makes it before stalling. Global models have the front stalling near the Piney Woods on Sunday and thus keeping most of the region in our warm, moist airmass. However, hires models are now within range for the FROPA and some of these do have the front making it to the the I-10 corridor by sunset Sunday. So temperatures on Sunday will largely be dependent on the speed of the front, and southwards extend of the front before it stalls. Do think this will be a very slow moving cold front, so have sided with warmer solutions for daytime temperatures on Sunday with areas south of Conroe getting into the upper 70s to low 80s while areas to the north will stick to the mid-70s.
Temperatures Sunday night become much more uncertain, so stuck with a 75/25 blend of NBM and NAM12.

There could be some isolated showers developing along the cold front as it moves through the area on Sunday, but any showers that do form will be light and quickly dissipate. The other main weather story remains to be the persistent sea fog down along the coast. Expect continued widespread, dense fog in the southern parts of the bays and nearshore waters overnight and patchy fog during the daytime hours. More on this in the Marine discussion below.

Fowler

LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

The shallow and weak cold front will be meandering along the coastal zones or offshore waters by early Monday. Mostly cloudy skies and a few light showers will still be possible during the day, especially near the sfc boundary.

Tuesday and Wednesday will feature a higher chance of showers and storms as multiple disturbances embedded into the quasi-zonal flow aloft move through, pushing the sfc boundary further off the coast. Increasing moisture and forcing ahead of these vorticity maxes aloft will lead to more widespread rain with a few embedded thunderstorms. Given the potential for a quasi-stationary boundary over Southeast TX, training storms will be possible. Therefore, localized heavy rain will also be possible, mainly north of I-10 as highlighted by the WPC's Day 4 excessive rainfall outlook.

Rain and storm chances gradually decrease by late Wednesday as a sfc high builds over the Plains. A cooling trend will follow the frontal passage with high temperatures in the 50s and 60s Thursday and Friday. Seasonable temperatures return towards the end of the long term with highs reaching the low 70s. Warm air advection along with a developing sfc low over the southern Plains may approach the upcoming weekend, potentially bringing another round of showers and storms.

JM

AVIATION
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

Ceilings are scattering out inland as we get some mixing. Expect VFR conditions with somewhat breezy ssw winds 12g24kt today.
Closer to the coast, fog has mainly burned off but expect some MVFR stratus to linger. This evening and overnight we anticipate that a mix of low end MVFR and IFR ceilings will fill back in...as will the sea fog for coastal sites. A slow moving, weak frontal boundary will be sagging into the area late tonight (10z or so CLL) then possibly crawl to the IAH area by sunset. Can't rule out an isolated shra, but chances not high enough to include in the TAFS. 47

MARINE
Issued at 238 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

Sea fog will continue to be the main marine concern through at least early next week. Patchy to areas of dense fog will continue along the nearshore waters and Bays through most of the day, eroding by midday across the Bays. The same scenario is expected tonight with fog and low clouds. A weak surface frontal boundary will enter the coastal waters by early Monday, before stalling or meandering across the region through mid-week. The best chance of showers and storms return Tuesday and Wednesday as the aforementioned front finally moves well offshore. Light to moderate onshore winds and low seas will persist into early next week.

JM

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 87 65 75 55 / 0 0 10 10 Houston (IAH) 84 68 80 63 / 0 0 10 10 Galveston (GLS) 73 63 70 61 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ350-355.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
EMAT2 17 mi53 minSSW 12G16 75°F 73°F30.01
FPST2 34 mi53 minS 2.9G4.1 69°F 64°F30.01
VCAT2 41 mi53 minSW 16G23 75°F 73°F29.98
MBET2 42 mi53 minSW 9.9G12 70°F 63°F29.98
PCNT2 - 8773701 - Matagorda Bay; Port O'Connor, TX 42 mi53 minS 13G18 74°F 70°F30.01
LUIT2 44 mi53 minS 6G8 72°F 65°F30.02


Wind History for Port Lavaca, TX
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBYY BAY CITY RGNL,TX 4 sm37 minSSW 1610 smMostly Cloudy79°F70°F74%29.99
KPSX PALACIOS MUNI,TX 22 sm21 minS 1310 smPartly Cloudy75°F68°F78%30.00
KARM WHARTON RGNL,TX 24 sm37 minSSW 14G2010 smPartly Cloudy82°F68°F62%30.01

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas  
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Houston/Galveston, TX,





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