Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Belleview, FL
December 10, 2023 9:12 PM EST (02:12 UTC)
Sunrise 7:09AM Sunset 5:32PM Moonrise 4:48AM Moonset 3:38PM
GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 746 Pm Est Sun Dec 10 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming northwest 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots late this evening and early morning, then becoming north 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots late. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms early this evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms late this evening.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. A slight chance of showers.
Friday..Northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming northwest 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots late this evening and early morning, then becoming north 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots late. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms early this evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms late this evening.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. A slight chance of showers.
Friday..Northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 746 Pm Est Sun Dec 10 2023
Synopsis..
the rain will taper off tonight as high pressure and drier air builds in from the north. Gusty nw winds and building seas are expected tonight in the wake of the cold front with small craft advisory conditions expected through Monday afternoon. Winds then shift to the northeast through the remainder of the week and will be near or exceeding small craft advisory levels as a tight pressure gradient sets up, which will make for a prolonged stretch of unpleasant boating conditions.
Synopsis..
the rain will taper off tonight as high pressure and drier air builds in from the north. Gusty nw winds and building seas are expected tonight in the wake of the cold front with small craft advisory conditions expected through Monday afternoon. Winds then shift to the northeast through the remainder of the week and will be near or exceeding small craft advisory levels as a tight pressure gradient sets up, which will make for a prolonged stretch of unpleasant boating conditions.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KJAX 102337 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 637 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
New UPDATE, AVIATION
...BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG GUSTS WITH COLD FRONT PASSAGE LATE THIS EVENING...
UPDATE
Issued at 635 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
The threat of severe weather has ended and the earlier tornado watch was cancelled. Pockets of moderate to heavy rain continue to push east and a few embedded and elevated storms are still possible south of Jacksonville along the NE FL coast for the next half hour or so.
Upstream, the cold front is progressing eastward across the FL panhandle and will reach our area late this evening then push offshore into the Atlantic by midnight. A strong initial bout of wind is expected with the frontal passage, with gusts in the 35-40 mph range. Though isolated gusts of 40+ mph will be possible, mainly at the immediate beaches, it will be so brief that a Wind Advisory is not necessary. A few more showers capable of moderate rain will also push through with the front as it passes.
Strong cold air advection will plummet temperatures overnight and low temps into the upper 30s from the Suwannee Valley northward across inland SE GA. Elsewhere, low to mid 40s are anticipated by sunrise Monday.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 305 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Building high pressure from the west will lead to dry conditions for the area during the start of the week. Onshore flow will lead to the advection of moisture over coastal locations resulting in the possibility of a few coastal showers. Daytime highs will mainly be in the upper 50s across the area with north central Florida reaching the lower 60s. Temperatures will hover just above freezing during the overnight hours into Tuesday. Lows for most of northeast Florida will dip to the low/mid 40s. Lows over the the Suwannee Valley Region in northeast Florida and northward towards southeast Georgia will see temperatures dip to the mid 30s. Come Tuesday, the dry conditions will continue with the addition of an increase in cloud cover as the day progresses. A bit warmer temperatures on Tuesday as Highs will be in the 60s with warmer temperatures over north central Florida.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 305 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
The dry conditions are expected to continue at the start of the forecast period as high pressure remains to the north of the area. Precipitation chances increase on Friday, with the counties in north central Florida with the best chances of rain as moisture moves northward from central Florida . Precipitation chances will currently stay in the 30% to 40% range as guidance remain uncertain in the magnitude and the northward extent of instability and deep moisture. Daytime Highs will remain in the 60s during this period, with north central Florida counties getting into the lower 70s. Overnight Lows in southeast Georgia will be in the mid/upper 40s, whereas northeast Florida will have lows in the mid/upper 50s.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Severe weather threat has concluded. After a brief 1-2 hour lull, an upstream cold front will bring the last batch of showers through the region. Before the frontal passage, low stratus is expected to develop mainly at MVFR levels but a few airfields may fall to IFR. An abrupt wind shift to the WNW is anticipated with the passage of the front between 03-05z. Initially, gusts could reach up to 35 knots for an hour or two before decreasing and trending more northwesterly. Skies will improve to VFR and then SKC conditions by daybreak Monday.
MARINE
Issued at 305 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will cross the local waters this evening with solid Small Craft Advisory conditions in the Southwest flow ahead of the squall line of strong to isolated severe thunderstorms that will precede this front with stronger storms being capable of producing damaging wind gusts and waterspouts through early this evening. Outside of thunderstorm activity, westerly winds will increase towards sunset for the near shore waters, with winds then shifting to northwesterly and occasionally gusting to Gale Force after midnight both near shore and offshore, but will hold off on Gale Warning as most of the peak wind gusts over 35 knots will occur with pre-frontal convection.
High pressure will then build over the southeastern states in the wake of this cold frontal passage on Monday morning, allowing for gradually diminishing northerly winds and subsiding seas. This high pressure center will migrate northeastward and will strengthen over the coastal Carolinas on Tuesday, resulting in an extended period of strong northeasterly winds and steadily building seas that will persist into next weekend with Small Craft Advisory headlines re-developing. Coastal troughing developing over our near shore waters will likely develop showers by mid to late week that may persist into next weekend.
Rip Currents/Surf: Offshore flow on Monday will lead to Low Risk of Rip Currents, with a return to Moderate Risk of Rip currents on Tuesday as onshore flow develops, then High Risk likely from Wednesday well into next weekend as onshore flow increases and surf builds. Surf around 2 ft Monday will build to 2-4 ft on Tuesday, and 3-6 ft Wednesday, then into the 5-8 ft range by Thursday with High Surf Advisory headlines likely through the end of the week at least.
--------------------------------------------------------
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 73 38 57 35 / 90 80 0 0 SSI 73 44 58 44 / 90 90 0 0 JAX 79 43 59 41 / 90 80 0 0 SGJ 80 46 59 49 / 70 80 0 0 GNV 79 43 59 40 / 90 80 0 0 OCF 81 45 60 41 / 90 60 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ450-452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ470-472-474.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 637 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
New UPDATE, AVIATION
...BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG GUSTS WITH COLD FRONT PASSAGE LATE THIS EVENING...
UPDATE
Issued at 635 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
The threat of severe weather has ended and the earlier tornado watch was cancelled. Pockets of moderate to heavy rain continue to push east and a few embedded and elevated storms are still possible south of Jacksonville along the NE FL coast for the next half hour or so.
Upstream, the cold front is progressing eastward across the FL panhandle and will reach our area late this evening then push offshore into the Atlantic by midnight. A strong initial bout of wind is expected with the frontal passage, with gusts in the 35-40 mph range. Though isolated gusts of 40+ mph will be possible, mainly at the immediate beaches, it will be so brief that a Wind Advisory is not necessary. A few more showers capable of moderate rain will also push through with the front as it passes.
Strong cold air advection will plummet temperatures overnight and low temps into the upper 30s from the Suwannee Valley northward across inland SE GA. Elsewhere, low to mid 40s are anticipated by sunrise Monday.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 305 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Building high pressure from the west will lead to dry conditions for the area during the start of the week. Onshore flow will lead to the advection of moisture over coastal locations resulting in the possibility of a few coastal showers. Daytime highs will mainly be in the upper 50s across the area with north central Florida reaching the lower 60s. Temperatures will hover just above freezing during the overnight hours into Tuesday. Lows for most of northeast Florida will dip to the low/mid 40s. Lows over the the Suwannee Valley Region in northeast Florida and northward towards southeast Georgia will see temperatures dip to the mid 30s. Come Tuesday, the dry conditions will continue with the addition of an increase in cloud cover as the day progresses. A bit warmer temperatures on Tuesday as Highs will be in the 60s with warmer temperatures over north central Florida.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 305 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
The dry conditions are expected to continue at the start of the forecast period as high pressure remains to the north of the area. Precipitation chances increase on Friday, with the counties in north central Florida with the best chances of rain as moisture moves northward from central Florida . Precipitation chances will currently stay in the 30% to 40% range as guidance remain uncertain in the magnitude and the northward extent of instability and deep moisture. Daytime Highs will remain in the 60s during this period, with north central Florida counties getting into the lower 70s. Overnight Lows in southeast Georgia will be in the mid/upper 40s, whereas northeast Florida will have lows in the mid/upper 50s.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Severe weather threat has concluded. After a brief 1-2 hour lull, an upstream cold front will bring the last batch of showers through the region. Before the frontal passage, low stratus is expected to develop mainly at MVFR levels but a few airfields may fall to IFR. An abrupt wind shift to the WNW is anticipated with the passage of the front between 03-05z. Initially, gusts could reach up to 35 knots for an hour or two before decreasing and trending more northwesterly. Skies will improve to VFR and then SKC conditions by daybreak Monday.
MARINE
Issued at 305 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will cross the local waters this evening with solid Small Craft Advisory conditions in the Southwest flow ahead of the squall line of strong to isolated severe thunderstorms that will precede this front with stronger storms being capable of producing damaging wind gusts and waterspouts through early this evening. Outside of thunderstorm activity, westerly winds will increase towards sunset for the near shore waters, with winds then shifting to northwesterly and occasionally gusting to Gale Force after midnight both near shore and offshore, but will hold off on Gale Warning as most of the peak wind gusts over 35 knots will occur with pre-frontal convection.
High pressure will then build over the southeastern states in the wake of this cold frontal passage on Monday morning, allowing for gradually diminishing northerly winds and subsiding seas. This high pressure center will migrate northeastward and will strengthen over the coastal Carolinas on Tuesday, resulting in an extended period of strong northeasterly winds and steadily building seas that will persist into next weekend with Small Craft Advisory headlines re-developing. Coastal troughing developing over our near shore waters will likely develop showers by mid to late week that may persist into next weekend.
Rip Currents/Surf: Offshore flow on Monday will lead to Low Risk of Rip Currents, with a return to Moderate Risk of Rip currents on Tuesday as onshore flow develops, then High Risk likely from Wednesday well into next weekend as onshore flow increases and surf builds. Surf around 2 ft Monday will build to 2-4 ft on Tuesday, and 3-6 ft Wednesday, then into the 5-8 ft range by Thursday with High Surf Advisory headlines likely through the end of the week at least.
--------------------------------------------------------
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 73 38 57 35 / 90 80 0 0 SSI 73 44 58 44 / 90 90 0 0 JAX 79 43 59 41 / 90 80 0 0 SGJ 80 46 59 49 / 70 80 0 0 GNV 79 43 59 40 / 90 80 0 0 OCF 81 45 60 41 / 90 60 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ450-452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ470-472-474.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KOCF OCALA INTLJIM TAYLOR FIELD,FL | 16 sm | 21 min | S 10 | 10 sm | Overcast | 66°F | 64°F | 94% | 29.84 | |
| KLEE LEESBURG INTL,FL | 17 sm | 19 min | SSE 11 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 64°F | 64°F | 100% | 29.81 | |
| KINF INVERNESS,FL | 20 sm | 17 min | SSW 05 | 7 sm | Partly Cloudy | 64°F | 64°F | 100% | 29.86 |
Wind History from VVG
(wind in knots)Kings Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:43 AM EST 2.11 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:50 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 09:02 AM EST 0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:06 PM EST 1.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:40 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:33 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 08:44 PM EST 0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:43 AM EST 2.11 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:50 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 09:02 AM EST 0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:06 PM EST 1.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:40 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:33 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 08:44 PM EST 0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kings Bay, Crystal River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.8 |
| 1 am |
| 2.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.9 |
| 4 am |
| 1.6 |
| 5 am |
| 1.3 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 0 |
| 10 am |
| 0.2 |
| 11 am |
| 0.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.3 |
Kings Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:05 AM EST 2.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:50 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 08:56 AM EST -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:45 PM EST 2.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:40 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:33 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 08:37 PM EST 0.99 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:05 AM EST 2.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:50 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 08:56 AM EST -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:45 PM EST 2.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:40 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:33 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 08:37 PM EST 0.99 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kings Bay, Crystal River, Florida (2), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2 |
| 1 am |
| 2.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2 |
| 3 am |
| 1.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.4 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.2 |
| 9 am |
| -0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -0.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 2 |
| 3 pm |
| 2 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Melbourne, FL,
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