Saturday, February29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Belleview, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 6:28PM Saturday February 29, 2020 7:18 AM EST (12:18 UTC) Moonrise 10:22AMMoonset 11:49PM Illumination 34% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 430 Am Est Sat Feb 29 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
Today...north winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning hours. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming north around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming south around 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 430 Am Est Sat Feb 29 2020
Synopsis..Northwest winds around 20 knots will continue through the early afternoon before winds start to calm down. After that high pressure will stay in control through early next week with no headlines expected. Winds will shift to the northeast for Sunday before shifting to the east then the southeast for the work week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belleview, FL
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location: 28.99, -82.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 291042 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 542 AM EST Sat Feb 29 2020

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Sunday]

VFR conditions through forecast period. A dry cold front will approach from the NW late afternoon into the early evening. Main aviation impact today will be developing gusty NW winds by late morning with sustained speeds 12-15 kts and gusts up to 25 kts by midday ahead of this approaching front. Expect mid level clouds with bases 6-8 kft with a few low clouds between 3-5 kft, but coverage expected to be minimal and not cause restrictions. Winds become near calm after 00z this evening inland with coastal terminal winds veering NNW to NNE early Sun morning ranging near 4-6 kts at SSI and SGJ under clear skies.

PREV DISCUSSION [139 AM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

A couple of mostly dry 'clipper' like cold fronts will move across the local area today from the NW. One front was currently pressing steadily south this hour across SE GA preceded and trailed by a deck of mid clouds with light showers that were dissipating as the system pressed farther south. This front will clear the forecast area through sunrise, with mostly sunny skies to start the day and increasing WNW winds through the morning becoming breezy by noon. Sustained speeds near 15 mph across most areas with gusts of 25-35 mph at times as the pressure gradient increases ahead of the next approaching dry front that will slide offshore of SE Atlantic coast late afternoon/early evening.

Surface high pressure over the GOMEX will build east and settle over the local forecast area tonight. Clearing skies, calm winds and a dry low level airmass will bring a light freeze to inland SE GA and our zones along and north of the I-10 corridor of NE FL tonight, including inland Nassau and Duval counties where a freeze watch was issued. Inland frost is likely even outside of the freeze watch area for much of inland NE Florida and a frost advisory may issued later today.

Temperatures will continue to trend below normal with highs today in the low/mid 60s. Tonight lows will fall near freezing across inland SE GA and the I-10 corridor, with slight NNE flow develops toward sunrise along the coast where temps will be more mild and range in the upper 30s to near 40 degF.

SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday].

Predominantly clear conditions on Sunday & Monday, with a slight chance for showers over parts of northeast Florida Monday as the effects of high pressure begin to weaken over the region and move offshore to the east, resulting in a shift in the prevailing flow to become more out of the west-southwest bringing in higher moisture levels by Monday. Sunday will be the start of a warming trend which will carry over into next week, with daily high temperatures rising from the mid to upper 60s on Sunday up into the lower to mid 70s on Monday. Overnight low temperatures will see a similar trend with min temps rising from the 40s up into the lower & mid 50s on Monday.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday].

An approaching trough from out of the west-northwest will lead to strengthening of southwesterly winds on Wednesday ahead of an approaching line of showers and isolated storms. Models continue to differ on the timing of the passage of the front, with the GFS showing the line of convection having moved off to the east by Thursday morning, while the ECMWF forecast doesn't have the front completing its passage over the forecast area through until late Thursday and nearly Friday. Both models are in concurrence on High pressure settling in over the region by the end of the week, leading to clearing skies and cool temperatures. The warming trend will continue into midweek, ahead of the frontal passage, and then drop down significantly as cold air settles in over the area. High temperatures are expected reach into the 80s for much of the forecast area by Wednesday and then drop down into the 60s by the end of the week. Overnight low temperatures will likewise drop from the upper 50s and lower 60s down into the 40s, going into the weekend.

MARINE.

A couple of mostly dry cold fronts will move southward across the local waters today and tonight with elevated offshore winds. Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) conditions are expected for the near shore waters today due to WNW winds 15-20 kts with Small Craft Advisory (SCA) headline for the outer waters where winds were increasing to 20-25 kts with gusts near 30 kts trailing the first cold front this morning. Winds will remain elevated through today, then begin to decrease tonight as high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico will build east and over the local waters tonight. The ridge builds east of the local coast Sunday into Monday. Southerly winds increase Monday night and remain elevated through Wednesday between the departing high to the east and the next cold front approaching from the west with a return of SCEC conditions expected at this time for the outer waters.

Rip Currents: Low risk today & Sunday for all beaches.

FIRE WEATHER.

Elevated fire danger today due to low humidity falling into the 25-30% range, breezy NW winds 15 mph gusting to 25-35 mph at times and very high dispersion near 100 units. Given elevated fuel moisture content, red flag conditions are not expected today, but certainly a 'watch out' day given other critical fire weather parameters.

HYDROLOGY.

Moderate river flooding continued along the Altamaha and Ocmulgee Rivers. Minor flooding continued along portions of the Satilla, Alabaha and Little Satilla Rivers.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 61 31 64 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 20 SSI 59 38 60 48 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 JAX 63 34 65 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 SGJ 63 39 63 49 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 GNV 65 34 67 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 OCF 64 34 68 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for Baker- Hamilton-Inland Duval-Inland Nassau-Northern Columbia- Southern Columbia-Suwannee.

GA . Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for Appling-Atkinson-Bacon-Brantley-Clinch-Coffee-Echols-Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Northeastern Charlton- Northern Ware-Pierce-Southern Ware-Wayne-Western Charlton.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 54 mi78 min NNW 6 G 8.9 52°F 1025 hPa (+1.9)39°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 63 mi93 min W 4.1 45°F 1025 hPa42°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Leesburg International Airport, FL17 mi25 minNW 410.00 miFair48°F41°F77%1025.3 hPa
Ocala International Airport - Jim Taylor Field, FL17 mi27 minNW 610.00 miFair46°F39°F79%1025.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVVG

Wind History from VVG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N6----N10------------------Calm------Calm--CalmN5--Calm
1 day ago--CalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm----
2 days agoN8Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN6----CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kings Bay, Crystal River, Florida
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Kings Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:09 AM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM EST     1.85 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:24 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:08 PM EST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:29 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:05 PM EST     2.05 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:50 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.40.30.40.611.41.71.81.81.51.20.90.70.70.70.91.31.61.92.121.71.3

Tide / Current Tables for Crystal River, Kings Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.