Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Belleview, FL
December 10, 2023 2:11 AM EST (07:11 UTC)
Sunrise 7:09AM Sunset 5:32PM Moonrise 4:48AM Moonset 3:38PM
GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 737 Pm Est Sat Dec 9 2023
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds around 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds around 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 737 Pm Est Sat Dec 9 2023
Synopsis.. South and southeast winds will continue tonight and Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front. Under these south winds, there is a small chance that some sea fog could develop early Sunday morning around the tampa bay, but confidence is not high enough to include fog in the forecast at this time. A line of Thunderstorms will develop ahead of the front and move southeast through the waters Sunday afternoon and early evening, with gusty winds and isolated waterspouts possible with the strongest storms. Winds and seas will then increase to small craft advisory levels behind the front Sunday night and Monday as winds turn to northwesterly and then northeasterly by Monday night. Winds and seas will subside slightly late Monday, but will remain near small craft advisory levels through the rest of the week.
Synopsis.. South and southeast winds will continue tonight and Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front. Under these south winds, there is a small chance that some sea fog could develop early Sunday morning around the tampa bay, but confidence is not high enough to include fog in the forecast at this time. A line of Thunderstorms will develop ahead of the front and move southeast through the waters Sunday afternoon and early evening, with gusty winds and isolated waterspouts possible with the strongest storms. Winds and seas will then increase to small craft advisory levels behind the front Sunday night and Monday as winds turn to northwesterly and then northeasterly by Monday night. Winds and seas will subside slightly late Monday, but will remain near small craft advisory levels through the rest of the week.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 100641 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 141 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
New AVIATION
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Periods of LIFR conditions will be possible through around sunrise at VQQ, GNV, and SSI. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail at the regional terminals overnight. Lower stratus cloudiness will develop around or shortly after sunrise, with prevailing MVFR ceilings expected at the terminals through around noon. Ceilings should lift to VFR during the early afternoon hours as southerly surface winds strengthen. A squall line of showers and strong thunderstorms will then approach the terminals after 18Z, with periods of IFR conditions likely during heavier downpours and wind gusts of 30-40 knots possible within stronger storms from 19Z through around 01Z. Lingering showers and isolated thunderstorms should exit the terminals before 05Z, with a period of prevailing IFR ceilings expected through around the end of the TAF period before skies clear from west to east during the predawn hours on Monday. Southerly surface winds sustained at 5-10 knots overnight will increase to 10-15 knots before noon, with winds then shifting to south-southwesterly and increasing to 15-20 knots and gusty during the mid-afternoon hours immediately ahead of the approaching squall line. Surface winds will then shift to westerly towards 00Z and then northwesterly before 06Z Monday, with speeds remaining in the 15-20 knot range and gusty.
UPDATE
Issued at 850 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
No significant updates to the forecast tonight with mild and increasing cloud cover (low stratus) developing ahead of an approaching cold front. Temperatures will only lower 3-5 more degrees tonight, keeping morning temps in the low to mid 60s.
Moist airmass situated across the area will yield a potential for fog development; however, boundary winds will be elevated enough to disrupt attempts of fog development. For areas where fog develops it should be patchy and transient in nature and mainly inland where winds may trend toward calm.
For Sunday, the aforementioned front will bring the potential for strong and isolated severe t'storms to the NE FL and SE GA Sunday afternoon and early evening as it progresses west to east. The primary threat will be straight-line winds and isolated tornadoes.
We urge partners and public stakeholders to pay attention to the forecast tomorrow and have multiple ways to receive weather alerts.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
The main story during this period will be strong to isolated severe thunderstorm potential across NE FL and SE GA associated with a frontal boundary moving southeastward through the region on Sunday. Southwesterly flow ahead of the approaching front will rise PWATs over 1.5 inches and allow high temperatures to reach the 70s area-wide to near 80 degrees in north central Florida. The unstable air mass will allow for isolated pop-up thunderstorms across NE FL and SE GA prior to the more organized pre-frontal line of convection reaching the interior SE GA counties late Sunday morning. Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be embedded in this quick moving line, with the main threats being damaging gusty winds across NE FL and SE GA, and potential for an isolated tornado, mainly north of I-10. The Storm Prediction Center has placed SE GA and NE FL in a Marginal Risk for severe storms Sunday, forecast soundings are indicating decent MLCAPE, with effective bulk shear values around 40 knots and dewpoints above 60 degrees. In addition, there may be some pockets of locally heavy rainfall, mainly near the Suwanee valley. Most of inland NE FL and SE GA will see the main timing of convection in the afternoon to evening. The convective line will hit the coastal areas later in the day, and most storms will likely be offshore around midnight.
The front will move through Florida overnight Sunday into Monday, leaving a wake of dry air and much cooler temperatures. Highs Monday will only reach the mid to upper 50s over most of SE GA and NE FL, with a few lucky spots in north central Florida hitting 60 degrees as breezy northwesterly winds advect cold air southward.
Monday night low temperatures will plummet to just near or above freezing across inland SE GA, a light freeze will be possible far inland SE GA, with a significant potential for inland frost. Along the coast and north central Florida will have low temps staying at or above 40 degrees.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
Dry, cool weather will continue mid-week, with highs Tuesday and Wednesday ranging from the upper 50s to lower 70s as high pressure builds to the north. An elevated onshore wind event will develop mid-week and last through the end of this period, allowing moisture to return to the area. Temperatures will gradually rise each day this week to near normal by Friday. Some models are indicating a Gulf low forming later this week and sweeping across Florida Friday into Saturday, bringing precipitation potential across the region, but confidence is low at this time on details.
MARINE
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
South to southeast winds will become southerly tonight as a cold front begins to approach the region from the west with showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the offshore waters through tonight. Sunday, south southwesterly winds will increase to caution levels offshore as the front slides east towards coastal waters from the west with showers and thunderstorms increasing in coverage by the afternoon and early evening hours. The cold front will pass through the coastal waters after midnight with drier conditions by sunrise. Breezy southwest winds will shift to the northwest in the wake of the front with a Small craft advisory in place from Sunday evening into late Monday morning. Occasional gusts to gale force will be possible over the offshore waters.
High pressure will build into the southeast states Monday and then build north and east into the Carolina coast by the middle of next week. Northerly winds Monday and Monday night will turn northeasterly Tuesday and increase in strength again by late Tuesday into the day Wednesday as high pressure rebuilds to the north through the end of next week.
Rip Currents: A moderate risk of rip currents is in effect for northeast florida and southeast georgia beaches through this evening and again on Sunday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 202
Heavy rainfall amounts of 1.0 to 1.5 inches is expected over the Suwannee Valley of northeast florida and much of inland Southeast Georgia with lesser amounts under 1 inch generally east of highway 301. Locally heavier amounts up to 2 to 3 inches are possible over far inland areas.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 72 36 54 34 / 100 80 0 0 SSI 72 40 57 45 / 80 80 0 0 JAX 77 40 57 41 / 80 70 0 0 SGJ 77 42 59 47 / 50 80 0 0 GNV 77 40 58 40 / 80 70 0 0 OCF 78 41 59 41 / 60 60 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ450-452-454.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ470-472-474.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 141 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
New AVIATION
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Periods of LIFR conditions will be possible through around sunrise at VQQ, GNV, and SSI. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail at the regional terminals overnight. Lower stratus cloudiness will develop around or shortly after sunrise, with prevailing MVFR ceilings expected at the terminals through around noon. Ceilings should lift to VFR during the early afternoon hours as southerly surface winds strengthen. A squall line of showers and strong thunderstorms will then approach the terminals after 18Z, with periods of IFR conditions likely during heavier downpours and wind gusts of 30-40 knots possible within stronger storms from 19Z through around 01Z. Lingering showers and isolated thunderstorms should exit the terminals before 05Z, with a period of prevailing IFR ceilings expected through around the end of the TAF period before skies clear from west to east during the predawn hours on Monday. Southerly surface winds sustained at 5-10 knots overnight will increase to 10-15 knots before noon, with winds then shifting to south-southwesterly and increasing to 15-20 knots and gusty during the mid-afternoon hours immediately ahead of the approaching squall line. Surface winds will then shift to westerly towards 00Z and then northwesterly before 06Z Monday, with speeds remaining in the 15-20 knot range and gusty.
UPDATE
Issued at 850 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
No significant updates to the forecast tonight with mild and increasing cloud cover (low stratus) developing ahead of an approaching cold front. Temperatures will only lower 3-5 more degrees tonight, keeping morning temps in the low to mid 60s.
Moist airmass situated across the area will yield a potential for fog development; however, boundary winds will be elevated enough to disrupt attempts of fog development. For areas where fog develops it should be patchy and transient in nature and mainly inland where winds may trend toward calm.
For Sunday, the aforementioned front will bring the potential for strong and isolated severe t'storms to the NE FL and SE GA Sunday afternoon and early evening as it progresses west to east. The primary threat will be straight-line winds and isolated tornadoes.
We urge partners and public stakeholders to pay attention to the forecast tomorrow and have multiple ways to receive weather alerts.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
The main story during this period will be strong to isolated severe thunderstorm potential across NE FL and SE GA associated with a frontal boundary moving southeastward through the region on Sunday. Southwesterly flow ahead of the approaching front will rise PWATs over 1.5 inches and allow high temperatures to reach the 70s area-wide to near 80 degrees in north central Florida. The unstable air mass will allow for isolated pop-up thunderstorms across NE FL and SE GA prior to the more organized pre-frontal line of convection reaching the interior SE GA counties late Sunday morning. Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be embedded in this quick moving line, with the main threats being damaging gusty winds across NE FL and SE GA, and potential for an isolated tornado, mainly north of I-10. The Storm Prediction Center has placed SE GA and NE FL in a Marginal Risk for severe storms Sunday, forecast soundings are indicating decent MLCAPE, with effective bulk shear values around 40 knots and dewpoints above 60 degrees. In addition, there may be some pockets of locally heavy rainfall, mainly near the Suwanee valley. Most of inland NE FL and SE GA will see the main timing of convection in the afternoon to evening. The convective line will hit the coastal areas later in the day, and most storms will likely be offshore around midnight.
The front will move through Florida overnight Sunday into Monday, leaving a wake of dry air and much cooler temperatures. Highs Monday will only reach the mid to upper 50s over most of SE GA and NE FL, with a few lucky spots in north central Florida hitting 60 degrees as breezy northwesterly winds advect cold air southward.
Monday night low temperatures will plummet to just near or above freezing across inland SE GA, a light freeze will be possible far inland SE GA, with a significant potential for inland frost. Along the coast and north central Florida will have low temps staying at or above 40 degrees.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
Dry, cool weather will continue mid-week, with highs Tuesday and Wednesday ranging from the upper 50s to lower 70s as high pressure builds to the north. An elevated onshore wind event will develop mid-week and last through the end of this period, allowing moisture to return to the area. Temperatures will gradually rise each day this week to near normal by Friday. Some models are indicating a Gulf low forming later this week and sweeping across Florida Friday into Saturday, bringing precipitation potential across the region, but confidence is low at this time on details.
MARINE
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023
South to southeast winds will become southerly tonight as a cold front begins to approach the region from the west with showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the offshore waters through tonight. Sunday, south southwesterly winds will increase to caution levels offshore as the front slides east towards coastal waters from the west with showers and thunderstorms increasing in coverage by the afternoon and early evening hours. The cold front will pass through the coastal waters after midnight with drier conditions by sunrise. Breezy southwest winds will shift to the northwest in the wake of the front with a Small craft advisory in place from Sunday evening into late Monday morning. Occasional gusts to gale force will be possible over the offshore waters.
High pressure will build into the southeast states Monday and then build north and east into the Carolina coast by the middle of next week. Northerly winds Monday and Monday night will turn northeasterly Tuesday and increase in strength again by late Tuesday into the day Wednesday as high pressure rebuilds to the north through the end of next week.
Rip Currents: A moderate risk of rip currents is in effect for northeast florida and southeast georgia beaches through this evening and again on Sunday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 251 PM EST Sat Dec 9 202
Heavy rainfall amounts of 1.0 to 1.5 inches is expected over the Suwannee Valley of northeast florida and much of inland Southeast Georgia with lesser amounts under 1 inch generally east of highway 301. Locally heavier amounts up to 2 to 3 inches are possible over far inland areas.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 72 36 54 34 / 100 80 0 0 SSI 72 40 57 45 / 80 80 0 0 JAX 77 40 57 41 / 80 70 0 0 SGJ 77 42 59 47 / 50 80 0 0 GNV 77 40 58 40 / 80 70 0 0 OCF 78 41 59 41 / 60 60 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ450-452-454.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ470-472-474.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL | 51 mi | 137 min | ESE 2.9G | 66°F | 30.10 | 64°F | ||
| GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 63 mi | 86 min | S 4.1 | 69°F | 30.12 | 66°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KOCF OCALA INTLJIM TAYLOR FIELD,FL | 16 sm | 20 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 61°F | 61°F | 100% | 30.09 | |
| KLEE LEESBURG INTL,FL | 17 sm | 18 min | calm | 1/2 sm | Clear | Mist | 64°F | 63°F | 94% | 30.09 |
| KINF INVERNESS,FL | 20 sm | 16 min | calm | 7 sm | Clear | 59°F | 59°F | 100% | 30.08 |
Wind History from VVG
(wind in knots)Kings Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:57 AM EST 1.94 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:50 AM EST Moonrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:16 AM EST 0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:12 PM EST 1.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EST Moonset
Sat -- 05:33 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 08:06 PM EST 0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:57 AM EST 1.94 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:50 AM EST Moonrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:16 AM EST 0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:12 PM EST 1.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EST Moonset
Sat -- 05:33 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 08:06 PM EST 0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kings Bay, Crystal River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1.9 |
| 2 am |
| 1.8 |
| 3 am |
| 1.6 |
| 4 am |
| 1.4 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 0.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Crystal River, Kings Bay, Florida, Tide feet
Melbourne, FL,
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